Josh Downs
WR · IND
· ESPN
· Pro Football Reference
Box score by season
| Season | Team | G | Rush | Rush yds | TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | TD | vs ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | IND | 6 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 42 | 24 | 289 | 0 | 1 differ (Targets 42 vs 41) |
| 2025 | IND | 16 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 88 | 58 | 566 | 4 | ✓ matches |
| 2024 | IND | 14 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 107 | 72 | 803 | 5 | not checked |
| 2023 | IND | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98 | 68 | 771 | 2 | not checked |
Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.
Advanced
Targets
42
qualifying bar 11
EPA/play
+0.291
70th of 192 · lg +0.194
Success rate
45.2%
132nd of 192 · lg 49.6%
Yards/play
6.88
106th of 192 · lg 7.35
Explosive rate
11.9%
63rd of 192 · lg 9.0%
Catch rate
57.1%
152nd of 192 · lg 67.2%
Air yards/att
10.7
65th of 192 · lg 8.0
Turnover rate
4.8%
149th of 192 · lg 2.6%
TD rate
0.0%
131st of 192 · lg 4.8%
Every split
EPA per target in each situation, the league in the same situation, and his rank among qualified players with at least 12 targets there (1 = best). "Repeats" is how much that split's player-to-player differences carry from one season to the next (2016–25); near zero means it describes the past and predicts little. Click a situation to filter all his numbers to it.
| Situation | Targets | EPA/play | Success | Yds/play | League EPA | Rank | Repeats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home / away Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Home | 23 | +0.236 | 39% | 6.7 | +0.199 | 40/84 | -0.02 |
| Away | 15 | +0.417 | 60% | 7.9 | +0.194 | 26/83 | -0.03 |
| Neutral site | 4 | +0.132 | 25% | 4.0 | +0.154 | — | — |
| Rest days Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Short week (≤5 days) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.273 | — | 0.19 |
| Normal (6–8 days) | 38 | +0.232 | 45% | 6.6 | +0.181 | 64/144 | -0.01 |
| Extra rest (9–12 days) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.245 | — | 0.21 |
| Off a bye (13+ days) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.221 | — | — |
| Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Indoors | 4 | +0.847 | 50% | 9.2 | +0.224 | — | 0.05 |
| Outdoors | 38 | +0.232 | 45% | 6.6 | +0.182 | 58/136 | 0.05 |
| Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| 60–79°F | 13 | +0.670 | 62% | 6.8 | +0.210 | 12/55 | -0.02 |
| 80°F+ | 0 | — | — | — | +0.213 | — | 0.01 |
| Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| 0–9 mph | 4 | +0.132 | 25% | 4.0 | +0.215 | — | -0.09 |
| 10–14 mph | 9 | +0.909 | 78% | 8.0 | +0.200 | — | 0.05 |
| Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Dry | 38 | +0.232 | 45% | 6.6 | +0.190 | 53/115 | 0.03 |
| Rain or snow | 0 | — | — | — | +0.105 | — | 0.03 |
| Score Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Trailing 9+ | 3 | -1.219 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.194 | — | -0.01 |
| Trailing 1–8 | 14 | +0.691 | 64% | 10.1 | +0.179 | 4/45 | 0.07 |
| Tied | 13 | +0.347 | 46% | 6.5 | +0.213 | 11/19 | 0.02 |
| Leading 1–8 | 10 | -0.114 | 30% | 5.8 | +0.159 | — | -0.03 |
| Leading 9+ | 2 | +1.413 | 50% | 2.0 | +0.278 | — | -0.05 |
| Win probability Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Win prob under 20% | 4 | -0.437 | 25% | 5.0 | +0.185 | — | -0.05 |
| Win prob 20–80% | 34 | +0.413 | 50% | 7.6 | +0.191 | 42/130 | -0.02 |
| Win prob over 80% | 4 | -0.016 | 25% | 2.2 | +0.226 | — | 0.09 |
| Quarter Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Q1 | 16 | +0.319 | 44% | 7.7 | +0.150 | 7/13 | 0.04 |
| Q2 | 10 | +0.802 | 60% | 9.3 | +0.189 | — | -0.01 |
| Q3 | 7 | -0.260 | 29% | 2.0 | +0.189 | — | -0.01 |
| Q4 | 9 | +0.100 | 44% | 6.6 | +0.229 | — | -0.03 |
| OT | 0 | — | — | — | +0.439 | — | — |
| Two-minute Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Last 2 min of half | 3 | +0.576 | 67% | 4.0 | +0.133 | — | 0.10 |
| Rest of game | 39 | +0.269 | 44% | 7.1 | +0.206 | 69/155 | 0.10 |
| Down Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1st down | 11 | +0.145 | 36% | 7.2 | +0.229 | — | 0.00 |
