Darren Waller
Box score by season
| Season | Team | G | Rush | Rush yds | TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | TD | vs ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | CAR | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 13 | 148 | 2 | ✓ matches |
| 2025 | MIA | 8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 34 | 24 | 283 | 6 | ✓ matches |
| 2023 | NYG | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 74 | 52 | 552 | 1 | not checked |
| 2022 | LV | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 28 | 388 | 3 | not checked |
| 2021 | LV | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 93 | 55 | 665 | 2 | not checked |
| 2021 playoffs | LV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 76 | 0 | |
| 2020 | LV | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 145 | 107 | 1,196 | 9 | not checked |
| 2019 | LV | 16 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 117 | 90 | 1,145 | 3 | not checked |
| 2018 | LV | 3 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 0 | not checked |
| 2016 | BAL | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | 85 | 2 | not checked |
Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.
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Notable in 2025
His biggest gaps between one situation and the rest of his plays, beyond the league's own gap there (|z| ≥ 2.5). Many splits get checked, so some of these are luck; the badge says whether that kind of split repeats year to year.
- +1.91 EPA/target on 4–6 to go vs +0.29 the rest of the time (12 vs 22; league gap +0.05; z +2.8) mostly noise · r 0.02
- +0.07 EPA/target between his own 21 and 50 vs +1.49 the rest of the time (15 vs 19; league gap -0.00; z -2.6) mostly noise · r 0.04
Every split
EPA per target in each situation, the league in the same situation, and his rank among qualified players with at least 12 targets there (1 = best). "Repeats" is how much that split's player-to-player differences carry from one season to the next (2016–25); near zero means it describes the past and predicts little. Click a situation to filter all his numbers to it.
| Situation | Targets | EPA/play | Success | Yds/play | League EPA | Rank | Repeats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home / away Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Home | 18 | +0.754 | 50% | 7.0 | +0.199 | 8/193 | -0.02 |
| Away | 16 | +0.977 | 75% | 9.8 | +0.181 | 3/193 | -0.03 |
| Neutral site | 0 | — | — | — | +0.222 | — | — |
| Rest days Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Short week (≤5 days) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.229 | — | 0.19 |
| Normal (6–8 days) | 27 | +0.766 | 59% | 7.7 | +0.182 | 7/197 | -0.01 |
| Extra rest (9–12 days) | 4 | +1.636 | 75% | 6.8 | +0.220 | — | 0.21 |
| Off a bye (13+ days) | 3 | +0.665 | 67% | 15.7 | +0.216 | — | — |
| Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Indoors | 0 | — | — | — | +0.180 | — | 0.05 |
| Outdoors | 34 | +0.859 | 62% | 8.3 | +0.197 | 2/192 | 0.05 |
| Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Under 40°F | 8 | +0.819 | 75% | 8.2 | +0.172 | — | 0.05 |
| 40–59°F | 3 | -0.425 | 33% | 4.3 | +0.172 | — | -0.05 |
| 60–79°F | 8 | +1.545 | 88% | 15.6 | +0.241 | — | -0.02 |
| 80°F+ | 15 | +0.772 | 47% | 5.3 | +0.171 | 4/53 | 0.01 |
| Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| 0–9 mph | 27 | +0.766 | 59% | 7.7 | +0.216 | 8/177 | -0.09 |
| 10–14 mph | 3 | +0.665 | 67% | 15.7 | +0.170 | — | 0.05 |
| 15+ mph | 4 | +1.636 | 75% | 6.8 | +0.105 | — | -0.05 |
| Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Dry | 34 | +0.859 | 62% | 8.3 | +0.199 | 3/188 | 0.03 |
| Rain or snow | 0 | — | — | — | +0.157 | — | 0.03 |
| Score Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Trailing 9+ | 8 | +0.739 | 62% | 7.2 | +0.095 | — | -0.01 |
| Trailing 1–8 | 4 | +0.934 | 50% | 5.8 | +0.227 | — | 0.07 |
| Tied | 8 | +1.167 | 75% | 12.2 | +0.144 | — | 0.02 |
| Leading 1–8 | 7 | +1.864 | 86% | 11.3 | +0.239 | — | -0.03 |
| Leading 9+ | 7 | -0.402 | 29% | 3.6 | +0.316 | — | -0.05 |
| Win probability Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Win prob under 20% | 8 | +0.739 | 62% | 7.2 | +0.092 | — | -0.05 |
| Win prob 20–80% | 18 | +1.437 | 78% | 11.8 | +0.203 | 1/195 | -0.02 |
| Win prob over 80% | 8 | -0.320 | 25% | 1.6 | +0.295 | — | 0.09 |
| Quarter Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Q1 | 12 | +1.034 | 67% | 12.8 | +0.197 | 5/113 | 0.04 |
| Q2 | 8 | +1.130 | 75% | 6.9 | +0.199 | — | -0.01 |
| Q3 | 3 | +0.181 | 33% | 3.0 | +0.214 | — | -0.01 |
| Q4 | 11 | +0.656 | 55% | 5.9 | +0.156 | — | -0.03 |
| OT | 0 | — | — | — | +0.394 | — | — |
| Two-minute Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Last 2 min of half | 3 | +1.028 | 67% | 4.3 | +0.183 | — | 0.10 |
| Rest of game | 31 | +0.843 | 61% | 8.7 | +0.192 | 2/197 | 0.10 |
| Down Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1st down | 11 | +0.683 | 55% | 9.9 | +0.209 | — | 0.00 |
| 2nd down | 13 | +0.455 | 62% | 6.2 | +0.198 | 40/178 | 0.02 |
| 3rd down | 8 | +1.046 | 62% | 10.5 | +0.131 | — | -0.02 |
| 4th down | 2 | +3.702 | 100% | 5.0 | +0.400 | — | — |
| 3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3rd & 1–3 | 1 | -1.467 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.088 | — | — |
| 3rd & 4–6 | 5 | +1.669 | 80% | 15.4 | +0.200 | — | -0.27 |
| 3rd & 7+ | 2 | +0.746 | 50% | 3.5 | +0.110 | — | 0.02 |
| Field position Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| Own 20 and in | 5 | +0.456 | 60% | 7.0 | +0.190 | — | -0.04 |
| Own 50–21 | 15 | +0.066 | 40% | 6.8 | +0.188 | 122/193 | 0.04 |
| Opp 21–49 | 7 | +1.531 | 86% | 14.7 | +0.217 | — | 0.06 |
| Red zone (opp 20 in) | 7 | +2.174 | 86% | 6.1 | +0.140 | — | 0.05 |
| Formation Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Shotgun | 31 | +0.799 | 58% | 8.0 | +0.165 | 4/196 | -0.02 |
| Under center | 3 | +1.484 | 100% | 11.3 | +0.311 | — | -0.02 |
| Tempo Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Huddle | 34 | +0.859 | 62% | 8.3 | +0.194 | 2/197 | -0.00 |
| No huddle | 0 | — | — | — | +0.168 | — | -0.00 |
| Yards to go Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1–3 to go | 2 | -0.201 | 50% | 6.5 | +0.202 | — | 0.05 |
| 4–6 to go | 12 | +1.906 | 92% | 11.3 | +0.234 | 1/73 | 0.02 |
| 7–10 to go | 17 | +0.453 | 47% | 7.1 | +0.203 | 39/197 | 0.03 |
| 11+ to go | 3 | -0.319 | 33% | 4.3 | +0.081 | — | -0.07 |
| Pass depth Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Behind the line | 1 | +1.260 | 100% | 8.0 | -0.156 | — | 0.15 |
| Short (0–9) | 17 | +1.137 | 71% | 6.3 | +0.141 | 1/189 | 0.09 |
| Intermediate (10–19) | 11 | +0.223 | 45% | 7.1 | +0.435 | — | 0.07 |
| Deep (20+) | 5 | +1.233 | 60% | 18.0 | +0.472 | — | 0.01 |
| Pass direction Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Left | 13 | +0.545 | 54% | 6.7 | +0.177 | 25/187 | 0.04 |
| Middle | 12 | +1.145 | 75% | 11.2 | +0.283 | 8/108 | -0.02 |
| Right | 9 | +0.932 | 56% | 6.9 | +0.155 | — | 0.03 |
| Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Play action | 4 | +0.905 | 75% | 8.2 | +0.299 | — | -0.03 |
