Tetairoa McMillan
WR · CAR
· ESPN
· Pro Football Reference
Box score by season
| Season | Team | G | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | TD | vs ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | CAR | 5 | 48 | 32 | 471 | 2 | ✓ matches |
| 2025 | CAR | 17 | 122 | 70 | 1,014 | 7 | ✓ matches |
| 2025 playoffs | CAR | 1 | 7 | 5 | 81 | 0 |
Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.
Advanced
Targets
122
qualifying bar 32
EPA/play
+0.207
94th of 197 · lg +0.191
Success rate
50.0%
91st of 197 · lg 50.0%
Yards/play
8.30
53rd of 197 · lg 7.37
Explosive rate
13.9%
39th of 197 · lg 9.4%
Catch rate
57.4%
165th of 197 · lg 67.5%
Air yards/att
11.6
53rd of 197 · lg 7.9
Turnover rate
4.9%
170th of 197 · lg 2.6%
TD rate
5.7%
66th of 197 · lg 4.9%
Notable in 2025
His biggest gaps between one situation and the rest of his plays, beyond the league's own gap there (|z| ≥ 2.5). Many splits get checked, so some of these are luck; the badge says whether that kind of split repeats year to year.
- -0.73 EPA/target on 4–6 to go vs +0.44 the rest of the time (24 vs 98; league gap +0.05; z -3.4) mostly noise · r 0.02
- +1.06 EPA/target against Cover 2 vs +0.03 the rest of the time (20 vs 101; league gap -0.07; z +2.9) mostly noise · r -0.09
- -0.33 EPA/target on 3rd down vs +0.49 the rest of the time (42 vs 80; league gap -0.08; z -2.5) mostly noise · r -0.02
Every split
EPA per target in each situation, the league in the same situation, and his rank among qualified players with at least 12 targets there (1 = best). "Repeats" is how much that split's player-to-player differences carry from one season to the next (2016–25); near zero means it describes the past and predicts little. Click a situation to filter all his numbers to it.
| Situation | Targets | EPA/play | Success | Yds/play | League EPA | Rank | Repeats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home / away Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Home | 55 | +0.112 | 51% | 7.8 | +0.199 | 123/193 | -0.02 |
| Away | 67 | +0.285 | 49% | 8.7 | +0.181 | 80/193 | -0.03 |
| Neutral site | 0 | — | — | — | +0.222 | — | — |
| Rest days Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Short week (≤5 days) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.229 | — | 0.19 |
| Normal (6–8 days) | 109 | +0.204 | 50% | 8.4 | +0.182 | 94/197 | -0.01 |
| Extra rest (9–12 days) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.220 | — | 0.21 |
| Off a bye (13+ days) | 4 | +0.324 | 25% | 6.2 | +0.216 | — | — |
| Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Indoors | 26 | +0.554 | 50% | 9.8 | +0.180 | 20/118 | 0.05 |
| Outdoors | 96 | +0.113 | 50% | 7.9 | +0.197 | 118/192 | 0.05 |
| Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Under 40°F | 0 | — | — | — | +0.172 | — | 0.05 |
| 40–59°F | 19 | -0.418 | 32% | 6.8 | +0.172 | 84/87 | -0.05 |
| 60–79°F | 60 | +0.284 | 57% | 8.6 | +0.241 | 51/110 | -0.02 |
| 80°F+ | 17 | +0.106 | 47% | 6.8 | +0.171 | 35/53 | 0.01 |
| Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| 0–9 mph | 66 | +0.125 | 47% | 7.7 | +0.216 | 110/177 | -0.09 |
| 10–14 mph | 11 | +0.535 | 55% | 10.6 | +0.170 | — | 0.05 |
| 15+ mph | 19 | -0.171 | 58% | 7.1 | +0.105 | 10/14 | -0.05 |
| Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Dry | 90 | +0.071 | 49% | 7.5 | +0.199 | 119/188 | 0.03 |
| Rain or snow | 6 | +0.743 | 67% | 14.0 | +0.157 | — | 0.03 |
| Score Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Trailing 9+ | 38 | +0.379 | 53% | 10.4 | +0.095 | 20/109 | -0.01 |
