Injury burden — 2026 Week 7

Counting bodies is useless — a team carries about nine players on injured reserve in a normal week but only ~2.6 full-time-equivalents' worth of usage. Each absence here is weighted by the share of snaps that player took in 2025.

TeamFTE lostQB WAR outInjured Susp.No historyBiggest absences
1 GB 7.07 — 13 — 1 Zach Bako-Bewele OL 100% · Edgerrin Cooper LB 99% · Johnathan Baldwin DB 99% · Micah Parsons LB 78% · Chris Brooks RB 56% · Javon Hargrave DL 53%
2 NYG 6.13 0.99 12 — 1 Tremaine Edmunds LB 97% · Jaxson Dart QB 84% · 1.0 WAR · Chauncey Golston DL 77% · Brian Burns LB 77% · Roy Robertson-Harris DL 57% · Calvin Austin III WR 54%
3 ATL 5.54 — 11 1 3 DeAngelo Malone LB 82% · JD Bertrand LB 82% · Cameron Williams OL 80% · Yasir Abdullah LB 69% · Da'Shawn Hand DL 56% · Jalon Walker LB 50%
4 DET 5.41 — 11 — 2 Devin White LB 99% · Kerby Joseph DB 88% · Thomas Harper DB 69% · Damone Clark LB 69% · Isiah Pacheco RB 52% · Ben Bartch OL 49%
5 NE 5.01 — 13 — 5 Greg Van Roten OL 100% · Romeo Doubs WR 78% · Reggie Gilliam RB 77% · Dell Pettus DB 73% · Mack Hollins WR 68% · Julian Hill TE 56%
6 SF 4.98 — 15 — 5 Ricky Pearsall WR 78% · Jake Tonges TE 66% · Sam Okuayinonu DL 62% · Isaac Guerendo RB 49% · Nate Hobbs DB 48% · Alfred Collins DL 48%
7 CHI 4.96 — 10 1 3 Coby Bryant DB 96% · Dayo Odeyingbo DL 76% · Montez Sweat DL 73% · Nephi Sewell LB 66% · Nikola Kalinic TE 62% · Braxton Jones OL 62%
8 CAR 4.92 — 10 — 3 Ikem Ekwonu OL 100% · Jaycee Horn DB 95% · Thomas Incoom LB 85% · Xavier Legette WR 68% · Nic Scourton LB 68% · Brady Christensen OL 58%
9 ARI 4.38 — 12 — 4 Will Johnson DB 87% · Isaiah Adams OL 74% · Hunter Long TE 56% · James Conner RB 50% · Tip Reiman TE 48% · Trey Benson RB 48%
10 LA 4.25 — 12 — 4 Myles Garrett LB 82% · Davante Adams WR 71% · Kobie Turner DL 67% · Justin Dedich OL 55% · Poona Ford DL 45% · Terrance Ferguson TE 42%
11 NYJ 4.16 — 11 — 3 Marcelino McCrary-Ball LB 82% · Francisco Mauigoa LB 79% · David Onyemata DL 57% · Kingsley Jonathan DL 50% · Braiden McGregor LB 41% · Arian Smith WR 40%
12 DAL 4.04 — 10 — 3 Jalen Thompson DB 98% · Marist Liufau LB 75% · Malik Davis RB 60% · P.J. Locke DB 59% · Princeton Fant TE 48% · Jonathan Bullard DL 34%
13 HOU 3.96 — 12 — 5 Jaylin Smith DB 77% · E.J. Speed LB 70% · British Brooks RB 66% · Dylan Horton DL 58% · Jayden Higgins WR 57% · Ali Gaye DL 35%
14 PHI 3.84 2.19 11 — 4 Jalen Hurts QB 98% · 2.2 WAR · Landon Dickerson OL 90% · Will Shipley RB 63% · Grant Calcaterra TE 52% · Andre' Sam DB 33% · Jakorian Bennett DB 26%
15 NO 3.50 — 11 — 3 Dillon Radunz OL 72% · Bryan Bresee DL 70% · Travis Etienne RB 60% · Ty Chandler RB 38% · Mason Tipton WR 35% · Rejzohn Wright DB 34%
