J.J. McCarthy
QB · NYG
· ESPN
· Pro Football Reference
Box score by season
| Season | Team | G | Cmp | Att | Pass yds | TD | Int | Sacked | Rush | Rush yds | TD | vs ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | NYG | 2 | 11 | 21 | 243 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 28 | 0 | ✓ matches |
| 2025 | MIN | 10 | 140 | 243 | 1,632 | 11 | 12 | 27 | 37 | 181 | 4 | ✓ matches |
Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.
Advanced
Dropbacks
287
qualifying bar 238
EPA/play
-0.150
35th of 37 · lg +0.056
Success rate
41.8%
34th of 37 · lg 45.6%
Yards/play
5.71
30th of 37 · lg 6.19
Explosive rate
9.1%
19th of 37 · lg 9.3%
CPOE
-5.7
38th of 37 · lg +0.5
Completion %
57.6%
36th of 37 · lg 64.6%
Air yards/att
8.8
7th of 37 · lg 7.8
Sack rate
9.4%
34th of 37 · lg 6.5%
Turnover rate
4.9%
36th of 37 · lg 2.6%
TD rate
4.5%
18th of 37 · lg 4.3%
Notable in 2025
His biggest gaps between one situation and the rest of his plays, beyond the league's own gap there (|z| ≥ 2.5). Many splits get checked, so some of these are luck; the badge says whether that kind of split repeats year to year.
- -0.42 EPA/dropback between his own 21 and 50 vs +0.09 the rest of the time (135 vs 152; league gap -0.01; z -2.9) mostly noise · r 0.11
- -0.63 EPA/dropback in the 3rd quarter vs -0.05 the rest of the time (50 vs 237; league gap +0.02; z -2.6) mostly noise · r -0.06
Every split
EPA per dropback in each situation, the league in the same situation, and his rank among qualified players with at least 30 dropbacks there (1 = best). "Repeats" is how much that split's player-to-player differences carry from one season to the next (2016–25); near zero means it describes the past and predicts little. Click a situation to filter all his numbers to it.
| Situation | Dropbacks | EPA/play | Success | Yds/play | League EPA | Rank | Repeats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home / away Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Home | 162 | -0.140 | 41% | 5.8 | +0.069 | 35/37 | 0.04 |
| Away | 125 | -0.163 | 43% | 5.6 | +0.044 | 33/37 | 0.01 |
| Neutral site | 0 | — | — | — | +0.052 | — | — |
| Rest days Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Short week (≤5 days) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.109 | — | 0.09 |
| Normal (6–8 days) | 208 | -0.169 | 42% | 5.7 | +0.042 | 34/37 | 0.03 |
| Extra rest (9–12 days) | 55 | +0.026 | 42% | 5.7 | +0.079 | 17/24 | -0.00 |
| Off a bye (13+ days) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.100 | — | -0.07 |
| Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Indoors | 219 | -0.061 | 42% | 6.1 | +0.044 | 25/34 | 0.01 |
| Outdoors | 68 | -0.436 | 41% | 4.6 | +0.063 | 37/37 | 0.01 |
| Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Under 40°F | 0 | — | — | — | +0.051 | — | 0.00 |
| 40–59°F | 44 | -0.464 | 41% | 3.8 | +0.033 | 32/32 | 0.00 |
| 60–79°F | 24 | -0.386 | 42% | 6.0 | +0.094 | — | -0.13 |
| 80°F+ | 0 | — | — | — | +0.059 | — | 0.01 |
| Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| 0–9 mph | 24 | -0.386 | 42% | 6.0 | +0.076 | — | -0.06 |
| 10–14 mph | 25 | -0.636 | 28% | 2.5 | +0.052 | — | -0.12 |
| 15+ mph | 19 | -0.238 | 58% | 5.4 | -0.019 | — | -0.06 |
| Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Dry | 68 | -0.436 | 41% | 4.6 | +0.063 | 37/37 | 0.01 |
| Rain or snow | 0 | — | — | — | +0.050 | — | 0.01 |
| Score Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Trailing 9+ | 51 | -0.562 | 31% | 3.6 | -0.033 | 36/36 | 0.06 |
| Trailing 1–8 | 86 | -0.141 | 40% | 6.8 | +0.087 | 35/37 | 0.05 |
| Tied | 54 | +0.084 | 52% | 6.9 | +0.023 | 14/35 | 0.09 |