| 2nd down | 16 | -0.108 | 31% | 5.8 | +0.185 | 38/47 | 0.02 |
| 3rd down | 13 | +0.918 | 69% | 8.8 | +0.138 | 3/38 | -0.02 |
| 4th down | 2 | +0.212 | 50% | 2.0 | +0.430 | — | — |
| 3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3rd & 1–3 | 1 | +2.546 | 100% | 25.0 | +0.162 | — | — |
| 3rd & 4–6 | 7 | +0.031 | 57% | 4.4 | +0.255 | — | -0.27 |
| 3rd & 7+ | 5 | +1.834 | 80% | 11.6 | +0.072 | — | 0.02 |
| Field position Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| Own 20 and in | 1 | -0.748 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.142 | — | -0.04 |
| Own 50–21 | 18 | +0.512 | 50% | 10.6 | +0.169 | 20/84 | 0.04 |
| Opp 21–49 | 18 | +0.196 | 39% | 3.9 | +0.226 | 26/41 | 0.06 |
| Red zone (opp 20 in) | 5 | +0.046 | 60% | 5.8 | +0.248 | — | 0.05 |
| Formation Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Shotgun | 37 | +0.265 | 43% | 6.5 | +0.177 | 68/156 | -0.02 |
| Under center | 5 | +0.483 | 60% | 10.0 | +0.264 | — | -0.02 |
| Tempo Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Huddle | 41 | +0.316 | 46% | 7.0 | +0.196 | 65/171 | -0.00 |
| No huddle | 1 | -0.746 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.179 | — | -0.00 |
| Yards to go Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1–3 to go | 2 | +2.750 | 100% | 14.5 | +0.228 | — | 0.05 |
| 4–6 to go | 7 | +0.031 | 57% | 4.4 | +0.269 | — | 0.02 |
| 7–10 to go | 22 | +0.375 | 45% | 6.9 | +0.204 | 39/113 | 0.03 |
| 11+ to go | 11 | -0.159 | 27% | 7.0 | +0.072 | — | -0.07 |
| Pass depth Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Behind the line | 1 | -0.790 | 0% | 0.0 | -0.214 | — | 0.15 |
| Short (0–9) | 24 | +0.612 | 54% | 6.2 | +0.173 | 8/90 | 0.09 |
| Intermediate (10–19) | 8 | +0.287 | 50% | 9.5 | +0.428 | — | 0.07 |
| Deep (20+) | 9 | -0.441 | 22% | 7.2 | +0.462 | — | 0.01 |
| Pass direction Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Left | 15 | -0.456 | 27% | 3.3 | +0.141 | 61/64 | 0.04 |
| Middle | 10 | +0.848 | 60% | 8.9 | +0.330 | — | -0.02 |
| Right | 17 | +0.622 | 53% | 8.9 | +0.173 | 10/71 | 0.03 |
| Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Play action | 6 | +0.978 | 67% | 14.5 | +0.279 | — | -0.03 |
| No play action | 28 | +0.208 | 43% | 5.8 | +0.186 | 67/131 | -0.03 |
| In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| In pocket | 32 | +0.369 | 47% | 7.5 | +0.207 | 52/146 | -0.05 |
| Out of pocket | 2 | -0.058 | 50% | 4.5 | +0.209 | — | -0.05 |
| Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Blitzed | 10 | +0.931 | 70% | 9.2 | +0.184 | — | 0.08 |
| No blitz | 24 | +0.099 | 38% | 6.5 | +0.217 | 77/124 | 0.08 |
| Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3 or fewer rushers | 0 | — | — | — | +0.274 | — | — |
| 4 rushers | 24 | +0.099 | 38% | 6.5 | +0.215 | 73/114 | 0.12 |
| 5 rushers | 4 | +0.859 | 75% | 9.0 | +0.203 | — | 0.15 |
| 6+ rushers | 6 | +0.978 | 67% | 9.3 | +0.136 | — | — |
| Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Light box (6 or fewer) | 23 | +0.211 | 43% | 6.7 | +0.182 | 60/112 | -0.04 |
| 7 in the box | 10 | +0.732 | 60% | 9.4 | +0.239 | — | -0.05 |
| Stacked box (8+) | 1 | -0.492 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.324 | — | — |
| Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Screen | 1 | -0.020 | 0% | 9.0 | -0.098 | — | 0.50 |
| Not a screen | 33 | +0.355 | 48% | 7.3 | +0.239 | 57/149 | 0.50 |
| Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Motion | 21 | +0.498 | 57% | 6.7 | +0.240 | 26/92 | 0.10 |
| No motion | 13 | +0.094 | 31% | 8.3 | +0.166 | 39/57 | 0.10 |
| RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| RPO | 1 | +1.666 | 100% | 18.0 | -0.103 | — | — |
| Not an RPO | 33 | +0.304 | 45% | 7.0 | +0.214 | 63/163 | — |
By season
| Season | Team | Targets | EPA/play | Total EPA | Success | Yds/play | Catch rate | aDOT | YAC/catch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | IND | 42 | +0.291 | +12.2 | 45.2% | 6.88 | 57.1% | 10.7 | 3.8 |
Definitions. QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). QB EPA doesn't charge the passer for a receiver's fumble after the catch. Rushing is designed runs only; receiving is EPA per target. EPA is about ±1.4 points a play, so a split of 50 plays carries roughly ±0.2 of luck.