Jaylen Warren
Box score by season
| Season | Team | G | Rush | Rush yds | TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | TD | vs ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | PIT | 6 | 84 | 460 | 1 | 30 | 21 | 258 | 1 | 1 differ (Targets 30 vs 29) |
| 2025 | PIT | 16 | 211 | 958 | 6 | 45 | 40 | 333 | 2 | ✓ matches |
| 2025 playoffs | PIT | 1 | 12 | 43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | |
| 2024 | PIT | 15 | 120 | 511 | 1 | 47 | 38 | 310 | 0 | not checked |
| 2024 playoffs | PIT | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 0 | |
| 2023 | PIT | 17 | 149 | 784 | 4 | 74 | 61 | 370 | 0 | not checked |
| 2023 playoffs | PIT | 1 | 8 | 38 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 0 | |
| 2022 | PIT | 16 | 77 | 379 | 1 | 33 | 28 | 214 | 0 | not checked |
Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.
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Notable in 2026
His biggest gaps between one situation and the rest of his plays, beyond the league's own gap there (|z| ≥ 2.5). Many splits get checked, so some of these are luck; the badge says whether that kind of split repeats year to year.
- +0.89 EPA/target on 1st down vs -0.68 the rest of the time (14 vs 16; league gap +0.05; z +2.7) mostly noise · r 0.00
- -0.84 EPA/target against light boxes vs +0.80 the rest of the time (12 vs 14; league gap -0.07; z -2.6) mostly noise · r -0.04
Every split
EPA per designed run in each situation, the league in the same situation, and his rank among qualified players with at least 20 designed runs there (1 = best). "Repeats" is how much that split's player-to-player differences carry from one season to the next (2016–25); near zero means it describes the past and predicts little. Click a situation to filter all his numbers to it.
| Situation | Designed runs | EPA/play | Success | Yds/play | League EPA | Rank | Repeats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home / away Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Home | 42 | +0.170 | 48% | 6.5 | -0.095 | 3/37 | 0.01 |
| Away | 42 | -0.047 | 40% | 4.4 | -0.075 | 17/33 | -0.00 |
| Neutral site | 0 | — | — | — | -0.079 | — | — |
| Rest days Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Short week (≤5 days) | 17 | +0.101 | 53% | 5.5 | +0.040 | — | 0.32 |
| Normal (6–8 days) | 42 | -0.010 | 38% | 5.2 | -0.113 | 11/40 | -0.14 |
| Extra rest (9–12 days) | 15 | +0.339 | 53% | 6.7 | -0.035 | — | -0.03 |
| Off a bye (13+ days) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.128 | — | — |
| Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Indoors | 0 | — | — | — | -0.117 | — | 0.00 |
| Outdoors | 84 | +0.061 | 44% | 5.5 | -0.071 | 10/36 | 0.00 |
| Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| 60–79°F | 55 | +0.028 | 44% | 5.6 | -0.062 | 9/23 | 0.02 |
| 80°F+ | 0 | — | — | — | -0.039 | — | -0.32 |
| Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| 0–9 mph | 21 | -0.166 | 33% | 4.2 | -0.070 | 24/27 | 0.07 |
| 10–14 mph | 34 | +0.147 | 50% | 6.5 | -0.012 | 3/7 | 0.12 |
| Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Dry | 84 | +0.061 | 44% | 5.5 | -0.061 | 10/34 | — |
| Rain or snow | 0 | — | — | — | -0.167 | — | — |
| Score Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Trailing 9+ | 16 | -0.150 | 38% | 3.5 | -0.027 | — | 0.01 |
| Trailing 1–8 | 18 | +0.214 | 50% | 6.0 | -0.082 | — | 0.02 |
| Tied | 21 | -0.105 | 38% | 4.8 | -0.125 | 9/17 | 0.10 |
| Leading 1–8 | 25 | +0.248 | 48% | 7.2 | -0.087 | 1/18 | 0.00 |
| Leading 9+ | 4 | -0.073 | 50% | 4.2 | -0.076 | — | -0.13 |
| Win probability Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Win prob under 20% | 16 | -0.129 | 38% | 3.7 | +0.007 | — | 0.13 |
| Win prob 20–80% | 56 | +0.075 | 43% | 6.0 | -0.095 | 5/40 | -0.05 |