| Leading 1–8 | 78 | -0.010 | 44% | 5.6 | +0.106 | 27/35 | -0.21 |
| Leading 9+ | 18 | -0.335 | 44% | 3.6 | +0.157 | — | 0.03 |
| Win probability Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Win prob under 20% | 54 | -0.493 | 30% | 4.0 | -0.032 | 35/35 | 0.05 |
| Win prob 20–80% | 204 | -0.031 | 46% | 6.4 | +0.069 | 30/37 | 0.08 |
| Win prob over 80% | 29 | -0.345 | 38% | 4.1 | +0.143 | — | 0.03 |
| Quarter Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Q1 | 62 | +0.168 | 55% | 7.3 | +0.068 | 10/37 | -0.05 |
| Q2 | 104 | -0.137 | 37% | 5.4 | +0.065 | 35/37 | -0.06 |
| Q3 | 50 | -0.628 | 36% | 4.3 | +0.069 | 36/37 | -0.06 |
| Q4 | 71 | -0.110 | 42% | 5.9 | +0.026 | 31/37 | 0.05 |
| OT | 0 | — | — | — | +0.214 | — | — |
| Two-minute Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Last 2 min of half | 42 | -0.212 | 33% | 6.3 | +0.075 | 36/37 | 0.03 |
| Rest of game | 245 | -0.139 | 43% | 5.6 | +0.053 | 33/37 | 0.03 |
| Down Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1st down | 101 | -0.040 | 47% | 6.5 | +0.114 | 32/37 | 0.19 |
| 2nd down | 98 | -0.169 | 46% | 4.9 | +0.076 | 35/37 | 0.04 |
| 3rd down | 80 | -0.402 | 29% | 5.5 | -0.052 | 37/37 | 0.11 |
| 4th down | 8 | +1.226 | 62% | 8.5 | +0.122 | — | — |
| 3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3rd & 1–3 | 14 | -2.114 | 0% | -1.4 | -0.034 | — | -0.29 |
| 3rd & 4–6 | 22 | +0.283 | 41% | 8.2 | -0.012 | — | -0.12 |
| 3rd & 7+ | 44 | -0.199 | 32% | 6.2 | -0.079 | 26/37 | -0.22 |
| Field position Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| Own 20 and in | 28 | +0.240 | 57% | 7.1 | +0.060 | — | -0.02 |
| Own 50–21 | 135 | -0.421 | 38% | 5.3 | +0.051 | 37/37 | 0.11 |
| Opp 21–49 | 79 | +0.051 | 46% | 7.3 | +0.081 | 23/37 | 0.08 |
| Red zone (opp 20 in) | 45 | +0.070 | 38% | 3.3 | +0.019 | 16/34 | 0.01 |
| Formation Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Shotgun | 215 | -0.135 | 41% | 5.8 | +0.037 | 34/37 | -0.00 |
| Under center | 72 | -0.193 | 44% | 5.4 | +0.147 | 31/32 | -0.00 |
| Tempo Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Huddle | 255 | -0.147 | 40% | 5.7 | +0.059 | 34/37 | -0.09 |
| No huddle | 32 | -0.174 | 53% | 5.8 | +0.037 | 20/23 | -0.09 |
| Yards to go Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1–3 to go | 29 | -1.062 | 21% | 1.7 | +0.046 | — | -0.07 |
| 4–6 to go | 48 | -0.069 | 46% | 5.9 | +0.042 | 28/36 | -0.02 |
| 7–10 to go | 170 | -0.048 | 46% | 6.3 | +0.085 | 34/37 | -0.01 |
| 11+ to go | 40 | -0.016 | 32% | 5.8 | -0.042 | 19/35 | 0.03 |
| Pass, sack or scramble Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Pass | 243 | -0.016 | 45% | 6.7 | +0.163 | 36/37 | 0.66 |
| Sack | 27 | -1.832 | 0% | -5.5 | -1.741 | — | 0.21 |
| Scramble | 17 | +0.605 | 65% | 9.2 | +0.479 | — | 0.27 |
| Pass depth Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Behind the line | 43 | -0.169 | 44% | 4.3 | -0.186 | 18/36 | 0.19 |
| Short (0–9) | 105 | -0.108 | 45% | 4.9 | +0.123 | 36/37 | 0.01 |
| Intermediate (10–19) | 60 | +0.185 | 55% | 9.7 | +0.393 | 32/37 | 0.16 |
| Deep (20+) | 35 | +0.108 | 29% | 10.0 | +0.443 | 29/31 | 0.18 |
| Pass direction Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Left | 85 | -0.047 | 39% | 7.0 | +0.156 | 35/37 | 0.11 |
| Middle | 43 | +0.082 | 56% | 9.0 | +0.279 | 35/37 | 0.10 |
| Right | 115 | -0.029 | 45% | 5.7 | +0.111 | 32/37 | 0.08 |
| Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Play action | 81 | -0.228 | 41% | 5.2 | +0.136 | 37/37 | -0.03 |
| No play action | 206 | -0.119 | 42% | 5.9 | +0.032 | 34/37 | -0.03 |
| In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| In pocket | 228 | -0.189 | 42% | 6.0 | +0.070 | 37/37 | 0.06 |
