Josh Palmer
WR · BUF
· ESPN
· Pro Football Reference
Box score by season
| Season | Team | G | Rush | Rush yds | TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | TD | vs ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | BUF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 117 | 2 | ✓ matches |
| 2025 | BUF | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 22 | 303 | 0 | ✓ matches |
| 2024 | LAC | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 39 | 575 | 1 | not checked |
| 2023 | LAC | 10 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 61 | 38 | 581 | 2 | not checked |
| 2022 | LAC | 16 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 107 | 72 | 769 | 3 | not checked |
| 2022 playoffs | LAC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 0 | |
| 2021 | LAC | 15 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 49 | 33 | 353 | 4 | not checked |
Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.
Advanced
Targets
37
qualifying bar 32
EPA/play
+0.182
107th of 197 · lg +0.191
Success rate
43.2%
149th of 197 · lg 50.0%
Yards/play
9.08
28th of 197 · lg 7.37
Explosive rate
13.5%
45th of 197 · lg 9.4%
Catch rate
59.5%
159th of 197 · lg 67.5%
Air yards/att
11.5
54th of 197 · lg 7.9
Turnover rate
5.4%
175th of 197 · lg 2.6%
TD rate
0.0%
178th of 197 · lg 4.9%
Notable in 2025
His biggest gaps between one situation and the rest of his plays, beyond the league's own gap there (|z| ≥ 2.5). Many splits get checked, so some of these are luck; the badge says whether that kind of split repeats year to year.
- +1.23 EPA/target between his own 21 and 50 vs -0.81 the rest of the time (18 vs 19; league gap -0.00; z +4.0) mostly noise · r 0.04
Every split
EPA per target in each situation, the league in the same situation, and his rank among qualified players with at least 12 targets there (1 = best). "Repeats" is how much that split's player-to-player differences carry from one season to the next (2016–25); near zero means it describes the past and predicts little. Click a situation to filter all his numbers to it.
| Situation | Targets | EPA/play | Success | Yds/play | League EPA | Rank | Repeats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home / away Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Home | 25 | -0.128 | 36% | 6.3 | +0.199 | 172/193 | -0.02 |
| Away | 12 | +0.828 | 58% | 14.9 | +0.181 | 9/193 | -0.03 |
| Neutral site | 0 | — | — | — | +0.222 | — | — |
| Rest days Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Short week (≤5 days) | 5 | +0.386 | 60% | 11.8 | +0.229 | — | 0.19 |
| Normal (6–8 days) | 20 | +0.111 | 40% | 9.6 | +0.182 | 121/197 | -0.01 |
| Extra rest (9–12 days) | 3 | +0.552 | 67% | 8.3 | +0.220 | — | 0.21 |
| Off a bye (13+ days) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.216 | — | — |
| Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Indoors | 6 | +0.977 | 67% | 19.0 | +0.180 | — | 0.05 |
| Outdoors | 31 | +0.028 | 39% | 7.2 | +0.197 | 138/192 | 0.05 |
| Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Under 40°F | 13 | -0.538 | 23% | 3.7 | +0.172 | 39/41 | 0.05 |
| 40–59°F | 9 | +0.105 | 33% | 6.8 | +0.172 | — | -0.05 |
| 60–79°F | 6 | +0.610 | 67% | 11.0 | +0.241 | — | -0.02 |
| 80°F+ | 3 | +1.090 | 67% | 15.7 | +0.171 | — | 0.01 |
| Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| 0–9 mph | 22 | +0.401 | 50% | 9.2 | +0.216 | 45/177 | -0.09 |
| 10–14 mph | 3 | -0.628 | 0% | 0.3 | +0.170 | — | 0.05 |
| 15+ mph | 6 | -1.010 | 17% | 3.2 | +0.105 | — | -0.05 |
| Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Dry | 27 | -0.003 | 37% | 7.2 | +0.199 | 141/188 | 0.03 |
| Rain or snow | 4 | +0.238 | 50% | 7.0 | +0.157 | — | 0.03 |
| Score Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Trailing 9+ | 7 | +0.196 | 43% | 5.9 | +0.095 | — | -0.01 |
| Trailing 1–8 | 14 | +0.609 | 50% | 14.4 | +0.227 | 22/153 | 0.07 |
| Tied | 5 | -0.917 | 40% | 3.8 | +0.144 | — | 0.02 |
| Leading 1–8 | 5 | -0.094 | 40% | 5.2 | +0.239 | — | -0.03 |
| Leading 9+ | 6 | +0.317 | 33% | 8.2 | +0.316 | — | -0.05 |
| Win probability Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Win prob under 20% | 10 | +0.494 | 40% | 9.8 | +0.092 | — | -0.05 |
| Win prob 20–80% | 20 | +0.172 | 55% | 10.8 | +0.203 | 104/195 | -0.02 |
| Win prob over 80% | 7 | -0.234 | 14% | 3.1 | +0.295 | — | 0.09 |
| Quarter Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Q1 | 6 | +0.299 | 50% | 15.2 | +0.197 | — | 0.04 |
| Q2 | 10 | +0.255 | 50% | 7.8 | +0.199 | — | -0.01 |
| Q3 | 9 | +0.003 | 44% | 5.8 | +0.214 | — | -0.01 |
| Q4 | 12 | +0.198 | 33% | 9.6 | +0.156 | 80/150 | -0.03 |
| OT | 0 | — | — | — | +0.394 | — | — |
| Two-minute Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Last 2 min of half | 4 | +0.971 | 50% | 22.2 | +0.183 | — | 0.10 |
| Rest of game | 33 | +0.087 | 42% | 7.5 | +0.192 | 132/197 | 0.10 |
| Down Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1st down | 12 | +0.179 | 33% | 8.1 | +0.209 | 109/176 | 0.00 |
| 2nd down | 16 | +0.166 | 56% | 8.9 | +0.198 | 102/178 | 0.02 |
| 3rd down | 7 | +0.038 | 29% | 7.6 | +0.131 | — | -0.02 |
| 4th down | 2 | +0.838 | 50% | 22.0 | +0.400 | — | — |
| 3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3rd & 1–3 | 1 | -0.164 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.088 | — | — |
| 3rd & 4–6 | 2 | +0.194 | 50% | 6.5 | +0.200 | — | -0.27 |
| 3rd & 7+ | 4 | +0.009 | 25% | 10.0 | +0.110 | — | 0.02 |
| Field position Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| Own 20 and in | 4 | -1.209 | 25% | 5.2 | +0.190 | — | -0.04 |
| Own 50–21 | 18 | +1.225 | 72% | 15.9 | +0.188 | 1/193 | 0.04 |
| Opp 21–49 | 9 | -0.903 | 11% | 1.6 | +0.217 | — | 0.06 |
| Red zone (opp 20 in) | 6 | -0.391 | 17% | 2.3 | +0.140 | — | 0.05 |
| Formation Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Shotgun | 25 | +0.195 | 48% | 9.2 | +0.165 | 92/196 | -0.02 |
| Under center | 12 | +0.155 | 33% | 8.8 | +0.311 | 52/71 | -0.02 |
| Tempo Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Huddle | 36 | +0.200 | 44% | 9.3 | +0.194 | 98/197 | -0.00 |
| No huddle | 1 | -0.467 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.168 | — | -0.00 |
| Yards to go Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1–3 to go | 3 | -0.524 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.202 | — | 0.05 |
| 4–6 to go | 8 | +0.009 | 50% | 7.0 | +0.234 | — | 0.02 |
| 7–10 to go | 22 | +0.074 | 36% | 9.2 | +0.203 | 141/197 | 0.03 |
| 11+ to go | 4 | +1.652 | 100% | 19.2 | +0.081 | — | -0.07 |
| Pass depth Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Behind the line | 2 | -0.526 | 0% | 1.5 | -0.156 | — | 0.15 |
| Short (0–9) | 12 | -0.292 | 33% | 4.7 | +0.141 | 177/189 | 0.09 |
| Intermediate (10–19) | 18 | +0.351 | 50% | 9.8 | +0.435 | 69/111 | 0.07 |
| Deep (20+) | 5 | +0.998 | 60% | 20.0 | +0.472 | — | 0.01 |
| Pass direction Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Left | 9 | -0.122 | 33% | 6.3 | +0.177 | — | 0.04 |
| Middle | 11 | +0.018 | 55% | 9.5 | +0.283 | — | -0.02 |
| Right | 17 | +0.450 | 41% | 10.3 | +0.155 | 32/185 | 0.03 |
| Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Play action | 8 | +0.304 | 38% | 10.8 | +0.299 | — | -0.03 |
| No play action | 29 | +0.149 | 45% | 8.6 | +0.160 | 105/196 | -0.03 |
| In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| In pocket | 32 | +0.227 | 44% | 9.7 | +0.192 | 89/197 | -0.05 |
| Out of pocket | 5 | -0.103 | 40% | 5.2 | +0.183 | — | -0.05 |
| Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Blitzed | 10 | -0.747 | 20% | 3.2 | +0.232 | — | 0.08 |
| No blitz | 27 | +0.526 | 52% | 11.3 | +0.174 | 24/197 | 0.08 |
| Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3 or fewer rushers | 1 | +1.063 | 100% | 15.0 | +0.254 | — | — |
| 4 rushers | 26 | +0.386 | 50% | 9.5 | +0.169 | 46/197 | 0.12 |
| 5 rushers | 7 | -0.793 | 14% | 7.0 | +0.235 | — | 0.15 |
| 6+ rushers | 2 | +0.601 | 50% | 6.5 | +0.254 | — | — |
| Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Light box (6 or fewer) | 26 | +0.287 | 50% | 9.3 | +0.175 | 58/196 | -0.04 |
| 7 in the box | 8 | -0.448 | 25% | 4.1 | +0.240 | — | -0.05 |
| Stacked box (8+) | 2 | +1.441 | 50% | 24.5 | +0.242 | — | — |
| Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Screen | 0 | — | — | — | -0.032 | — | 0.50 |
| Not a screen | 37 | +0.182 | 43% | 9.1 | +0.213 | 109/197 | 0.50 |
| Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Motion | 22 | +0.132 | 50% | 10.3 | +0.214 | 113/193 | 0.10 |
| No motion | 15 | +0.255 | 33% | 7.3 | +0.163 | 68/191 | 0.10 |
| RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| RPO | 0 | — | — | — | +0.091 | — | — |
| Not an RPO | 37 | +0.182 | 43% | 9.1 | +0.193 | 109/197 | — |
| Pressure Defense (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Clean pocket | 32 | +0.496 | 47% | 10.0 | +0.256 | 31/197 | 0.01 |
| Pressured | 5 | -1.828 | 20% | 3.0 | -0.046 | — | 0.01 |
| Man / zone Defense (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Man | 19 | +0.074 | 37% | 7.8 | +0.211 | 95/151 | 0.03 |
| Zone | 18 | +0.297 | 50% | 10.4 | +0.181 | 74/197 | 0.03 |
| Coverage shell Defense (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Cover 0 | 3 | -0.536 | 0% | 0.3 | +0.266 | — | — |
| Cover 1 | 16 | +0.188 | 44% | 9.2 | +0.200 | 61/112 | 0.03 |
| 2-Man | 0 | — | — | — | +0.220 | — | — |
| Cover 2 | 6 | -0.251 | 33% | 4.0 | +0.137 | — | -0.09 |
| Cover 3 | 6 | -0.228 | 50% | 7.0 | +0.216 | — | 0.02 |
| Cover 4 | 2 | +3.732 | 100% | 44.5 | +0.210 | — | -0.08 |
| Cover 6 | 1 | +0.675 | 100% | 10.0 | +0.142 | — | — |
| Cover 9 | 3 | +0.024 | 33% | 7.3 | +0.159 | — | — |
| Combo | 0 | — | — | — | +0.206 | — | — |
| Blown coverage | 0 | — | — | — | +0.447 | — | — |
| Offensive personnel Scheme (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| 11 | 31 | +0.145 | 45% | 8.5 | +0.188 | 111/193 | 0.05 |
| 12 | 5 | +0.454 | 40% | 11.8 | +0.194 | — | 0.04 |
| 21 | 0 | — | — | — | +0.110 | — | -0.17 |
| 13 | 0 | — | — | — | +0.263 | — | — |
| 22 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.103 | — | — |
| 10 | 0 | — | — | — | +0.236 | — | — |
| Other | 1 | -0.010 | 0% | 13.0 | +0.192 | — | — |
By season
| Season | Team | Targets | EPA/play | Total EPA | Success | Yds/play | Catch rate | aDOT | YAC/catch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | BUF | 37 | +0.182 | +6.7 | 43.2% | 9.08 | 59.5% | 11.5 | 2.5 |
Definitions. QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). QB EPA doesn't charge the passer for a receiver's fumble after the catch. Rushing is designed runs only; receiving is EPA per target. EPA is about ±1.4 points a play, so a split of 50 plays carries roughly ±0.2 of luck.