| Trailing 1–8 | 47 | +0.136 | 51% | 8.1 | +0.227 | 92/153 | 0.07 |
| Tied | 28 | +0.305 | 54% | 7.3 | +0.144 | 32/95 | 0.02 |
| Leading 1–8 | 7 | -0.262 | 29% | 4.7 | +0.239 | — | -0.03 |
| Leading 9+ | 2 | -1.114 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.316 | — | -0.05 |
| Win probability Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Win prob under 20% | 31 | +0.504 | 58% | 11.7 | +0.092 | 19/109 | -0.05 |
| Win prob 20–80% | 84 | +0.172 | 50% | 7.6 | +0.203 | 103/195 | -0.02 |
| Win prob over 80% | 7 | -0.683 | 14% | 1.7 | +0.295 | — | 0.09 |
| Quarter Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Q1 | 30 | +0.340 | 60% | 8.8 | +0.197 | 41/113 | 0.04 |
| Q2 | 42 | +0.247 | 45% | 7.9 | +0.199 | 64/150 | -0.01 |
| Q3 | 21 | -0.030 | 57% | 8.1 | +0.214 | 97/120 | -0.01 |
| Q4 | 29 | +0.185 | 41% | 8.4 | +0.156 | 81/150 | -0.03 |
| OT | 0 | — | — | — | +0.394 | — | — |
| Two-minute Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Last 2 min of half | 15 | +0.519 | 47% | 9.1 | +0.183 | 14/64 | 0.10 |
| Rest of game | 107 | +0.164 | 50% | 8.2 | +0.192 | 111/197 | 0.10 |
| Down Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1st down | 34 | +0.187 | 59% | 9.2 | +0.209 | 104/176 | 0.00 |
| 2nd down | 36 | +0.512 | 56% | 9.2 | +0.198 | 28/178 | 0.02 |
| 3rd down | 42 | -0.333 | 36% | 4.9 | +0.131 | 124/142 | -0.02 |
| 4th down | 10 | +1.445 | 60% | 16.4 | +0.400 | — | — |
| 3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3rd & 1–3 | 7 | -0.504 | 43% | 2.9 | +0.088 | — | — |
| 3rd & 4–6 | 13 | -0.556 | 38% | 4.7 | +0.200 | 17/17 | -0.27 |
| 3rd & 7+ | 22 | -0.147 | 32% | 5.6 | +0.110 | 41/61 | 0.02 |
| Field position Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| Own 20 and in | 13 | +0.447 | 69% | 10.8 | +0.190 | 6/23 | -0.04 |
| Own 50–21 | 51 | -0.089 | 47% | 8.4 | +0.188 | 154/193 | 0.04 |
| Opp 21–49 | 43 | +0.328 | 47% | 8.4 | +0.217 | 72/162 | 0.06 |
| Red zone (opp 20 in) | 15 | +0.662 | 53% | 5.6 | +0.140 | 10/62 | 0.05 |
| Formation Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Shotgun | 112 | +0.151 | 49% | 8.1 | +0.165 | 110/196 | -0.02 |
| Under center | 10 | +0.840 | 60% | 10.2 | +0.311 | — | -0.02 |
| Tempo Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Huddle | 118 | +0.217 | 51% | 8.5 | +0.194 | 90/197 | -0.00 |
| No huddle | 4 | -0.087 | 25% | 3.8 | +0.168 | — | -0.00 |
| Yards to go Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1–3 to go | 15 | +1.100 | 60% | 9.5 | +0.202 | 4/29 | 0.05 |
| 4–6 to go | 24 | -0.729 | 33% | 3.9 | +0.234 | 72/73 | 0.02 |
| 7–10 to go | 70 | +0.450 | 59% | 10.1 | +0.203 | 40/197 | 0.03 |
| 11+ to go | 13 | -0.400 | 23% | 5.5 | +0.081 | 56/61 | -0.07 |
| Pass depth Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Behind the line | 2 | -0.600 | 50% | 2.5 | -0.156 | — | 0.15 |
| Short (0–9) | 55 | -0.196 | 47% | 5.3 | +0.141 | 167/189 | 0.09 |
| Intermediate (10–19) | 44 | +0.521 | 59% | 10.9 | +0.435 | 50/111 | 0.07 |
| Deep (20+) | 21 | +0.684 | 38% | 11.4 | +0.472 | 21/55 | 0.01 |
| Pass direction Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Left | 51 | +0.322 | 51% | 6.9 | +0.177 | 67/187 | 0.04 |
| Middle | 28 | +0.316 | 54% | 13.1 | +0.283 | 56/108 | -0.02 |
| Right | 43 | -0.000 | 47% | 6.9 | +0.155 | 133/185 | 0.03 |
| Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Play action | 15 | +0.576 | 60% | 9.7 | +0.299 | 32/110 | -0.03 |
