Josh Palmer
WR · BUF
· ESPN
· Pro Football Reference
Box score by season
| Season | Team | G | Rush | Rush yds | TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | TD | vs ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | BUF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 117 | 2 | ✓ matches |
| 2025 | BUF | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 22 | 303 | 0 | ✓ matches |
| 2024 | LAC | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 39 | 575 | 1 | not checked |
| 2023 | LAC | 10 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 61 | 38 | 581 | 2 | not checked |
| 2022 | LAC | 16 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 107 | 72 | 769 | 3 | not checked |
| 2022 playoffs | LAC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 0 | |
| 2021 | LAC | 15 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 49 | 33 | 353 | 4 | not checked |
Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.
Advanced
Targets
11
qualifying bar 11
EPA/play
+0.588
26th of 192 · lg +0.194
Success rate
27.3%
182nd of 192 · lg 49.6%
Yards/play
10.64
23rd of 192 · lg 7.35
Explosive rate
27.3%
3rd of 192 · lg 9.0%
Catch rate
36.4%
185th of 192 · lg 67.2%
Air yards/att
23.5
1st of 192 · lg 8.0
Turnover rate
9.1%
184th of 192 · lg 2.6%
TD rate
18.2%
6th of 192 · lg 4.8%
Every split
EPA per target in each situation, the league in the same situation, and his rank among qualified players with at least 12 targets there (1 = best). "Repeats" is how much that split's player-to-player differences carry from one season to the next (2016–25); near zero means it describes the past and predicts little. Click a situation to filter all his numbers to it.
| Situation | Targets | EPA/play | Success | Yds/play | League EPA | Rank | Repeats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home / away Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Home | 7 | +0.062 | 14% | 6.6 | +0.199 | — | -0.02 |
| Away | 4 | +1.509 | 50% | 17.8 | +0.194 | — | -0.03 |
| Neutral site | 0 | — | — | — | +0.154 | — | — |
| Rest days Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Short week (≤5 days) | 3 | +1.607 | 33% | 14.3 | +0.273 | — | 0.19 |
| Normal (6–8 days) | 6 | -0.412 | 17% | 6.7 | +0.181 | — | -0.01 |
| Extra rest (9–12 days) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.245 | — | 0.21 |
| Off a bye (13+ days) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.221 | — | — |
| Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Indoors | 4 | +1.509 | 50% | 17.8 | +0.224 | — | 0.05 |
| Outdoors | 7 | +0.062 | 14% | 6.6 | +0.182 | — | 0.05 |
| Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| 60–79°F | 7 | +0.062 | 14% | 6.6 | +0.210 | — | -0.02 |
| 80°F+ | 0 | — | — | — | +0.213 | — | 0.01 |
| Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| 0–9 mph | 3 | +1.607 | 33% | 14.3 | +0.215 | — | -0.09 |
| 10–14 mph | 4 | -1.097 | 0% | 0.8 | +0.200 | — | 0.05 |
| Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Dry | 7 | +0.062 | 14% | 6.6 | +0.190 | — | 0.03 |
| Rain or snow | 0 | — | — | — | +0.105 | — | 0.03 |
| Score Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Trailing 9+ | 0 | — | — | — | +0.194 | — | -0.01 |
| Trailing 1–8 | 6 | +0.614 | 33% | 12.3 | +0.179 | — | 0.07 |
| Tied | 1 | -1.501 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.213 | — | 0.02 |
| Leading 1–8 | 2 | +2.462 | 50% | 21.5 | +0.159 | — | -0.03 |
| Leading 9+ | 2 | -0.320 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.278 | — | -0.05 |
| Win probability Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Win prob under 20% | 0 | — | — | — | +0.185 | — | -0.05 |
| Win prob 20–80% | 9 | +0.790 | 33% | 13.0 | +0.191 | — | -0.02 |
| Win prob over 80% | 2 | -0.320 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.226 | — | 0.09 |
| Quarter Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Q1 | 2 | +3.956 | 100% | 40.0 | +0.150 | — | 0.04 |
| Q2 | 4 | -0.669 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.189 | — | -0.01 |
| Q3 | 1 | -0.831 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.189 | — | -0.01 |
| Q4 | 4 | +0.516 | 25% | 9.2 | +0.229 | — | -0.03 |
| OT | 0 | — | — | — | +0.439 | — | — |
| Two-minute Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Last 2 min of half | 6 | +0.203 | 17% | 5.7 | +0.133 | — | 0.10 |
| Rest of game | 5 | +1.050 | 40% | 16.6 | +0.206 | — | 0.10 |
