Jaylen Warren
RB · PIT
· ESPN
· Pro Football Reference
Box score by season
| Season | Team | G | Rush | Rush yds | TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | TD | vs ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | PIT | 6 | 84 | 460 | 1 | 30 | 21 | 258 | 1 | 1 differ (Targets 30 vs 29) |
| 2025 | PIT | 16 | 211 | 958 | 6 | 45 | 40 | 333 | 2 | ✓ matches |
| 2025 playoffs | PIT | 1 | 12 | 43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | |
| 2024 | PIT | 15 | 120 | 511 | 1 | 47 | 38 | 310 | 0 | not checked |
| 2024 playoffs | PIT | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 0 | |
| 2023 | PIT | 17 | 149 | 784 | 4 | 74 | 61 | 370 | 0 | not checked |
| 2023 playoffs | PIT | 1 | 8 | 38 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 0 | |
| 2022 | PIT | 16 | 77 | 379 | 1 | 33 | 28 | 214 | 0 | not checked |
Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.
Advanced
Targets
30
qualifying bar 11
EPA/play
+0.052
124th of 192 · lg +0.194
Success rate
46.7%
115th of 192 · lg 49.6%
Yards/play
8.60
55th of 192 · lg 7.35
Explosive rate
10.0%
78th of 192 · lg 9.0%
Catch rate
70.0%
82nd of 192 · lg 67.2%
Air yards/att
-1.1
177th of 192 · lg 8.0
Turnover rate
3.3%
128th of 192 · lg 2.6%
TD rate
3.3%
109th of 192 · lg 4.8%
Notable in 2026
His biggest gaps between one situation and the rest of his plays, beyond the league's own gap there (|z| ≥ 2.5). Many splits get checked, so some of these are luck; the badge says whether that kind of split repeats year to year.
- +0.89 EPA/target on 1st down vs -0.68 the rest of the time (14 vs 16; league gap +0.05; z +2.7) mostly noise · r 0.00
- -0.84 EPA/target against light boxes vs +0.80 the rest of the time (12 vs 14; league gap -0.07; z -2.6) mostly noise · r -0.04
Every split
EPA per target in each situation, the league in the same situation, and his rank among qualified players with at least 12 targets there (1 = best). "Repeats" is how much that split's player-to-player differences carry from one season to the next (2016–25); near zero means it describes the past and predicts little. Click a situation to filter all his numbers to it.
| Situation | Targets | EPA/play | Success | Yds/play | League EPA | Rank | Repeats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home / away Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Home | 16 | +0.023 | 44% | 10.2 | +0.199 | 62/84 | -0.02 |
| Away | 14 | +0.084 | 50% | 6.8 | +0.194 | 48/83 | -0.03 |
| Neutral site | 0 | — | — | — | +0.154 | — | — |
| Rest days Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Short week (≤5 days) | 6 | +0.132 | 50% | 5.5 | +0.273 | — | 0.19 |
| Normal (6–8 days) | 12 | +0.216 | 58% | 9.2 | +0.181 | 69/144 | -0.01 |
| Extra rest (9–12 days) | 6 | +0.520 | 33% | 14.5 | +0.245 | — | 0.21 |
| Off a bye (13+ days) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.221 | — | — |
| Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Indoors | 0 | — | — | — | +0.224 | — | 0.05 |
| Outdoors | 30 | +0.052 | 47% | 8.6 | +0.182 | 92/136 | 0.05 |
| Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| 60–79°F | 20 | -0.099 | 50% | 7.2 | +0.210 | 47/55 | -0.02 |
| 80°F+ | 0 | — | — | — | +0.213 | — | 0.01 |
| Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| 0–9 mph | 10 | -0.499 | 40% | 6.1 | +0.215 | — | -0.09 |
| 10–14 mph | 10 | +0.301 | 60% | 8.2 | +0.200 | — | 0.05 |
| Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Dry | 30 | +0.052 | 47% | 8.6 | +0.190 | 84/115 | 0.03 |
| Rain or snow | 0 | — | — | — | +0.105 | — | 0.03 |
| Score Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Trailing 9+ | 7 | -0.057 | 43% | 6.7 | +0.194 | — | -0.01 |
| Trailing 1–8 | 10 | +0.647 | 60% | 14.0 | +0.179 | — | 0.07 |
| Tied | 6 | +0.147 | 50% | 8.0 | +0.213 | — | 0.02 |
| Leading 1–8 | 7 | -0.773 | 29% | 3.3 | +0.159 | — | -0.03 |
| Leading 9+ | 0 | — | — | — | +0.278 | — | -0.05 |
| Win probability Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Win prob under 20% | 8 | -0.132 | 38% | 5.9 | +0.185 | — | -0.05 |
| Win prob 20–80% | 21 | +0.136 | 52% | 9.9 | +0.191 | 74/130 | -0.02 |
| Win prob over 80% | 1 | -0.263 | 0% | 4.0 | +0.226 | — | 0.09 |
| Quarter Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Q1 | 9 | -0.023 | 44% | 13.7 | +0.150 | — | 0.04 |
| Q2 | 8 | -0.290 | 25% | 3.9 | +0.189 | — | -0.01 |
| Q3 | 5 | -0.345 | 40% | 3.8 | +0.189 | — | -0.01 |
| Q4 | 7 | +0.726 | 71% | 10.4 | +0.229 | — | -0.03 |
| OT | 1 | +0.716 | 100% | 12.0 | +0.439 | — | — |
