Tetairoa McMillan
WR · CAR
· ESPN
· Pro Football Reference
Box score by season
| Season | Team | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | TD | vs ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | CAR | 5 | 48 | 32 | 471 | 2 | ✓ matches |
| 2025 | CAR | 17 | 122 | 70 | 1,014 | 7 | ✓ matches |
| 2025 playoffs | CAR | 1 | 7 | 5 | 81 | 0 |
Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.
Advanced
Targets
48
qualifying bar 11
EPA/play
+0.450
46th of 192 · lg +0.194
Success rate
60.4%
28th of 192 · lg 49.6%
Yards/play
9.81
33rd of 192 · lg 7.35
Explosive rate
18.8%
18th of 192 · lg 9.0%
Catch rate
66.7%
101st of 192 · lg 67.2%
Air yards/att
11.5
55th of 192 · lg 8.0
Turnover rate
2.1%
100th of 192 · lg 2.6%
TD rate
4.2%
95th of 192 · lg 4.8%
Every split
EPA per target in each situation, the league in the same situation, and his rank among qualified players with at least 12 targets there (1 = best). "Repeats" is how much that split's player-to-player differences carry from one season to the next (2016–25); near zero means it describes the past and predicts little. Click a situation to filter all his numbers to it.
| Situation | Targets | EPA/play | Success | Yds/play | League EPA | Rank | Repeats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home / away Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Home | 24 | +0.589 | 71% | 11.1 | +0.199 | 18/84 | -0.02 |
| Away | 24 | +0.311 | 50% | 8.5 | +0.194 | 35/83 | -0.03 |
| Neutral site | 0 | — | — | — | +0.154 | — | — |
| Rest days Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Short week (≤5 days) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.273 | — | 0.19 |
| Normal (6–8 days) | 31 | +0.594 | 61% | 10.0 | +0.181 | 20/144 | -0.01 |
| Extra rest (9–12 days) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.245 | — | 0.21 |
| Off a bye (13+ days) | 9 | +0.635 | 67% | 9.6 | +0.221 | — | — |
| Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Indoors | 10 | +0.358 | 50% | 10.1 | +0.224 | — | 0.05 |
| Outdoors | 38 | +0.474 | 63% | 9.7 | +0.182 | 30/136 | 0.05 |
| Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| 60–79°F | 21 | +0.706 | 67% | 10.0 | +0.210 | 10/55 | -0.02 |
| 80°F+ | 8 | -0.315 | 50% | 9.4 | +0.213 | — | 0.01 |
| Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| 0–9 mph | 24 | +0.589 | 71% | 11.1 | +0.215 | 14/57 | -0.09 |
| 10–14 mph | 5 | -0.366 | 20% | 3.4 | +0.200 | — | 0.05 |
| Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Dry | 38 | +0.474 | 63% | 9.7 | +0.190 | 28/115 | 0.03 |
| Rain or snow | 0 | — | — | — | +0.105 | — | 0.03 |
| Score Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Trailing 9+ | 8 | -0.091 | 50% | 9.1 | +0.194 | — | -0.01 |
| Trailing 1–8 | 8 | +0.280 | 62% | 8.2 | +0.179 | — | 0.07 |
| Tied | 12 | +0.563 | 67% | 8.7 | +0.213 | 6/19 | 0.02 |
| Leading 1–8 | 12 | +0.941 | 58% | 12.1 | +0.159 | 3/12 | -0.03 |
| Leading 9+ | 8 | +0.257 | 62% | 10.4 | +0.278 | — | -0.05 |
| Win probability Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Win prob under 20% | 7 | +0.025 | 57% | 10.4 | +0.185 | — | -0.05 |
| Win prob 20–80% | 32 | +0.655 | 66% | 9.8 | +0.191 | 18/130 | -0.02 |
| Win prob over 80% | 9 | +0.053 | 44% | 9.4 | +0.226 | — | 0.09 |
| Quarter Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Q1 | 14 | +0.591 | 64% | 9.5 | +0.150 | 5/13 | 0.04 |
| Q2 | 16 | +0.939 | 69% | 12.3 | +0.189 | 1/32 | -0.01 |
| Q3 | 8 | -0.002 | 62% | 7.1 | +0.189 | — | -0.01 |
| Q4 | 10 | -0.168 | 40% | 8.4 | +0.229 | — | -0.03 |
| OT | 0 | — | — | — | +0.439 | — | — |
| Two-minute Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Last 2 min of half | 7 | +0.450 | 57% | 8.4 | +0.133 | — | 0.10 |
| Rest of game | 41 | +0.450 | 61% | 10.0 | +0.206 | 38/155 | 0.10 |
| Down Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1st down | 19 | +0.149 | 58% | 9.1 | +0.229 | 38/56 | 0.00 |
| 2nd down | 18 | +0.918 | 67% | 10.8 | +0.185 | 1/47 | 0.02 |
| 3rd down | 9 | +0.901 | 67% | 11.6 | +0.138 | — | -0.02 |
| 4th down | 2 | -2.925 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.430 | — | — |
