Justin Jefferson
WR · MIN
· ESPN
· Pro Football Reference
Box score by season
| Season | Team | G | Cmp | Att | Pass yds | TD | Int | Sacked | Rush | Rush yds | TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | TD | vs ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | MIN | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -11 | 0 | 24 | 19 | 258 | 3 | ✓ matches |
| 2025 | MIN | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 141 | 84 | 1,048 | 2 | ✓ matches |
| 2024 | MIN | 17 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 154 | 103 | 1,533 | 10 | not checked |
| 2024 playoffs | MIN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 58 | 0 | |
| 2023 | MIN | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -12 | 0 | 100 | 68 | 1,074 | 5 | not checked |
| 2022 | MIN | 17 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 1 | 184 | 128 | 1,809 | 8 | not checked |
| 2022 playoffs | MIN | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 47 | 0 | |
| 2021 | MIN | 17 | 2 | 4 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 167 | 108 | 1,616 | 10 | not checked |
| 2020 | MIN | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 125 | 88 | 1,400 | 7 | not checked |
Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.
Advanced
Targets
24
qualifying bar 11
EPA/play
+0.839
9th of 192 · lg +0.194
Success rate
54.2%
60th of 192 · lg 49.6%
Yards/play
10.75
21st of 192 · lg 7.35
Explosive rate
16.7%
27th of 192 · lg 9.0%
Catch rate
79.2%
32nd of 192 · lg 67.2%
Air yards/att
11.0
62nd of 192 · lg 8.0
Turnover rate
0.0%
1st of 192 · lg 2.6%
TD rate
12.5%
15th of 192 · lg 4.8%
Every split
EPA per target in each situation, the league in the same situation, and his rank among qualified players with at least 12 targets there (1 = best). "Repeats" is how much that split's player-to-player differences carry from one season to the next (2016–25); near zero means it describes the past and predicts little. Click a situation to filter all his numbers to it.
| Situation | Targets | EPA/play | Success | Yds/play | League EPA | Rank | Repeats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home / away Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Home | 9 | +1.272 | 67% | 10.2 | +0.199 | — | -0.02 |
| Away | 15 | +0.579 | 47% | 11.1 | +0.194 | 12/83 | -0.03 |
| Neutral site | 0 | — | — | — | +0.154 | — | — |
| Rest days Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Short week (≤5 days) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.273 | — | 0.19 |
| Normal (6–8 days) | 15 | +0.579 | 47% | 11.1 | +0.181 | 21/144 | -0.01 |
| Extra rest (9–12 days) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.245 | — | 0.21 |
| Off a bye (13+ days) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.221 | — | — |
| Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Indoors | 16 | +1.057 | 62% | 10.7 | +0.224 | 1/43 | 0.05 |
| Outdoors | 8 | +0.403 | 38% | 10.9 | +0.182 | — | 0.05 |
| Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| 60–79°F | 6 | +0.249 | 33% | 9.2 | +0.210 | — | -0.02 |
| 80°F+ | 2 | +0.863 | 50% | 16.0 | +0.213 | — | 0.01 |
| Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| 0–9 mph | 8 | +0.403 | 38% | 10.9 | +0.215 | — | -0.09 |
| 10–14 mph | 0 | — | — | — | +0.200 | — | 0.05 |
| Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Dry | 2 | +0.863 | 50% | 16.0 | +0.190 | — | 0.03 |
| Rain or snow | 6 | +0.249 | 33% | 9.2 | +0.105 | — | 0.03 |
| Score Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Trailing 9+ | 5 | +1.463 | 60% | 13.4 | +0.194 | — | -0.01 |
| Trailing 1–8 | 7 | +0.737 | 71% | 9.0 | +0.179 | — | 0.07 |
| Tied | 6 | +0.635 | 50% | 13.0 | +0.213 | — | 0.02 |
| Leading 1–8 | 5 | +0.182 | 20% | 8.2 | +0.159 | — | -0.03 |
| Leading 9+ | 1 | +2.945 | 100% | 9.0 | +0.278 | — | -0.05 |
| Win probability Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Win prob under 20% | 1 | +3.117 | 100% | 17.0 | +0.185 | — | -0.05 |
| Win prob 20–80% | 21 | +0.691 | 52% | 10.7 | +0.191 | 13/130 | -0.02 |
| Win prob over 80% | 2 | +1.251 | 50% | 8.5 | +0.226 | — | 0.09 |
| Quarter Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Q1 | 10 | +0.646 | 50% | 10.6 | +0.150 | — | 0.04 |
| Q2 | 8 | +1.138 | 62% | 14.1 | +0.189 | — | -0.01 |
| Q3 | 1 | +2.998 | 100% | 15.0 | +0.189 | — | -0.01 |
| Q4 | 5 | +0.315 | 40% | 4.8 | +0.229 | — | -0.03 |
| OT | 0 | — | — | — | +0.439 | — | — |