| Out of pocket | 59 | +0.003 | 41% | 4.6 | +0.003 | 21/36 | 0.06 |
| Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Blitzed | 69 | -0.517 | 42% | 5.8 | +0.048 | 37/37 | -0.15 |
| No blitz | 218 | -0.034 | 42% | 5.7 | +0.060 | 31/37 | -0.15 |
| Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3 or fewer rushers | 11 | +0.375 | 36% | 11.8 | +0.148 | — | — |
| 4 rushers | 199 | -0.052 | 42% | 5.3 | +0.049 | 31/37 | -0.27 |
| 5 rushers | 67 | -0.396 | 40% | 5.9 | +0.076 | 36/37 | -0.05 |
| 6+ rushers | 10 | -1.016 | 50% | 5.6 | +0.030 | — | 0.15 |
| Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Light box (6 or fewer) | 223 | -0.127 | 41% | 5.8 | +0.047 | 35/37 | 0.13 |
| 7 in the box | 50 | -0.168 | 42% | 5.1 | +0.083 | 32/37 | 0.11 |
| Stacked box (8+) | 14 | -0.441 | 50% | 6.3 | +0.097 | — | — |
| Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Screen | 25 | +0.235 | 52% | 6.1 | -0.040 | — | -0.11 |
| Not a screen | 262 | -0.186 | 41% | 5.7 | +0.064 | 36/37 | -0.11 |
| Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Motion | 144 | -0.319 | 35% | 4.4 | +0.082 | 37/37 | 0.02 |
| No motion | 143 | +0.021 | 48% | 7.0 | +0.027 | 24/37 | 0.02 |
| RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| RPO | 8 | +0.250 | 62% | 6.0 | +0.068 | — | — |
| Not an RPO | 279 | -0.161 | 41% | 5.7 | +0.056 | 36/37 | — |
| Pressure Defense (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Clean pocket | 190 | +0.054 | 48% | 7.4 | +0.273 | 37/37 | 0.04 |
| Pressured | 97 | -0.548 | 29% | 2.5 | -0.454 | 27/37 | 0.04 |
| Man / zone Defense (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Man | 86 | -0.449 | 34% | 4.7 | +0.077 | 37/37 | 0.01 |
| Zone | 201 | -0.022 | 45% | 6.2 | +0.047 | 30/37 | 0.01 |
| Coverage shell Defense (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Cover 0 | 7 | -2.379 | 29% | 3.0 | +0.112 | — | — |
| Cover 1 | 64 | -0.498 | 30% | 4.0 | +0.072 | 37/37 | -0.05 |
| 2-Man | 15 | +0.660 | 53% | 8.1 | +0.077 | — | — |
| Cover 2 | 82 | -0.074 | 40% | 6.1 | +0.021 | 30/37 | -0.18 |
| Cover 3 | 79 | +0.068 | 51% | 7.1 | +0.070 | 20/37 | -0.07 |
| Cover 4 | 16 | +0.201 | 62% | 6.2 | +0.080 | — | -0.01 |
| Cover 6 | 11 | -0.232 | 45% | 4.4 | -0.004 | — | -0.20 |
| Cover 9 | 11 | -0.237 | 27% | 3.5 | -0.006 | — | — |
| Combo | 2 | -0.855 | 0% | -1.5 | +0.034 | — | — |
| Blown coverage | 0 | — | — | — | +0.293 | — | — |
| Time to throw Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Quick (under 2.5s) | 94 | +0.002 | 47% | 5.9 | +0.165 | 33/37 | 0.12 |
| Normal (2.5–3.5s) | 96 | +0.105 | 49% | 7.7 | +0.220 | 32/37 | 0.07 |
| Long (3.5s+) | 53 | -0.264 | 34% | 6.5 | +0.023 | 31/35 | 0.07 |
| Offensive personnel Scheme (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| 11 | 206 | -0.196 | 39% | 5.5 | +0.050 | 35/37 | 0.07 |
| 12 | 36 | -0.381 | 44% | 4.9 | +0.075 | 35/35 | 0.04 |
| 21 | 2 | -0.439 | 50% | 1.5 | -0.020 | — | -0.07 |
| 13 | 12 | +0.270 | 58% | 7.2 | +0.130 | — | — |
| 22 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.218 | — | — |
| 10 | 0 | — | — | — | +0.056 | — | — |
| Other | 31 | +0.286 | 48% | 8.0 | +0.044 | 2/4 | -0.08 |
By season
| Season | Team | Dropbacks | EPA/play | Total EPA | Success | Yds/play | CPOE | Comp % | aDOT | Sack rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | MIN | 287 | -0.150 | -43.0 | 41.8% | 5.71 | -5.7 | 57.6% | 8.8 | 9.4% |
Definitions. QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). QB EPA doesn't charge the passer for a receiver's fumble after the catch. Rushing is designed runs only; receiving is EPA per target. EPA is about ±1.4 points a play, so a split of 50 plays carries roughly ±0.2 of luck.