| 3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3rd & 1–3 | 0 | — | — | — | +0.162 | — | — |
| 3rd & 4–6 | 2 | +0.263 | 50% | 6.0 | +0.255 | — | -0.27 |
| 3rd & 7+ | 7 | +1.083 | 71% | 13.1 | +0.072 | — | 0.02 |
| Field position Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| Own 20 and in | 5 | +0.509 | 60% | 9.8 | +0.142 | — | -0.04 |
| Own 50–21 | 22 | +0.488 | 68% | 10.8 | +0.169 | 21/84 | 0.04 |
| Opp 21–49 | 14 | +0.777 | 64% | 11.1 | +0.226 | 5/41 | 0.06 |
| Red zone (opp 20 in) | 7 | -0.364 | 29% | 4.0 | +0.248 | — | 0.05 |
| Formation Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Shotgun | 44 | +0.420 | 59% | 9.5 | +0.177 | 46/156 | -0.02 |
| Under center | 4 | +0.778 | 75% | 12.8 | +0.264 | — | -0.02 |
| Tempo Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Huddle | 45 | +0.484 | 62% | 10.2 | +0.196 | 38/171 | -0.00 |
| No huddle | 3 | -0.051 | 33% | 3.7 | +0.179 | — | -0.00 |
| Yards to go Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1–3 to go | 3 | -2.076 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.228 | — | 0.05 |
| 4–6 to go | 5 | +0.445 | 60% | 8.0 | +0.269 | — | 0.02 |
| 7–10 to go | 31 | +0.421 | 61% | 9.8 | +0.204 | 34/113 | 0.03 |
| 11+ to go | 9 | +1.395 | 78% | 14.2 | +0.072 | — | -0.07 |
| Pass depth Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Behind the line | 2 | -1.516 | 50% | 5.5 | -0.214 | — | 0.15 |
| Short (0–9) | 21 | +0.083 | 57% | 5.9 | +0.173 | 64/90 | 0.09 |
| Intermediate (10–19) | 16 | +0.877 | 69% | 12.6 | +0.428 | 4/26 | 0.07 |
| Deep (20+) | 9 | +0.985 | 56% | 14.9 | +0.462 | — | 0.01 |
| Pass direction Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Left | 19 | +0.122 | 53% | 7.9 | +0.141 | 36/64 | 0.04 |
| Middle | 8 | +0.260 | 50% | 10.8 | +0.330 | — | -0.02 |
| Right | 21 | +0.820 | 71% | 11.2 | +0.173 | 5/71 | 0.03 |
| Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Play action | 11 | +0.416 | 73% | 13.0 | +0.279 | — | -0.03 |
| No play action | 28 | +0.404 | 54% | 8.6 | +0.186 | 43/131 | -0.03 |
| In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| In pocket | 34 | +0.518 | 62% | 10.4 | +0.207 | 30/146 | -0.05 |
| Out of pocket | 5 | -0.344 | 40% | 6.6 | +0.209 | — | -0.05 |
| Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Blitzed | 12 | +0.902 | 67% | 12.6 | +0.184 | 4/25 | 0.08 |
| No blitz | 27 | +0.188 | 56% | 8.7 | +0.217 | 69/124 | 0.08 |
| Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3 or fewer rushers | 1 | -0.576 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.274 | — | — |
| 4 rushers | 26 | +0.217 | 58% | 9.0 | +0.215 | 63/114 | 0.12 |
| 5 rushers | 9 | +0.823 | 67% | 13.7 | +0.203 | — | 0.15 |
| 6+ rushers | 3 | +1.141 | 67% | 9.3 | +0.136 | — | — |
| Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Light box (6 or fewer) | 26 | +0.582 | 62% | 9.8 | +0.182 | 19/112 | -0.04 |
| 7 in the box | 12 | -0.094 | 50% | 9.3 | +0.239 | 16/18 | -0.05 |
| Stacked box (8+) | 1 | +1.888 | 100% | 18.0 | +0.324 | — | — |
| Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Screen | 2 | +0.327 | 100% | 8.0 | -0.098 | — | 0.50 |
| Not a screen | 37 | +0.412 | 57% | 10.0 | +0.239 | 44/149 | 0.50 |
| Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Motion | 22 | +0.541 | 64% | 9.2 | +0.240 | 20/92 | 0.10 |
| No motion | 17 | +0.235 | 53% | 10.7 | +0.166 | 28/57 | 0.10 |
| RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| RPO | 8 | +0.389 | 75% | 7.6 | -0.103 | — | — |
| Not an RPO | 31 | +0.413 | 55% | 10.5 | +0.214 | 45/163 | — |
By season
| Season | Team | Targets | EPA/play | Total EPA | Success | Yds/play | Catch rate | aDOT | YAC/catch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | CAR | 48 | +0.450 | +21.6 | 60.4% | 9.81 | 66.7% | 11.5 | 3.4 |
Definitions. QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). QB EPA doesn't charge the passer for a receiver's fumble after the catch. Rushing is designed runs only; receiving is EPA per target. EPA is about ±1.4 points a play, so a split of 50 plays carries roughly ±0.2 of luck.