Xavier Hutchinson
WR · HOU
· ESPN
· Pro Football Reference
Box score by season
| Season | Team | G | Rush | Rush yds | TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | TD | vs ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | HOU | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 34 | 18 | 241 | 0 | 1 differ (Targets 34 vs 35) |
| 2025 | HOU | 16 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 57 | 35 | 428 | 3 | ✓ matches |
| 2025 playoffs | HOU | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 65 | 0 | |
| 2024 | HOU | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 117 | 0 | not checked |
| 2024 playoffs | HOU | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 86 | 0 | |
| 2023 | HOU | 11 | 5 | 49 | 0 | 19 | 8 | 90 | 0 | not checked |
| 2023 playoffs | HOU | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.
Advanced
Targets
34
qualifying bar 11
EPA/play
+0.001
137th of 192 · lg +0.194
Success rate
47.1%
108th of 192 · lg 49.6%
Yards/play
7.09
98th of 192 · lg 7.35
Explosive rate
8.8%
88th of 192 · lg 9.0%
Catch rate
52.9%
165th of 192 · lg 67.2%
Air yards/att
11.9
50th of 192 · lg 8.0
Turnover rate
2.9%
117th of 192 · lg 2.6%
TD rate
0.0%
131st of 192 · lg 4.8%
Every split
EPA per target in each situation, the league in the same situation, and his rank among qualified players with at least 12 targets there (1 = best). "Repeats" is how much that split's player-to-player differences carry from one season to the next (2016–25); near zero means it describes the past and predicts little. Click a situation to filter all his numbers to it.
| Situation | Targets | EPA/play | Success | Yds/play | League EPA | Rank | Repeats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home / away Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Home | 20 | +0.053 | 40% | 5.8 | +0.199 | 58/84 | -0.02 |
| Away | 11 | +0.436 | 64% | 10.5 | +0.194 | — | -0.03 |
| Neutral site | 3 | -1.948 | 33% | 3.3 | +0.154 | — | — |
| Rest days Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Short week (≤5 days) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.273 | — | 0.19 |
| Normal (6–8 days) | 28 | -0.032 | 50% | 7.5 | +0.181 | 110/144 | -0.01 |
| Extra rest (9–12 days) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.245 | — | 0.21 |
| Off a bye (13+ days) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.221 | — | — |
| Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Indoors | 20 | +0.053 | 40% | 5.8 | +0.224 | 32/43 | 0.05 |
| Outdoors | 14 | -0.075 | 57% | 9.0 | +0.182 | 112/136 | 0.05 |
| Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| 60–79°F | 0 | — | — | — | +0.210 | — | -0.02 |
| 80°F+ | 0 | — | — | — | +0.213 | — | 0.01 |
| Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| 0–9 mph | 0 | — | — | — | +0.215 | — | -0.09 |
| 10–14 mph | 0 | — | — | — | +0.200 | — | 0.05 |
| Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Dry | 11 | +0.436 | 64% | 10.5 | +0.190 | — | 0.03 |
| Rain or snow | 3 | -1.948 | 33% | 3.3 | +0.105 | — | 0.03 |
| Score Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Trailing 9+ | 5 | +0.364 | 60% | 8.6 | +0.194 | — | -0.01 |
| Trailing 1–8 | 15 | +0.286 | 47% | 8.1 | +0.179 | 21/45 | 0.07 |
| Tied | 5 | -0.680 | 20% | 1.0 | +0.213 | — | 0.02 |
| Leading 1–8 | 7 | -0.714 | 43% | 5.9 | +0.159 | — | -0.03 |
| Leading 9+ | 2 | +1.152 | 100% | 15.5 | +0.278 | — | -0.05 |
| Win probability Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Win prob under 20% | 4 | +0.339 | 50% | 8.5 | +0.185 | — | -0.05 |
| Win prob 20–80% | 27 | +0.088 | 44% | 6.5 | +0.191 | 83/130 | -0.02 |
| Win prob over 80% | 3 | -1.238 | 67% | 10.3 | +0.226 | — | 0.09 |
| Quarter Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Q1 | 7 | -0.366 | 29% | 3.3 | +0.150 | — | 0.04 |
| Q2 | 12 | +0.106 | 58% | 6.8 | +0.189 | 22/32 | -0.01 |
| Q3 | 6 | +0.211 | 50% | 7.7 | +0.189 | — | -0.01 |
| Q4 | 9 | +0.005 | 44% | 10.1 | +0.229 | — | -0.03 |
| OT | 0 | — | — | — | +0.439 | — | — |
| Two-minute Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Last 2 min of half | 7 | -0.014 | 29% | 3.9 | +0.133 | — | 0.10 |
| Rest of game | 27 | +0.004 | 52% | 7.9 | +0.206 | 107/155 | 0.10 |
| Down Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1st down | 15 | +0.691 | 73% | 11.7 | +0.229 | 7/56 | 0.00 |