| Win prob over 80% | 12 | +0.250 | 58% | 5.4 | -0.097 | — | -0.09 |
| Quarter Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Q1 | 22 | -0.128 | 32% | 4.0 | -0.092 | 12/22 | 0.09 |
| Q2 | 15 | -0.028 | 33% | 6.1 | -0.076 | — | -0.04 |
| Q3 | 15 | +0.233 | 53% | 7.5 | -0.043 | — | 0.12 |
| Q4 | 28 | +0.195 | 54% | 5.6 | -0.118 | 3/15 | -0.02 |
| OT | 4 | -0.138 | 50% | 3.2 | -0.257 | — | — |
| Two-minute Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Last 2 min of half | 4 | -0.060 | 50% | 3.0 | -0.111 | — | — |
| Rest of game | 80 | +0.067 | 44% | 5.6 | -0.083 | 8/40 | — |
| Down Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1st down | 42 | +0.127 | 43% | 7.1 | -0.098 | 2/40 | 0.02 |
| 2nd down | 35 | -0.083 | 40% | 4.1 | -0.103 | 17/30 | -0.03 |
| 3rd down | 6 | +0.224 | 67% | 2.8 | +0.035 | — | -0.14 |
| 4th down | 1 | +1.378 | 100% | 1.0 | -0.027 | — | — |
| 3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3rd & 1–3 | 4 | +0.681 | 100% | 3.5 | +0.088 | — | — |
| 3rd & 4–6 | 1 | -0.864 | 0% | 3.0 | -0.167 | — | — |
| 3rd & 7+ | 1 | -0.517 | 0% | 0.0 | -0.069 | — | — |
| Field position Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| Own 20 and in | 7 | -0.242 | 14% | 4.9 | -0.147 | — | 0.05 |
| Own 50–21 | 48 | +0.081 | 46% | 5.9 | -0.098 | 6/31 | -0.01 |
| Opp 21–49 | 25 | +0.102 | 48% | 4.8 | -0.074 | 5/31 | 0.07 |
| Red zone (opp 20 in) | 4 | +0.097 | 50% | 5.0 | -0.038 | — | 0.06 |
| Formation Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Shotgun | 33 | +0.098 | 48% | 4.4 | -0.110 | 4/25 | 0.03 |
| Under center | 51 | +0.037 | 41% | 6.2 | -0.072 | 12/40 | 0.03 |
| Tempo Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Huddle | 76 | +0.043 | 43% | 5.2 | -0.090 | 11/40 | 0.03 |
| No huddle | 8 | +0.239 | 50% | 8.0 | +0.059 | — | 0.03 |
| Yards to go Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1–3 to go | 14 | +0.432 | 71% | 4.9 | +0.049 | — | 0.12 |
| 4–6 to go | 14 | -0.142 | 43% | 3.8 | -0.101 | — | -0.02 |
| 7–10 to go | 51 | +0.037 | 37% | 6.3 | -0.117 | 6/40 | -0.06 |
| 11+ to go | 5 | -0.162 | 40% | 3.6 | -0.199 | — | — |
| Run direction Running compare everyone → | |||||||
| Left | 44 | +0.106 | 43% | 6.3 | -0.047 | 9/30 | 0.04 |
| Middle | 18 | +0.214 | 67% | 5.5 | -0.108 | — | 0.16 |
| Right | 22 | -0.153 | 27% | 3.9 | -0.078 | 20/29 | 0.11 |
| Run gap Running compare everyone → | |||||||
| Outside (end) | 23 | +0.060 | 39% | 6.9 | +0.009 | 6/8 | -0.03 |
| Off tackle | 20 | -0.312 | 30% | 2.5 | -0.083 | 15/16 | -0.00 |
| Inside (guard) | 23 | +0.268 | 43% | 6.7 | -0.098 | 1/26 | 0.11 |
| Up the middle | 18 | +0.214 | 67% | 5.5 | -0.108 | — | 0.16 |
| Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Light box (6 or fewer) | 41 | +0.009 | 46% | 5.3 | -0.065 | 15/31 | 0.13 |
| 7 in the box | 28 | +0.211 | 43% | 6.7 | -0.097 | 2/33 | -0.02 |
| Stacked box (8+) | 1 | +0.336 | 100% | 5.0 | -0.090 | — | 0.34 |
| Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Motion | 43 | +0.058 | 44% | 5.9 | -0.091 | 7/37 | -0.21 |
| No motion | 27 | +0.152 | 48% | 5.8 | -0.067 | 2/25 | -0.21 |
| RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| RPO | 18 | +0.010 | 44% | 4.0 | -0.066 | — | — |
| Not an RPO | 52 | +0.124 | 46% | 6.5 | -0.083 | 1/40 | — |
By season
| Season | Team | Designed runs | EPA/play | Total EPA | Success | Yds/play | Explosive | 1st-down rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | PIT | 84 | +0.061 | +5.2 | 44.0% | 5.48 | 10.7% | 27.4% |
Definitions. QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). QB EPA doesn't charge the passer for a receiver's fumble after the catch. Rushing is designed runs only; receiving is EPA per target. EPA is about ±1.4 points a play, so a split of 50 plays carries roughly ±0.2 of luck.