Christian Watson
WR · GB
· ESPN
· Pro Football Reference
Box score by season
| Season | Team | G | Rush | Rush yds | TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | TD | vs ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | GB | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 29 | 538 | 6 | ✓ matches |
| 2025 | GB | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 55 | 35 | 611 | 6 | ✓ matches |
| 2025 playoffs | GB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 36 | 1 | |
| 2024 | GB | 14 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 53 | 29 | 620 | 2 | not checked |
| 2023 | GB | 9 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 53 | 28 | 422 | 5 | not checked |
| 2023 playoffs | GB | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 0 | |
| 2022 | GB | 14 | 7 | 80 | 2 | 66 | 41 | 611 | 7 | not checked |
Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.
Advanced
Targets
55
qualifying bar 32
EPA/play
+0.587
14th of 197 · lg +0.191
Success rate
61.8%
21st of 197 · lg 50.0%
Yards/play
11.11
6th of 197 · lg 7.37
Explosive rate
20.0%
7th of 197 · lg 9.4%
Catch rate
63.6%
135th of 197 · lg 67.5%
Air yards/att
17.8
3rd of 197 · lg 7.9
Turnover rate
3.6%
148th of 197 · lg 2.6%
TD rate
10.9%
10th of 197 · lg 4.9%
Every split
EPA per target in each situation, the league in the same situation, and his rank among qualified players with at least 12 targets there (1 = best). "Repeats" is how much that split's player-to-player differences carry from one season to the next (2016–25); near zero means it describes the past and predicts little. Click a situation to filter all his numbers to it.
| Situation | Targets | EPA/play | Success | Yds/play | League EPA | Rank | Repeats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home / away Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Home | 25 | +0.926 | 72% | 14.2 | +0.199 | 3/193 | -0.02 |
| Away | 30 | +0.304 | 53% | 8.6 | +0.181 | 71/193 | -0.03 |
| Neutral site | 0 | — | — | — | +0.222 | — | — |
| Rest days Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Short week (≤5 days) | 10 | +0.342 | 40% | 8.0 | +0.229 | — | 0.19 |
| Normal (6–8 days) | 41 | +0.469 | 63% | 10.8 | +0.182 | 28/197 | -0.01 |
| Extra rest (9–12 days) | 4 | +2.405 | 100% | 22.2 | +0.220 | — | 0.21 |
| Off a bye (13+ days) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.216 | — | — |
| Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Indoors | 10 | +0.342 | 40% | 8.0 | +0.180 | — | 0.05 |
| Outdoors | 45 | +0.641 | 67% | 11.8 | +0.197 | 14/192 | 0.05 |
| Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Under 40°F | 20 | +0.749 | 65% | 13.2 | +0.172 | 4/41 | 0.05 |
| 40–59°F | 20 | +0.795 | 75% | 11.9 | +0.172 | 8/87 | -0.05 |
| 60–79°F | 5 | -0.406 | 40% | 5.8 | +0.241 | — | -0.02 |
| 80°F+ | 0 | — | — | — | +0.171 | — | 0.01 |
| Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| 0–9 mph | 23 | +0.488 | 61% | 11.5 | +0.216 | 32/177 | -0.09 |
| 10–14 mph | 13 | +0.963 | 77% | 12.5 | +0.170 | 2/45 | 0.05 |
| 15+ mph | 9 | +0.566 | 67% | 11.6 | +0.105 | — | -0.05 |
| Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Dry | 45 | +0.641 | 67% | 11.8 | +0.199 | 13/188 | 0.03 |
| Rain or snow | 0 | — | — | — | +0.157 | — | 0.03 |
| Score Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Trailing 9+ | 6 | +0.861 | 83% | 15.5 | +0.095 | — | -0.01 |
| Trailing 1–8 | 13 | +1.011 | 77% | 14.2 | +0.227 | 2/153 | 0.07 |
