NCAAB Today
2026-11-04 · D1 schedule + model-driven predictions
All games
85.4%
212 settled
Power-only
33.3%
6 settled
Mid-major-only
86.0%
121 settled
Backtested 67.7% on 14,777 walk-forward games, but the market beats it on real closing lines (66.95% vs 67.70%, ROI −6.2% to −8.9%) — informational, not a signal. Original claim covered 14,777 walk-forward
games. Stratification suggests mid-major lines may be sloppier (hypothesis: edge concentrates
in MAC/Sun Belt/American), but real ROI requires odds data we're capturing forward via the
EV scanner.
Today's slate
26 games
| Matchup | Conf | Predicted | Final | Win Prob | Total | ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairleigh Dickinson Knights @ Butler Bulldogs | NEC / Big East Mid | 54–80 | -- | BTLR 92% | 133.6 | -- |
| North Dakota State Bison @ Saint Mary's Gaels | Summit / WCC Mid | 72–74 | -- | SMC 61% | 146.2 | -- |
| Milwaukee Panthers @ Santa Clara Broncos | Horizon / WCC Mid | 72–90 | -- | SCU 90% | 162.2 | -- |
| Queens University Royals @ Loyola Marymount Lions | A-Sun / WCC Mid | 76–79 | -- | LMU 61% | 154.7 | -- |
| Champion Christian Tigers @ UL Monroe Warhawks | / Sun Belt Mid | 67–117 | -- | ULM 90% | 184.1 | -- |
| Radford Highlanders @ California Golden Bears | Big South / ACC Mid | 76–78 | -- | CAL 70% | 154.5 | -- |
| Cal State Northridge Matadors @ Wichita State Shockers | Big West / American Mid | 75–82 | -- | WICH 81% | 157.1 | -- |
| Longwood Lancers @ Saint Joseph's Hawks | Big South / Atlantic 10 Mid | 76–80 | -- | JOES 55% | 156.2 | -- |
| Framingham State Rams @ Dartmouth Big Green | / Ivy Mid | 58–85 | -- | DART 91% | 142.7 | -- |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks @ High Point Panthers | MEAC / Big South Mid | 64–80 | -- | HPU 91% | 144.4 | -- |
| SE Louisiana Lions @ Auburn Tigers | Southland / SEC Mid | 69–77 | -- | AUB 88% | 145.2 | -- |
| Salish Kootenai Bison @ Montana Grizzlies | / Big Sky Mid | 60–103 | -- | MONT 91% | 163.2 | -- |
| Erskine Flying Fleet @ UNC Asheville Bulldogs | / Big South Mid | 60–85 | -- | UNCA 91% | 145.0 | -- |
| Saint Mary of the Woods Pomeroys @ Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles | / OVC Mid | 55–81 | -- | USI 90% | 135.7 | -- |
| Randolph Wildcats @ Norfolk State Spartans | / MEAC Mid | 57–103 | -- | NORF 91% | 159.8 | -- |
| Grace University Lancers @ Utah Tech Trailblazers | / Big Sky Mid | 71–76 | -- | UTU 74% | 147.2 | -- |
| Bob Jones Bruins @ Furman Paladins | / SoCon Mid | 55–112 | -- | FUR 91% | 166.9 | -- |
| Concordia Chicago Cougars @ SIU Edwardsville Cougars | / OVC Mid | 62–70 | -- | SIUE 87% | 132.1 | -- |
| Webster Gorloks @ Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | / OVC Mid | 53–109 | -- | SEMO 92% | 161.6 | -- |
| Blue Mountain Christian Toppers @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles | / SoCon Mid | 55–85 | -- | TNTC 91% | 140.5 | -- |