| Two-minute Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Last 2 min of half | 3 | +0.531 | 67% | 13.7 | +0.133 | — | 0.10 |
| Rest of game | 21 | +0.883 | 52% | 10.3 | +0.206 | 7/155 | 0.10 |
| Down Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1st down | 4 | +1.283 | 75% | 16.5 | +0.229 | — | 0.00 |
| 2nd down | 9 | -0.176 | 22% | 6.4 | +0.185 | — | 0.02 |
| 3rd down | 11 | +1.508 | 73% | 12.2 | +0.138 | — | -0.02 |
| 4th down | 0 | — | — | — | +0.430 | — | — |
| 3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3rd & 1–3 | 2 | +1.628 | 100% | 20.0 | +0.162 | — | — |
| 3rd & 4–6 | 6 | +1.703 | 83% | 9.7 | +0.255 | — | -0.27 |
| 3rd & 7+ | 3 | +1.037 | 33% | 12.0 | +0.072 | — | 0.02 |
| Field position Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| Own 20 and in | 3 | +0.843 | 33% | 8.7 | +0.142 | — | -0.04 |
| Own 50–21 | 10 | +0.625 | 50% | 11.5 | +0.169 | — | 0.04 |
| Opp 21–49 | 7 | +0.896 | 57% | 12.6 | +0.226 | — | 0.06 |
| Red zone (opp 20 in) | 4 | +1.272 | 75% | 7.2 | +0.248 | — | 0.05 |
| Formation Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Shotgun | 20 | +0.807 | 50% | 11.1 | +0.177 | 13/156 | -0.02 |
| Under center | 4 | +1.000 | 75% | 9.0 | +0.264 | — | -0.02 |
| Tempo Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Huddle | 21 | +0.659 | 52% | 9.6 | +0.196 | 21/171 | -0.00 |
| No huddle | 3 | +2.098 | 67% | 18.7 | +0.179 | — | -0.00 |
| Yards to go Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1–3 to go | 3 | +1.722 | 100% | 23.3 | +0.228 | — | 0.05 |
| 4–6 to go | 8 | +1.103 | 62% | 7.5 | +0.269 | — | 0.02 |
| 7–10 to go | 7 | +1.095 | 57% | 12.9 | +0.204 | — | 0.03 |
| 11+ to go | 6 | -0.253 | 17% | 6.3 | +0.072 | — | -0.07 |
| Pass depth Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Behind the line | 6 | +0.389 | 50% | 6.5 | -0.214 | — | 0.15 |
| Short (0–9) | 6 | +0.360 | 33% | 6.7 | +0.173 | — | 0.09 |
| Intermediate (10–19) | 8 | +1.100 | 62% | 11.0 | +0.428 | — | 0.07 |
| Deep (20+) | 4 | +1.713 | 75% | 22.8 | +0.462 | — | 0.01 |
| Pass direction Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Left | 9 | +0.671 | 44% | 11.7 | +0.141 | — | 0.04 |
| Middle | 5 | +1.153 | 60% | 12.8 | +0.330 | — | -0.02 |
| Right | 10 | +0.834 | 60% | 8.9 | +0.173 | — | 0.03 |
| Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Play action | 8 | +1.155 | 75% | 12.6 | +0.279 | — | -0.03 |
| No play action | 16 | +0.681 | 44% | 9.8 | +0.186 | 16/131 | -0.03 |
| In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| In pocket | 22 | +0.983 | 59% | 11.7 | +0.207 | 5/146 | -0.05 |
| Out of pocket | 2 | -0.745 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.209 | — | -0.05 |
| Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Blitzed | 9 | +1.260 | 78% | 11.9 | +0.184 | — | 0.08 |
| No blitz | 15 | +0.587 | 40% | 10.1 | +0.217 | 28/124 | 0.08 |
| Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3 or fewer rushers | 3 | +1.042 | 67% | 14.3 | +0.274 | — | — |
| 4 rushers | 11 | +0.517 | 36% | 9.4 | +0.215 | — | 0.12 |
| 5 rushers | 6 | +0.561 | 67% | 8.5 | +0.203 | — | 0.15 |
| 6+ rushers | 3 | +2.658 | 100% | 18.7 | +0.136 | — | — |
| Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Light box (6 or fewer) | 17 | +0.567 | 47% | 9.3 | +0.182 | 20/112 | -0.04 |
| 7 in the box | 5 | +1.629 | 80% | 18.2 | +0.239 | — | -0.05 |
| Stacked box (8+) | 2 | +1.179 | 50% | 4.5 | +0.324 | — | — |
| Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Screen | 4 | -0.201 | 25% | 6.2 | -0.098 | — | 0.50 |
| Not a screen | 20 | +1.047 | 60% | 11.7 | +0.239 | 4/149 | 0.50 |
| Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Motion | 8 | +0.515 | 50% | 10.1 | +0.240 | — | 0.10 |
| No motion | 16 | +1.001 | 56% | 11.1 | +0.166 | 2/57 | 0.10 |
| RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| RPO | 0 | — | — | — | -0.103 | — | — |
| Not an RPO | 24 | +0.839 | 54% | 10.8 | +0.214 | 9/163 | — |
By season
| Season | Team | Targets | EPA/play | Total EPA | Success | Yds/play | Catch rate | aDOT | YAC/catch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | MIN | 24 | +0.839 | +20.1 | 54.2% | 10.75 | 79.2% | 11.0 | 3.8 |
Definitions. QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). QB EPA doesn't charge the passer for a receiver's fumble after the catch. Rushing is designed runs only; receiving is EPA per target. EPA is about ±1.4 points a play, so a split of 50 plays carries roughly ±0.2 of luck.