| Tied | 13 | +0.499 | 62% | 11.0 | +0.144 | 14/95 | 0.02 |
| Leading 1–8 | 17 | +0.349 | 41% | 7.9 | +0.239 | 36/92 | -0.03 |
| Leading 9+ | 6 | +0.257 | 67% | 9.3 | +0.316 | — | -0.05 |
| Win probability Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Win prob under 20% | 7 | +0.717 | 71% | 13.3 | +0.092 | — | -0.05 |
| Win prob 20–80% | 41 | +0.561 | 59% | 11.1 | +0.203 | 24/195 | -0.02 |
| Win prob over 80% | 7 | +0.611 | 71% | 9.1 | +0.295 | — | 0.09 |
| Quarter Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Q1 | 15 | +0.102 | 53% | 7.5 | +0.197 | 65/113 | 0.04 |
| Q2 | 14 | +0.827 | 64% | 11.1 | +0.199 | 4/150 | -0.01 |
| Q3 | 15 | +0.891 | 67% | 16.1 | +0.214 | 4/120 | -0.01 |
| Q4 | 11 | +0.526 | 64% | 9.3 | +0.156 | — | -0.03 |
| OT | 0 | — | — | — | +0.394 | — | — |
| Two-minute Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Last 2 min of half | 5 | -0.106 | 40% | 7.6 | +0.183 | — | 0.10 |
| Rest of game | 50 | +0.656 | 64% | 11.5 | +0.192 | 13/197 | 0.10 |
| Down Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1st down | 21 | +0.182 | 57% | 10.0 | +0.209 | 108/176 | 0.00 |
| 2nd down | 13 | +1.093 | 77% | 12.9 | +0.198 | 1/178 | 0.02 |
| 3rd down | 20 | +0.920 | 60% | 11.7 | +0.131 | 8/142 | -0.02 |
| 4th down | 1 | -4.153 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.400 | — | — |
| 3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3rd & 1–3 | 8 | +0.735 | 62% | 9.2 | +0.088 | — | — |
| 3rd & 4–6 | 5 | -0.183 | 40% | 2.8 | +0.200 | — | -0.27 |
| 3rd & 7+ | 7 | +1.920 | 71% | 20.7 | +0.110 | — | 0.02 |
| Field position Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| Own 20 and in | 11 | +1.086 | 82% | 14.5 | +0.190 | — | -0.04 |
| Own 50–21 | 25 | +0.464 | 64% | 10.7 | +0.188 | 38/193 | 0.04 |
| Opp 21–49 | 13 | +0.835 | 54% | 12.3 | +0.217 | 13/162 | 0.06 |
| Red zone (opp 20 in) | 6 | -0.354 | 33% | 3.8 | +0.140 | — | 0.05 |
| Formation Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Shotgun | 40 | +0.659 | 65% | 11.1 | +0.165 | 10/196 | -0.02 |
| Under center | 15 | +0.395 | 53% | 11.1 | +0.311 | 36/71 | -0.02 |
| Tempo Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Huddle | 48 | +0.461 | 58% | 10.1 | +0.194 | 26/197 | -0.00 |
| No huddle | 7 | +1.449 | 86% | 17.9 | +0.168 | — | -0.00 |
| Yards to go Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1–3 to go | 10 | +0.244 | 60% | 9.3 | +0.202 | — | 0.05 |
| 4–6 to go | 10 | +0.416 | 70% | 6.9 | +0.234 | — | 0.02 |
| 7–10 to go | 28 | +0.671 | 64% | 12.2 | +0.203 | 10/197 | 0.03 |
| 11+ to go | 7 | +0.984 | 43% | 15.3 | +0.081 | — | -0.07 |
| Pass depth Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Behind the line | 0 | — | — | — | -0.156 | — | 0.15 |
| Short (0–9) | 18 | +0.237 | 67% | 6.1 | +0.141 | 70/189 | 0.09 |
| Intermediate (10–19) | 19 | +0.809 | 74% | 11.8 | +0.435 | 25/111 | 0.07 |
| Deep (20+) | 18 | +0.703 | 44% | 15.4 | +0.472 | 17/55 | 0.01 |
| Pass direction Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Left | 16 | +0.331 | 56% | 8.3 | +0.177 | 63/187 | 0.04 |
| Middle | 16 | +0.696 | 56% | 13.1 | +0.283 | 22/108 | -0.02 |
| Right | 23 | +0.688 | 70% | 11.7 | +0.155 | 10/185 | 0.03 |
| Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Play action | 15 | +0.914 | 67% | 14.0 | +0.299 | 8/110 | -0.03 |
| No play action | 40 | +0.464 | 60% | 10.0 | +0.160 | 24/196 | -0.03 |