| No play action | 107 | +0.156 | 49% | 8.1 | +0.160 | 99/196 | -0.03 |
| In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| In pocket | 109 | +0.111 | 49% | 8.1 | +0.192 | 126/197 | -0.05 |
| Out of pocket | 13 | +1.012 | 62% | 10.4 | +0.183 | 4/44 | -0.05 |
| Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Blitzed | 48 | -0.062 | 42% | 7.1 | +0.232 | 118/145 | 0.08 |
| No blitz | 74 | +0.382 | 55% | 9.1 | +0.174 | 44/197 | 0.08 |
| Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3 or fewer rushers | 6 | +1.353 | 67% | 8.5 | +0.254 | — | — |
| 4 rushers | 70 | +0.381 | 56% | 9.5 | +0.169 | 50/197 | 0.12 |
| 5 rushers | 32 | -0.276 | 38% | 6.6 | +0.235 | 91/103 | 0.15 |
| 6+ rushers | 14 | -0.047 | 43% | 6.1 | +0.254 | 10/13 | — |
| Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Light box (6 or fewer) | 94 | +0.022 | 46% | 7.7 | +0.175 | 143/196 | -0.04 |
| 7 in the box | 24 | +0.815 | 67% | 10.2 | +0.240 | 6/98 | -0.05 |
| Stacked box (8+) | 4 | +0.915 | 50% | 11.2 | +0.242 | — | — |
| Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Screen | 3 | -0.458 | 33% | 4.3 | -0.032 | — | 0.50 |
| Not a screen | 119 | +0.224 | 50% | 8.4 | +0.213 | 95/197 | 0.50 |
| Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Motion | 46 | +0.083 | 52% | 6.7 | +0.214 | 129/193 | 0.10 |
| No motion | 76 | +0.282 | 49% | 9.3 | +0.163 | 62/191 | 0.10 |
| RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| RPO | 0 | — | — | — | +0.091 | — | — |
| Not an RPO | 122 | +0.207 | 50% | 8.3 | +0.193 | 96/197 | — |
| Pressure Defense (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Clean pocket | 95 | +0.190 | 52% | 7.9 | +0.256 | 123/197 | 0.01 |
| Pressured | 27 | +0.268 | 44% | 9.9 | -0.046 | 30/116 | 0.01 |
| Man / zone Defense (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Man | 39 | +0.116 | 44% | 8.8 | +0.211 | 86/151 | 0.03 |
| Zone | 82 | +0.241 | 52% | 8.0 | +0.181 | 87/197 | 0.03 |
| Coverage shell Defense (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Cover 0 | 5 | +0.252 | 40% | 4.8 | +0.266 | — | — |
| Cover 1 | 31 | +0.100 | 45% | 9.6 | +0.200 | 72/112 | 0.03 |
| 2-Man | 3 | +0.049 | 33% | 6.7 | +0.220 | — | — |
| Cover 2 | 20 | +1.061 | 75% | 10.8 | +0.137 | 3/127 | -0.09 |
| Cover 3 | 37 | -0.044 | 43% | 7.3 | +0.216 | 117/149 | 0.02 |
| Cover 4 | 15 | +0.032 | 47% | 6.5 | +0.210 | 17/26 | -0.08 |
| Cover 6 | 7 | +0.217 | 57% | 8.6 | +0.142 | — | — |
| Cover 9 | 3 | -0.621 | 33% | 4.0 | +0.159 | — | — |
| Combo | 0 | — | — | — | +0.206 | — | — |
| Blown coverage | 0 | — | — | — | +0.447 | — | — |
| Offensive personnel Scheme (NGS) compare everyone → | |||||||
| 11 | 103 | +0.146 | 48% | 8.1 | +0.188 | 110/193 | 0.05 |
| 12 | 13 | +0.527 | 69% | 10.3 | +0.194 | 24/98 | 0.04 |
| 21 | 1 | +1.209 | 100% | 11.0 | +0.110 | — | -0.17 |
| 13 | 0 | — | — | — | +0.263 | — | — |
| 22 | 0 | — | — | — | -0.103 | — | — |
| 10 | 2 | +0.965 | 50% | 11.0 | +0.236 | — | — |
| Other | 3 | +0.084 | 33% | 4.3 | +0.192 | — | — |
By season
| Season | Team | Targets | EPA/play | Total EPA | Success | Yds/play | Catch rate | aDOT | YAC/catch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | CAR | 122 | +0.207 | +25.3 | 50.0% | 8.30 | 57.4% | 11.6 | 3.8 |
Definitions. QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). QB EPA doesn't charge the passer for a receiver's fumble after the catch. Rushing is designed runs only; receiving is EPA per target. EPA is about ±1.4 points a play, so a split of 50 plays carries roughly ±0.2 of luck.