| Down Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1st down | 3 | +0.616 | 33% | 13.3 | +0.229 | — | 0.00 |
| 2nd down | 5 | -0.785 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.185 | — | 0.02 |
| 3rd down | 3 | +2.848 | 67% | 25.7 | +0.138 | — | -0.02 |
| 4th down | 0 | — | — | — | +0.430 | — | — |
| 3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3rd & 1–3 | 1 | -1.501 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.162 | — | — |
| 3rd & 4–6 | 0 | — | — | — | +0.255 | — | -0.27 |
| 3rd & 7+ | 2 | +5.023 | 100% | 38.5 | +0.072 | — | 0.02 |
| Field position Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| Own 20 and in | 0 | — | — | — | +0.142 | — | -0.04 |
| Own 50–21 | 7 | -0.397 | 14% | 5.3 | +0.169 | — | 0.04 |
| Opp 21–49 | 4 | +2.312 | 50% | 20.0 | +0.226 | — | 0.06 |
| Red zone (opp 20 in) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.248 | — | 0.05 |
| Formation Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Shotgun | 7 | +0.902 | 29% | 11.0 | +0.177 | — | -0.02 |
| Under center | 4 | +0.039 | 25% | 10.0 | +0.264 | — | -0.02 |
| Tempo Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Huddle | 11 | +0.588 | 27% | 10.6 | +0.196 | — | -0.00 |
| No huddle | 0 | — | — | — | +0.179 | — | -0.00 |
| Yards to go Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1–3 to go | 1 | -1.501 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.228 | — | 0.05 |
| 4–6 to go | 3 | -0.789 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.269 | — | 0.02 |
| 7–10 to go | 4 | +0.189 | 25% | 10.0 | +0.204 | — | 0.03 |
| 11+ to go | 3 | +3.193 | 67% | 25.7 | +0.072 | — | -0.07 |
| Pass depth Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Behind the line | 0 | — | — | — | -0.214 | — | 0.15 |
| Short (0–9) | 3 | -0.323 | 0% | 1.0 | +0.173 | — | 0.09 |
| Intermediate (10–19) | 1 | -0.536 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.428 | — | 0.07 |
| Deep (20+) | 7 | +1.139 | 43% | 16.3 | +0.462 | — | 0.01 |
| Pass direction Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Left | 5 | -0.778 | 0% | 0.6 | +0.141 | — | 0.04 |
| Middle | 3 | +2.848 | 67% | 25.7 | +0.330 | — | -0.02 |
| Right | 3 | +0.605 | 33% | 12.3 | +0.173 | — | 0.03 |
| Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Play action | 1 | -0.468 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.279 | — | -0.03 |
| No play action | 8 | +0.627 | 25% | 10.0 | +0.186 | — | -0.03 |
| In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| In pocket | 7 | +0.917 | 29% | 11.4 | +0.207 | — | -0.05 |
| Out of pocket | 2 | -0.933 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.209 | — | -0.05 |
| Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Blitzed | 2 | +2.592 | 50% | 21.5 | +0.184 | — | 0.08 |
| No blitz | 7 | -0.091 | 14% | 5.3 | +0.217 | — | 0.08 |
| Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3 or fewer rushers | 0 | — | — | — | +0.274 | — | — |
| 4 rushers | 7 | -0.091 | 14% | 5.3 | +0.215 | — | 0.12 |
| 5 rushers | 0 | — | — | — | +0.203 | — | 0.15 |
| 6+ rushers | 2 | +2.592 | 50% | 21.5 | +0.136 | — | — |
| Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Light box (6 or fewer) | 5 | +0.144 | 20% | 6.8 | +0.182 | — | -0.04 |
| 7 in the box | 3 | +1.387 | 33% | 14.3 | +0.239 | — | -0.05 |
| Stacked box (8+) | 1 | -0.329 | 0% | 3.0 | +0.324 | — | — |
| Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Screen | 0 | — | — | — | -0.098 | — | 0.50 |
| Not a screen | 9 | +0.506 | 22% | 8.9 | +0.239 | — | 0.50 |
| Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Motion | 5 | -0.660 | 0% | 0.6 | +0.240 | — | 0.10 |
| No motion | 4 | +1.963 | 50% | 19.2 | +0.166 | — | 0.10 |
| RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| RPO | 0 | — | — | — | -0.103 | — | — |
| Not an RPO | 9 | +0.506 | 22% | 8.9 | +0.214 | — | — |
By season
| Season | Team | Targets | EPA/play | Total EPA | Success | Yds/play | Catch rate | aDOT | YAC/catch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | BUF | 11 | +0.588 | +6.5 | 27.3% | 10.64 | 36.4% | 23.5 | 4.2 |
Definitions. QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). QB EPA doesn't charge the passer for a receiver's fumble after the catch. Rushing is designed runs only; receiving is EPA per target. EPA is about ±1.4 points a play, so a split of 50 plays carries roughly ±0.2 of luck.