| In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| In pocket | 50 | +0.545 | 62% | 11.1 | +0.192 | 20/197 | -0.05 |
| Out of pocket | 5 | +1.005 | 60% | 10.8 | +0.183 | — | -0.05 |
| Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Blitzed | 18 | +0.334 | 61% | 8.1 | +0.232 | 59/145 | 0.08 |
| No blitz | 37 | +0.710 | 62% | 12.6 | +0.174 | 5/197 | 0.08 |
| Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3 or fewer rushers | 1 | +1.347 | 100% | 8.0 | +0.254 | — | — |
| 4 rushers | 35 | +0.588 | 60% | 11.9 | +0.169 | 17/197 | 0.12 |
| 5 rushers | 13 | +0.175 | 62% | 9.2 | +0.235 | 59/103 | 0.15 |
| 6+ rushers | 6 | +1.346 | 67% | 11.3 | +0.254 | — | — |
| Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Light box (6 or fewer) | 42 | +0.586 | 60% | 11.0 | +0.175 | 19/196 | -0.04 |
| 7 in the box | 11 | +0.421 | 64% | 10.7 | +0.240 | — | -0.05 |
| Stacked box (8+) | 2 | +1.525 | 100% | 14.5 | +0.242 | — | — |
| Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Screen | 0 | — | — | — | -0.032 | — | 0.50 |
| Not a screen | 55 | +0.587 | 62% | 11.1 | +0.213 | 19/197 | 0.50 |
| Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Motion | 24 | +0.243 | 54% | 7.6 | +0.214 | 84/193 | 0.10 |
| No motion | 31 | +0.853 | 68% | 13.8 | +0.163 | 4/191 | 0.10 |
| RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| RPO | 0 | — | — | — | +0.091 | — | — |
| Not an RPO | 55 | +0.587 | 62% | 11.1 | +0.193 | 14/197 | — |
| Pressure Defense (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Clean pocket | 42 | +0.846 | 67% | 13.0 | +0.256 | 6/197 | 0.01 |
| Pressured | 13 | -0.252 | 46% | 4.9 | -0.046 | 82/116 | 0.01 |
| Man / zone Defense (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Man | 18 | +0.577 | 56% | 9.6 | +0.211 | 18/151 | 0.03 |
| Zone | 37 | +0.592 | 65% | 11.8 | +0.181 | 18/197 | 0.03 |
| Coverage shell Defense (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Cover 0 | 2 | +2.408 | 100% | 12.0 | +0.266 | — | — |
| Cover 1 | 14 | +0.250 | 43% | 8.7 | +0.200 | 48/112 | 0.03 |
| 2-Man | 2 | +1.030 | 100% | 13.5 | +0.220 | — | — |
| Cover 2 | 6 | +0.665 | 50% | 9.7 | +0.137 | — | -0.09 |
| Cover 3 | 18 | +0.043 | 67% | 8.8 | +0.216 | 104/149 | 0.02 |
| Cover 4 | 9 | +1.733 | 78% | 21.6 | +0.210 | — | -0.08 |
| Cover 6 | 1 | -0.152 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.142 | — | — |
| Cover 9 | 3 | +0.563 | 67% | 9.0 | +0.159 | — | — |
| Combo | 0 | — | — | — | +0.206 | — | — |
| Blown coverage | 0 | — | — | — | +0.447 | — | — |
| Offensive personnel Scheme (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| 11 | 44 | +0.571 | 61% | 9.8 | +0.188 | 19/193 | 0.05 |
| 12 | 8 | +0.594 | 62% | 17.5 | +0.194 | — | 0.04 |
| 21 | 1 | +1.571 | 100% | 19.0 | +0.110 | — | -0.17 |
| 13 | 0 | — | — | — | +0.263 | — | — |
| 22 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.103 | — | — |
| 10 | 2 | +0.408 | 50% | 10.0 | +0.236 | — | — |
| Other | 0 | — | — | — | +0.192 | — | — |
By season
| Season | Team | Targets | EPA/play | Total EPA | Success | Yds/play | Catch rate | aDOT | YAC/catch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | GB | 55 | +0.587 | +32.3 | 61.8% | 11.11 | 63.6% | 17.8 | 3.4 |
Definitions. QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). QB EPA doesn't charge the passer for a receiver's fumble after the catch. Rushing is designed runs only; receiving is EPA per target. EPA is about ±1.4 points a play, so a split of 50 plays carries roughly ±0.2 of luck.