Michael Penix Jr.
Box score by season
| Season | Team | G | Cmp | Att | Pass yds | TD | Int | Sacked | Rush | Rush yds | TD | vs ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ATL | 4 | 71 | 110 | 944 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 0 | ✓ matches |
| 2025 | ATL | 9 | 166 | 276 | 1,982 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 21 | 70 | 1 | ✓ matches |
| 2024 | ATL | 5 | 61 | 105 | 775 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 1 | not checked |
Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.
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Notable in 2025
His biggest gaps between one situation and the rest of his plays, beyond the league's own gap there (|z| ≥ 2.5). Many splits get checked, so some of these are luck; the badge says whether that kind of split repeats year to year.
- +0.38 EPA/dropback at home vs -0.18 the rest of the time (127 vs 175; league gap +0.02; z +3.2) mostly noise · r 0.04
Every split
EPA per dropback in each situation, the league in the same situation, and his rank among qualified players with at least 30 dropbacks there (1 = best). "Repeats" is how much that split's player-to-player differences carry from one season to the next (2016–25); near zero means it describes the past and predicts little. Click a situation to filter all his numbers to it.
| Situation | Dropbacks | EPA/play | Success | Yds/play | League EPA | Rank | Repeats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home / away Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Home | 127 | +0.375 | 57% | 8.2 | +0.069 | 1/37 | 0.04 |
| Away | 144 | -0.159 | 38% | 5.3 | +0.044 | 32/37 | 0.01 |
| Neutral site | 31 | -0.294 | 35% | 4.8 | +0.052 | 8/8 | — |
| Rest days Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Short week (≤5 days) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.109 | — | 0.09 |
| Normal (6–8 days) | 220 | -0.005 | 45% | 6.4 | +0.042 | 25/37 | 0.03 |
| Extra rest (9–12 days) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.079 | — | -0.00 |
| Off a bye (13+ days) | 35 | -0.004 | 46% | 6.9 | +0.100 | 18/22 | -0.07 |
| Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Indoors | 182 | +0.194 | 51% | 7.2 | +0.044 | 8/34 | 0.01 |
| Outdoors | 120 | -0.164 | 39% | 5.4 | +0.063 | 35/37 | 0.01 |
| Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Under 40°F | 0 | — | — | — | +0.051 | — | 0.00 |
| 40–59°F | 40 | +0.138 | 42% | 5.9 | +0.033 | 11/32 | 0.00 |
| 60–79°F | 42 | -0.135 | 43% | 5.6 | +0.094 | 31/32 | -0.13 |
| 80°F+ | 38 | -0.513 | 32% | 4.8 | +0.059 | 21/22 | 0.01 |
| Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| 0–9 mph | 120 | -0.164 | 39% | 5.4 | +0.076 | 34/35 | -0.06 |
| 10–14 mph | 0 | — | — | — | +0.052 | — | -0.12 |
| 15+ mph | 0 | — | — | — | -0.019 | — | -0.06 |
| Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Dry | 120 | -0.164 | 39% | 5.4 | +0.063 | 34/37 | 0.01 |
| Rain or snow | 0 | — | — | — | +0.050 | — | 0.01 |
| Score Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Trailing 9+ | 45 | -0.394 | 38% | 5.0 | -0.033 | 35/36 | 0.06 |
| Trailing 1–8 | 95 | +0.297 | 53% | 7.8 | +0.087 | 4/37 | 0.05 |
| Tied | 58 | +0.008 | 41% | 5.0 | +0.023 | 21/35 | 0.09 |
| Leading 1–8 | 88 | +0.103 | 45% | 6.2 | +0.106 | 20/35 | -0.21 |
| Leading 9+ | 16 | -0.272 | 50% | 9.4 | +0.157 | — | 0.03 |
| Win probability Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Win prob under 20% | 44 | -0.403 | 36% | 5.5 | -0.032 | 34/35 | 0.05 |