16 BAL 3.37 — 10 — 4 Ethan Pocic OL 96% · T.J. Tampa DB 81% · Tavius Robinson LB 65% · Durham Smythe TE 51% · Danny Pinter OL 28% · Jovaughn Gwyn OL 15%
17 CIN 3.22 — 6 — 1 Andrei Iosivas WR 76% · Jalen Davis DB 66% · Swayze Bozeman LB 64% · Ja'Sir Taylor DB 58% · Tanner Hudson TE 57%
18 CLE 2.97 — 9 — 2 Dillon Gabriel QB 56% · -0.5 WAR · Alex Wright DL 55% · Edefuan Ulofoshio LB 50% · Kalia Davis DL 46% · Teven Jenkins OL 36% · Elijah Chatman DL 29%
19 MIN 2.90 — 5 — — Donovan Jackson OL 98% · Tyler Batty LB 88% · Josh Oliver TE 46% · Jamal Adams LB 40% · Nick Samac OL 18%
20 TEN 2.81 — 8 — 3 Kendell Brooks DB 88% · Dorian Mausi LB 72% · Jaylen Harrell LB 66% · Tanoh Kpassagnon DL 36% · Jackson Slater OL 18%
21 DEN 2.69 — 9 — 3 Jonah Elliss LB 72% · Tyler Badie RB 59% · Levelle Bailey LB 49% · Pat Bryant WR 48% · Frank Crum OL 28% · Michael Deiter OL 14%
22 TB 2.66 — 4 — — Christian Rozeboom LB 88% · Josh Hayes DB 82% · Jalen McMillan WR 52% · Mohamed Kamara LB 45%
23 LV 2.53 — 8 — 4 Chigozie Anusiem DB 76% · Carter Runyon TE 66% · Brennan Jackson LB 60% · Jack Bech WR 52%
24 KC 2.51 — 9 — 3 Josh Simmons OL 93% · Ethan Downs LB 69% · Tyquan Thornton WR 41% · Omarr Norman-Lott DL 26% · Brashard Smith RB 20% · Jimmy Holiday WR 2%
25 IND 2.46 — 6 — 2 Alec Pierce WR 86% · Arden Key DL 59% · Micheal Clemons DL 55% · Cameron Mitchell DB 45%
26 MIA 1.58 — 6 — 3 De'Von Achane RB 75% · Ronnie Harrison LB 75% · Cole Turner TE 8%
27 PIT 1.50 — 10 — 6 Derrick Harmon DL 55% · Sebastian Joseph-Day DL 45% · Roman Wilson WR 33% · Logan Lee DL 17%
28 SEA 1.36 — 7 — 3 Jake Bobo WR 46% · Elijah Arroyo TE 40% · Robbie Ouzts RB 31% · Mason Richman OL 19%
Two different units, kept apart on purpose. "FTE lost" is snap share — how much a coach used a player, not how good he was. "QB WAR out" is in wins, from 2025, and is the only position we publish a WAR for: play-by-play names 599 of 2,227 active players, so nobody on the line or in the secondary can be rated from it, and running-back rushing efficiency does not persist. Adding wins to snap-shares would be nonsense, so they are separate columns. QB WAR uses 35.7 points per win and a -0.129 EPA/dropback replacement level, both fitted rather than assumed. "No history" counts absent players with no 2025 snaps at all (rookies, and players new to the league); they are weighted zero, so a team carrying several of them is understated here.
Measured, not actionable. Across 2022-2025 an extra full-time-equivalent player out relative to the opponent was worth about 1.4 points of margin — and the closing line already prices it. The one window where burden predicted beating the number was weeks 15-18, which reads as eliminated teams shutting down rather than a mispricing. Study at backtests/injury_impact/FINDINGS.md.