| Two-minute Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Last 2 min of half | 2 | -0.526 | 0% | 0.5 | +0.133 | — | 0.10 |
| Rest of game | 28 | +0.093 | 50% | 9.2 | +0.206 | 95/155 | 0.10 |
| Down Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1st down | 14 | +0.889 | 71% | 15.1 | +0.229 | 3/56 | 0.00 |
| 2nd down | 12 | -0.689 | 25% | 2.5 | +0.185 | 47/47 | 0.02 |
| 3rd down | 4 | -0.657 | 25% | 4.0 | +0.138 | — | -0.02 |
| 4th down | 0 | — | — | — | +0.430 | — | — |
| 3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3rd & 1–3 | 1 | -1.461 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.162 | — | — |
| 3rd & 4–6 | 1 | -1.727 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.255 | — | -0.27 |
| 3rd & 7+ | 2 | +0.280 | 50% | 8.0 | +0.072 | — | 0.02 |
| Field position Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| Own 20 and in | 4 | +1.365 | 50% | 23.5 | +0.142 | — | -0.04 |
| Own 50–21 | 14 | -0.562 | 36% | 4.3 | +0.169 | 82/84 | 0.04 |
| Opp 21–49 | 8 | +0.598 | 62% | 11.1 | +0.226 | — | 0.06 |
| Red zone (opp 20 in) | 4 | -0.206 | 50% | 3.8 | +0.248 | — | 0.05 |
| Formation Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Shotgun | 22 | +0.021 | 50% | 8.9 | +0.177 | 106/156 | -0.02 |
| Under center | 8 | +0.135 | 38% | 7.9 | +0.264 | — | -0.02 |
| Tempo Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Huddle | 28 | +0.053 | 46% | 8.9 | +0.196 | 111/171 | -0.00 |
| No huddle | 2 | +0.025 | 50% | 4.5 | +0.179 | — | -0.00 |
| Yards to go Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1–3 to go | 3 | -0.981 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.228 | — | 0.05 |
| 4–6 to go | 3 | -1.059 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.269 | — | 0.02 |
| 7–10 to go | 22 | +0.355 | 59% | 11.4 | +0.204 | 44/113 | 0.03 |
| 11+ to go | 2 | -0.073 | 50% | 4.0 | +0.072 | — | -0.07 |
| Pass depth Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Behind the line | 17 | -0.365 | 47% | 5.3 | -0.214 | 7/11 | 0.15 |
| Short (0–9) | 13 | +0.596 | 46% | 12.9 | +0.173 | 9/90 | 0.09 |
| Intermediate (10–19) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.428 | — | 0.07 |
| Deep (20+) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.462 | — | 0.01 |
| Pass direction Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Left | 10 | -0.406 | 20% | 2.8 | +0.141 | — | 0.04 |
| Middle | 5 | +1.049 | 80% | 15.8 | +0.330 | — | -0.02 |
| Right | 15 | +0.024 | 53% | 10.1 | +0.173 | 48/71 | 0.03 |
| Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Play action | 7 | +0.242 | 43% | 8.4 | +0.279 | — | -0.03 |
| No play action | 19 | -0.029 | 47% | 9.0 | +0.186 | 98/131 | -0.03 |
| In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| In pocket | 26 | +0.044 | 46% | 8.8 | +0.207 | 95/146 | -0.05 |
| Out of pocket | 0 | — | — | — | +0.209 | — | -0.05 |
| Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Blitzed | 4 | -0.002 | 50% | 7.8 | +0.184 | — | 0.08 |
| No blitz | 22 | +0.052 | 45% | 9.0 | +0.217 | 84/124 | 0.08 |
| Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3 or fewer rushers | 0 | — | — | — | +0.274 | — | — |
| 4 rushers | 22 | +0.052 | 45% | 9.0 | +0.215 | 78/114 | 0.12 |
| 5 rushers | 4 | -0.002 | 50% | 7.8 | +0.203 | — | 0.15 |
| 6+ rushers | 0 | — | — | — | +0.136 | — | — |
| Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Light box (6 or fewer) | 12 | -0.843 | 25% | 2.2 | +0.182 | 110/112 | -0.04 |
| 7 in the box | 12 | +0.905 | 67% | 16.1 | +0.239 | 6/18 | -0.05 |
| Stacked box (8+) | 2 | +0.199 | 50% | 5.5 | +0.324 | — | — |
| Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Screen | 7 | -0.610 | 57% | 5.1 | -0.098 | — | 0.50 |
| Not a screen | 19 | +0.284 | 42% | 10.2 | +0.239 | 72/149 | 0.50 |
| Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Motion | 11 | -0.191 | 27% | 10.1 | +0.240 | — | 0.10 |
| No motion | 15 | +0.216 | 60% | 7.9 | +0.166 | 29/57 | 0.10 |
| RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| RPO | 0 | — | — | — | -0.103 | — | — |
| Not an RPO | 26 | +0.044 | 46% | 8.8 | +0.214 | 108/163 | — |
By season
| Season | Team | Targets | EPA/play | Total EPA | Success | Yds/play | Catch rate | aDOT | YAC/catch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | PIT | 30 | +0.052 | +1.5 | 46.7% | 8.60 | 70.0% | -1.1 | 14.4 |
Definitions. QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). QB EPA doesn't charge the passer for a receiver's fumble after the catch. Rushing is designed runs only; receiving is EPA per target. EPA is about ±1.4 points a play, so a split of 50 plays carries roughly ±0.2 of luck.