| Win prob 20–80% | 220 | +0.132 | 46% | 6.4 | +0.069 | 11/37 | 0.08 |
| Win prob over 80% | 38 | +0.114 | 58% | 8.1 | +0.143 | 16/27 | 0.03 |
| Quarter Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Q1 | 78 | +0.191 | 49% | 7.2 | +0.068 | 6/37 | -0.05 |
| Q2 | 84 | -0.009 | 42% | 6.8 | +0.065 | 25/37 | -0.06 |
| Q3 | 67 | -0.178 | 46% | 6.1 | +0.069 | 31/37 | -0.06 |
| Q4 | 70 | +0.238 | 50% | 6.2 | +0.026 | 4/37 | 0.05 |
| OT | 3 | -1.059 | 0% | -4.0 | +0.214 | — | — |
| Two-minute Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Last 2 min of half | 47 | -0.283 | 30% | 6.0 | +0.075 | 37/37 | 0.03 |
| Rest of game | 255 | +0.114 | 49% | 6.6 | +0.053 | 14/37 | 0.03 |
| Down Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1st down | 100 | +0.092 | 47% | 7.6 | +0.114 | 22/37 | 0.19 |
| 2nd down | 113 | +0.268 | 54% | 7.2 | +0.076 | 2/37 | 0.04 |
| 3rd down | 79 | -0.228 | 34% | 4.5 | -0.052 | 29/37 | 0.11 |
| 4th down | 10 | -0.570 | 40% | 2.4 | +0.122 | — | — |
| 3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3rd & 1–3 | 14 | +0.849 | 79% | 10.2 | -0.034 | — | -0.29 |
| 3rd & 4–6 | 21 | -0.573 | 24% | 3.0 | -0.012 | — | -0.12 |
| 3rd & 7+ | 44 | -0.407 | 25% | 3.5 | -0.079 | 34/37 | -0.22 |
| Field position Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| Own 20 and in | 20 | +0.240 | 75% | 9.1 | +0.060 | — | -0.02 |
| Own 50–21 | 159 | +0.061 | 45% | 7.4 | +0.051 | 23/37 | 0.11 |
| Opp 21–49 | 88 | -0.138 | 43% | 5.6 | +0.081 | 33/37 | 0.08 |
| Red zone (opp 20 in) | 35 | +0.379 | 43% | 3.0 | +0.019 | 3/34 | 0.01 |
| Formation Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Shotgun | 300 | +0.053 | 46% | 6.5 | +0.037 | 21/37 | -0.00 |
| Under center | 2 | -0.190 | 50% | 7.0 | +0.147 | — | -0.00 |
| Tempo Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Huddle | 261 | +0.060 | 46% | 6.5 | +0.059 | 24/37 | -0.09 |
| No huddle | 41 | +0.001 | 44% | 6.6 | +0.037 | 15/23 | -0.09 |
| Yards to go Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1–3 to go | 27 | +0.472 | 67% | 8.9 | +0.046 | — | -0.07 |
| 4–6 to go | 50 | +0.012 | 38% | 5.7 | +0.042 | 23/36 | -0.02 |
| 7–10 to go | 178 | +0.006 | 46% | 6.5 | +0.085 | 31/37 | -0.01 |
| 11+ to go | 47 | +0.027 | 43% | 5.9 | -0.042 | 16/35 | 0.03 |
| Pass, sack or scramble Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Pass | 276 | +0.118 | 47% | 7.2 | +0.163 | 26/37 | 0.66 |
| Sack | 13 | -2.188 | 0% | -7.8 | -1.741 | — | 0.21 |
| Scramble | 13 | +0.891 | 69% | 5.9 | +0.479 | — | 0.27 |
| Pass depth Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Behind the line | 47 | -0.304 | 34% | 4.4 | -0.186 | 29/36 | 0.19 |
| Short (0–9) | 121 | +0.245 | 55% | 6.8 | +0.123 | 7/37 | 0.01 |
| Intermediate (10–19) | 73 | +0.298 | 53% | 9.3 | +0.393 | 25/37 | 0.16 |
| Deep (20+) | 35 | -0.132 | 26% | 7.9 | +0.443 | 31/31 | 0.18 |
| Pass direction Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Left | 129 | +0.177 | 50% | 7.1 | +0.156 | 19/37 | 0.11 |
| Middle | 30 | -0.136 | 43% | 7.4 | +0.279 | 37/37 | 0.10 |
| Right | 117 | +0.118 | 45% | 7.2 | +0.111 | 22/37 | 0.08 |
| Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Play action | 54 | +0.291 | 50% | 8.5 | +0.136 | 10/37 | -0.03 |
| No play action | 248 | -0.000 | 45% | 6.1 | +0.032 | 26/37 | -0.03 |
| In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| In pocket | 255 | +0.057 | 47% | 6.8 | +0.070 | 24/37 | 0.06 |
| Out of pocket | 47 | +0.023 | 38% | 4.6 | +0.003 | 19/36 | 0.06 |
| Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Blitzed | 91 | -0.110 | 40% | 5.3 | +0.048 | 31/37 | -0.15 |
| No blitz | 211 | +0.122 | 49% | 7.0 | +0.060 | 15/37 | -0.15 |
| Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3 or fewer rushers | 8 | +0.726 | 62% | 9.6 | +0.148 | — | — |
| 4 rushers | 214 | +0.053 | 48% | 6.4 | +0.049 | 23/37 | -0.27 |
| 5 rushers | 58 | -0.036 | 40% | 7.0 | +0.076 | 28/37 | -0.05 |
| 6+ rushers | 22 | +0.028 | 36% | 4.7 | +0.030 | — | 0.15 |
| Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Light box (6 or fewer) | 243 | +0.061 | 46% | 6.8 | +0.047 | 21/37 | 0.13 |
| 7 in the box | 53 | -0.003 | 43% | 5.1 | +0.083 | 27/37 | 0.11 |
| Stacked box (8+) | 6 | +0.176 | 67% | 5.7 | +0.097 | — | — |
| Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Screen | 23 | -0.255 | 35% | 3.4 | -0.040 | — | -0.11 |
| Not a screen | 279 | +0.077 | 47% | 6.7 | +0.064 | 20/37 | -0.11 |
| Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Motion | 198 | +0.095 | 47% | 6.5 | +0.082 | 21/37 | 0.02 |
| No motion | 104 | -0.031 | 44% | 6.4 | +0.027 | 27/37 | 0.02 |
| RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| RPO | 1 | -0.849 | 0% | 2.0 | +0.068 | — | — |
| Not an RPO | 301 | +0.055 | 46% | 6.5 | +0.056 | 22/37 | — |
| Pressure Defense (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Clean pocket | 229 | +0.242 | 54% | 7.8 | +0.273 | 26/37 | 0.04 |
| Pressured | 73 | -0.544 | 22% | 2.4 | -0.454 | 26/37 | 0.04 |
| Man / zone Defense (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Man | 100 | -0.117 | 37% | 5.8 | +0.077 | 34/37 | 0.01 |
| Zone | 202 | +0.136 | 50% | 6.8 | +0.047 | 11/37 | 0.01 |
| Coverage shell Defense (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Cover 0 | 7 | +0.543 | 57% | 3.7 | +0.112 | — | — |
| Cover 1 | 81 | -0.229 | 35% | 6.4 | +0.072 | 35/37 | -0.05 |
| 2-Man | 12 | +0.252 | 42% | 2.6 | +0.077 | — | — |
| Cover 2 | 69 | +0.223 | 54% | 6.6 | +0.021 | 10/37 | -0.18 |
| Cover 3 | 78 | +0.095 | 45% | 7.1 | +0.070 | 16/37 | -0.07 |
| Cover 4 | 30 | +0.081 | 50% | 6.1 | +0.080 | 19/29 | -0.01 |
| Cover 6 | 19 | +0.139 | 68% | 8.4 | -0.004 | — | -0.20 |
| Cover 9 | 6 | -0.081 | 33% | 4.7 | -0.006 | — | — |
| Combo | 0 | — | — | — | +0.034 | — | — |
| Blown coverage | 0 | — | — | — | +0.293 | — | — |
| Time to throw Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Quick (under 2.5s) | 126 | +0.240 | 56% | 7.2 | +0.165 | 11/37 | 0.12 |
| Normal (2.5–3.5s) | 114 | +0.009 | 41% | 6.6 | +0.220 | 34/37 | 0.07 |
| Long (3.5s+) | 36 | +0.035 | 36% | 8.8 | +0.023 | 20/35 | 0.07 |
| Offensive personnel Scheme (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| 11 | 186 | -0.062 | 41% | 5.8 | +0.050 | 30/37 | 0.07 |
| 12 | 86 | +0.316 | 55% | 8.2 | +0.075 | 8/35 | 0.04 |
| 21 | 28 | -0.101 | 50% | 5.1 | -0.020 | — | -0.07 |
| 13 | 0 | — | — | — | +0.130 | — | — |
| 22 | 2 | +1.449 | 100% | 21.5 | -0.218 | — | — |
| 10 | 0 | — | — | — | +0.056 | — | — |
| Other | 0 | — | — | — | +0.044 | — | -0.08 |
By season
| Season | Team | Dropbacks | EPA/play | Total EPA | Success | Yds/play | CPOE | Comp % | aDOT | Sack rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | ATL | 302 | +0.052 | +15.7 | 46.0% | 6.48 | -3.6 | 60.1% | 8.3 | 4.3% |
Definitions. QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). QB EPA doesn't charge the passer for a receiver's fumble after the catch. Rushing is designed runs only; receiving is EPA per target. EPA is about ±1.4 points a play, so a split of 50 plays carries roughly ±0.2 of luck.