| Central College Dutch @ Drake Bulldogs | / MVC Mid | 69–70 | -- | DRKE 68% | 138.6 | -- |
| Northern Kentucky Norse @ South Dakota Coyotes | Horizon / Summit Mid | 76–79 | -- | SDAK 67% | 154.9 | -- |
| Virginia Lynchburg Dragons @ Morgan State Bears | / MEAC Mid | 60–108 | -- | MORG 91% | 168.0 | -- |
| West Coast Baptist Eagles @ Boise State Broncos | / Pac-12 Mid | 56–124 | -- | BOIS 91% | 180.2 | -- |
| Christendom Crusaders @ App State Mountaineers | / Sun Belt Mid | 57–103 | -- | APP 92% | 160.6 | -- |
| Regent Regent Royals @ Old Dominion Monarchs | / Sun Belt Mid | 55–103 | -- | ODU 91% | 157.6 | -- |
Last 7 days
50 settled
| Date | Game | Conf | Predicted | Actual | Pick | ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | SHSU @ ALA | SEC | 77–83 | 74–96 | ALA (66%) | W |
| 2026-11-03 | WOF @ TENN | SEC | 73–80 | 59–90 | TENN (70%) | W |
| 2026-11-03 | WAG @ BC | ACC | 74–69 | 50–76 | WAG (60%) | L |
| 2026-11-03 | SDST @ KSU | Big 12 | 75–72 | 68–66 | KSU (63%) | L |
| 2026-11-03 | BTHS @ PAC | WCC | 55–110 | 47–102 | PAC (91%) | W |
| 2026-11-03 | HC @ URI | Atlantic 10 | 69–70 | 59–103 | URI (64%) | W |
| 2026-11-03 | CSUF @ SDSU | Pac-12 | 74–84 | 78–102 | SDSU (75%) | W |
| 2026-11-03 | HAMP @ GT | ACC | 74–75 | 55–75 | HAMP (57%) | L |
| 2026-11-03 | UNF @ CBU | Big West | 62–79 | 71–63 | CBU (91%) | L |
| 2026-11-03 | COPP @ VT | ACC | 63–79 | 54–88 | VT (80%) | W |
| 2026-11-03 | DREX @ UVA | ACC | 66–77 | 60–89 | UVA (79%) | W |
| 2026-11-03 | LIP @ IOWA | Big Ten | 71–74 | 54–76 | IOWA (61%) | W |
| 2026-11-03 | ALST @ TA&M | SEC | 71–79 | 66–97 | TA&M (71%) | W |
| 2026-11-03 | CLE @ MIZ | SEC | 74–84 | 50–111 | MIZ (84%) | W |
| 2026-11-03 | MAN @ UK | SEC | 73–80 | 57–85 | UK (82%) | W |
| 2026-11-03 | NOLA @ LSU | SEC | 77–78 | 57–100 | LSU (71%) | W |
| 2026-11-03 | STET @ SC | SEC | 73–76 | 55–81 | SC (62%) | W |
| 2026-11-03 | NAU @ UNLV | Mountain West | 69–80 | 77–89 | UNLV (86%) | W |
| 2026-11-03 | REGU @ WYO | Mountain West | 57–82 | 48–95 | WYO (91%) | W |
| 2026-11-03 | LCHR @ HCU | Southland | 54–77 | 45–108 | HCU (88%) | W |
| 2026-11-03 | PFW @ DUQ | Atlantic 10 | 70–73 | 71–78 | DUQ (62%) | W |
| 2026-11-03 | LC @ PRST | Big Sky | 66–84 | 59–111 | PRST (91%) | W |
| 2026-11-03 | MILG @ UNCG | SoCon | 65–106 | 43–96 | UNCG (91%) | W |
| 2026-11-03 | CNIA @ UNI | MVC | 62–70 | 70–106 | UNI (84%) | W |
| 2026-11-03 | LNMO @ MOST | C-USA | 56–79 | 60–88 | MOST (92%) | W |
| 2026-11-03 | WNMU @ NMSU | C-USA | 56–90 | 66–73 | NMSU (91%) | W |
| 2026-11-03 | UAPB @ ARK | SEC | 77–88 | 61–106 | ARK (88%) | W |
| 2026-11-03 | CHAP @ UCI | Big West | 56–113 | 66–92 | UCI (92%) | W |
| 2026-11-02 | LAF @ BTLR | Big East | 67–73 | 60–96 | BTLR (62%) | W |
| 2026-11-02 | MIA @ FLA | SEC | 72–86 | 67–77 | FLA (91%) | W |