| 2nd down | 13 | -0.509 | 31% | 3.5 | +0.185 | 45/47 | 0.02 |
| 3rd down | 6 | -0.621 | 17% | 3.3 | +0.138 | — | -0.02 |
| 4th down | 0 | — | — | — | +0.430 | — | — |
| 3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3rd & 1–3 | 1 | -1.453 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.162 | — | — |
| 3rd & 4–6 | 2 | -1.493 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.255 | — | -0.27 |
| 3rd & 7+ | 3 | +0.238 | 33% | 6.7 | +0.072 | — | 0.02 |
| Field position Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| Own 20 and in | 6 | -0.224 | 33% | 6.0 | +0.142 | — | -0.04 |
| Own 50–21 | 12 | +0.109 | 50% | 6.8 | +0.169 | 52/84 | 0.04 |
| Opp 21–49 | 14 | +0.464 | 57% | 8.9 | +0.226 | 11/41 | 0.06 |
| Red zone (opp 20 in) | 2 | -3.222 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.248 | — | 0.05 |
| Formation Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Shotgun | 31 | -0.086 | 45% | 6.3 | +0.177 | 120/156 | -0.02 |
| Under center | 3 | +0.894 | 67% | 15.3 | +0.264 | — | -0.02 |
| Tempo Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Huddle | 31 | +0.051 | 52% | 7.8 | +0.196 | 112/171 | -0.00 |
| No huddle | 3 | -0.524 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.179 | — | -0.00 |
| Yards to go Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1–3 to go | 2 | -0.903 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.228 | — | 0.05 |
| 4–6 to go | 5 | -1.467 | 40% | 4.2 | +0.269 | — | 0.02 |
| 7–10 to go | 20 | +0.328 | 55% | 8.4 | +0.204 | 47/113 | 0.03 |
| 11+ to go | 7 | +0.371 | 43% | 7.4 | +0.072 | — | -0.07 |
| Pass depth Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Behind the line | 1 | -0.053 | 0% | 3.0 | -0.214 | — | 0.15 |
| Short (0–9) | 19 | -0.111 | 58% | 7.2 | +0.173 | 78/90 | 0.09 |
| Intermediate (10–19) | 7 | +0.688 | 57% | 10.4 | +0.428 | — | 0.07 |
| Deep (20+) | 7 | -0.377 | 14% | 4.0 | +0.462 | — | 0.01 |
| Pass direction Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Left | 9 | -0.368 | 33% | 3.7 | +0.141 | — | 0.04 |
| Middle | 10 | +0.565 | 60% | 9.2 | +0.330 | — | -0.02 |
| Right | 15 | -0.155 | 47% | 7.7 | +0.173 | 61/71 | 0.03 |
| Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Play action | 5 | +0.367 | 40% | 9.8 | +0.279 | — | -0.03 |
| No play action | 26 | +0.155 | 50% | 7.0 | +0.186 | 71/131 | -0.03 |
| In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| In pocket | 29 | +0.213 | 48% | 7.3 | +0.207 | 76/146 | -0.05 |
| Out of pocket | 2 | -0.153 | 50% | 9.0 | +0.209 | — | -0.05 |
| Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Blitzed | 6 | +1.272 | 100% | 15.7 | +0.184 | — | 0.08 |
| No blitz | 25 | -0.071 | 36% | 5.5 | +0.217 | 94/124 | 0.08 |
| Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3 or fewer rushers | 0 | — | — | — | +0.274 | — | — |
| 4 rushers | 25 | -0.071 | 36% | 5.5 | +0.215 | 87/114 | 0.12 |
| 5 rushers | 6 | +1.272 | 100% | 15.7 | +0.203 | — | 0.15 |
| 6+ rushers | 0 | — | — | — | +0.136 | — | — |
| Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Light box (6 or fewer) | 22 | +0.158 | 45% | 6.7 | +0.182 | 69/112 | -0.04 |
| 7 in the box | 8 | +0.037 | 50% | 7.2 | +0.239 | — | -0.05 |
| Stacked box (8+) | 1 | +2.092 | 100% | 26.0 | +0.324 | — | — |
| Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Screen | 1 | -0.053 | 0% | 3.0 | -0.098 | — | 0.50 |
| Not a screen | 30 | +0.197 | 50% | 7.6 | +0.239 | 83/149 | 0.50 |
| Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Motion | 19 | +0.430 | 58% | 9.5 | +0.240 | 37/92 | 0.10 |
| No motion | 12 | -0.193 | 33% | 4.2 | +0.166 | 49/57 | 0.10 |
| RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| RPO | 2 | -0.424 | 0% | 1.5 | -0.103 | — | — |
| Not an RPO | 29 | +0.231 | 52% | 7.9 | +0.214 | 76/163 | — |
By season
| Season | Team | Targets | EPA/play | Total EPA | Success | Yds/play | Catch rate | aDOT | YAC/catch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | HOU | 34 | +0.001 | +0.0 | 47.1% | 7.09 | 52.9% | 11.9 | 5.6 |
Definitions. QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). QB EPA doesn't charge the passer for a receiver's fumble after the catch. Rushing is designed runs only; receiving is EPA per target. EPA is about ±1.4 points a play, so a split of 50 plays carries roughly ±0.2 of luck.