| No play action | 30 | +0.853 | 60% | 8.3 | +0.160 | 2/196 | -0.03 |
| In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| In pocket | 32 | +0.750 | 59% | 8.2 | +0.192 | 5/197 | -0.05 |
| Out of pocket | 2 | +2.612 | 100% | 11.0 | +0.183 | — | -0.05 |
| Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Blitzed | 8 | +1.766 | 100% | 10.0 | +0.232 | — | 0.08 |
| No blitz | 26 | +0.580 | 50% | 7.8 | +0.174 | 14/197 | 0.08 |
| Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3 or fewer rushers | 1 | +0.984 | 100% | 13.0 | +0.254 | — | — |
| 4 rushers | 28 | +0.687 | 54% | 8.2 | +0.169 | 9/197 | 0.12 |
| 5 rushers | 3 | +0.980 | 100% | 8.7 | +0.235 | — | 0.15 |
| 6+ rushers | 2 | +3.033 | 100% | 6.5 | +0.254 | — | — |
| Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Light box (6 or fewer) | 28 | +0.822 | 61% | 8.9 | +0.175 | 5/196 | -0.04 |
| 7 in the box | 5 | +0.840 | 60% | 4.8 | +0.240 | — | -0.05 |
| Stacked box (8+) | 1 | +1.989 | 100% | 9.0 | +0.242 | — | — |
| Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Screen | 1 | +1.260 | 100% | 8.0 | -0.032 | — | 0.50 |
| Not a screen | 33 | +0.847 | 61% | 8.3 | +0.213 | 3/197 | 0.50 |
| Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Motion | 17 | +0.462 | 53% | 8.1 | +0.214 | 41/193 | 0.10 |
| No motion | 17 | +1.257 | 71% | 8.5 | +0.163 | 2/191 | 0.10 |
| RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| RPO | 1 | -0.701 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.091 | — | — |
| Not an RPO | 33 | +0.906 | 64% | 8.6 | +0.193 | 1/197 | — |
| Pressure Defense (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Clean pocket | 28 | +1.027 | 64% | 8.7 | +0.256 | 2/197 | 0.01 |
| Pressured | 6 | +0.078 | 50% | 6.5 | -0.046 | — | 0.01 |
| Man / zone Defense (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Man | 8 | +1.982 | 88% | 7.4 | +0.211 | — | 0.03 |
| Zone | 26 | +0.514 | 54% | 8.6 | +0.181 | 25/197 | 0.03 |
| Coverage shell Defense (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Cover 0 | 2 | +3.033 | 100% | 6.5 | +0.266 | — | — |
| Cover 1 | 4 | +1.889 | 75% | 6.5 | +0.200 | — | 0.03 |
| 2-Man | 2 | +1.117 | 100% | 10.0 | +0.220 | — | — |
| Cover 2 | 9 | +0.289 | 44% | 5.6 | +0.137 | — | -0.09 |
| Cover 3 | 12 | +0.593 | 58% | 11.7 | +0.216 | 28/149 | 0.02 |
| Cover 4 | 3 | +0.896 | 67% | 3.3 | +0.210 | — | -0.08 |
| Cover 6 | 2 | +0.474 | 50% | 12.0 | +0.142 | — | — |
| Cover 9 | 0 | — | — | — | +0.159 | — | — |
| Combo | 0 | — | — | — | +0.206 | — | — |
| Blown coverage | 0 | — | — | — | +0.447 | — | — |
| Offensive personnel Scheme (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| 11 | 11 | +0.460 | 55% | 6.7 | +0.188 | — | 0.05 |
| 12 | 16 | +1.284 | 69% | 9.9 | +0.194 | 2/98 | 0.04 |
| 21 | 1 | +1.065 | 100% | 13.0 | +0.110 | — | -0.17 |
| 13 | 3 | +1.901 | 100% | 12.3 | +0.263 | — | — |
| 22 | 1 | -0.554 | 0% | 0.0 | -0.103 | — | — |
| 10 | 0 | — | — | — | +0.236 | — | — |
| Other | 2 | -1.306 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.192 | — | — |
By season
| Season | Team | Targets | EPA/play | Total EPA | Success | Yds/play | Catch rate | aDOT | YAC/catch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | MIA | 34 | +0.859 | +29.2 | 61.8% | 8.32 | 70.6% | 10.6 | 3.0 |
Definitions. QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). QB EPA doesn't charge the passer for a receiver's fumble after the catch. Rushing is designed runs only; receiving is EPA per target. EPA is about ±1.4 points a play, so a split of 50 plays carries roughly ±0.2 of luck.