Jaylin Noel
WR · HOU
· ESPN
· Pro Football Reference
Box score by season
| Season | Team | G | Rush | Rush yds | TD | Tgt | Rec | Rec yds | TD | vs ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | HOU | 6 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 21 | 17 | 334 | 2 | ✓ matches |
| 2025 | HOU | 14 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 35 | 26 | 292 | 2 | ✓ matches |
| 2025 playoffs | HOU | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.
Advanced
Targets
21
qualifying bar 11
EPA/play
+0.956
6th of 192 · lg +0.194
Success rate
66.7%
11th of 192 · lg 49.6%
Yards/play
15.90
1st of 192 · lg 7.35
Explosive rate
28.6%
2nd of 192 · lg 9.0%
Catch rate
81.0%
24th of 192 · lg 67.2%
Air yards/att
11.0
61st of 192 · lg 8.0
Turnover rate
0.0%
1st of 192 · lg 2.6%
TD rate
9.5%
30th of 192 · lg 4.8%
Every split
EPA per target in each situation, the league in the same situation, and his rank among qualified players with at least 12 targets there (1 = best). "Repeats" is how much that split's player-to-player differences carry from one season to the next (2016–25); near zero means it describes the past and predicts little. Click a situation to filter all his numbers to it.
| Situation | Targets | EPA/play | Success | Yds/play | League EPA | Rank | Repeats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home / away Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Home | 10 | +0.848 | 60% | 16.9 | +0.199 | — | -0.02 |
| Away | 7 | +0.322 | 57% | 8.3 | +0.194 | — | -0.03 |
| Neutral site | 4 | +2.336 | 100% | 26.8 | +0.154 | — | — |
| Rest days Setting compare everyone → | |||||||
| Short week (≤5 days) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.273 | — | 0.19 |
| Normal (6–8 days) | 19 | +0.847 | 63% | 14.8 | +0.181 | 9/144 | -0.01 |
| Extra rest (9–12 days) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.245 | — | 0.21 |
| Off a bye (13+ days) | 0 | — | — | — | +0.221 | — | — |
| Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Indoors | 10 | +0.848 | 60% | 16.9 | +0.224 | — | 0.05 |
| Outdoors | 11 | +1.054 | 73% | 15.0 | +0.182 | — | 0.05 |
| Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| 60–79°F | 0 | — | — | — | +0.210 | — | -0.02 |
| 80°F+ | 0 | — | — | — | +0.213 | — | 0.01 |
| Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| 0–9 mph | 0 | — | — | — | +0.215 | — | -0.09 |
| 10–14 mph | 0 | — | — | — | +0.200 | — | 0.05 |
| Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone → | |||||||
| Dry | 7 | +0.322 | 57% | 8.3 | +0.190 | — | 0.03 |
| Rain or snow | 4 | +2.336 | 100% | 26.8 | +0.105 | — | 0.03 |
| Score Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Trailing 9+ | 3 | +1.274 | 67% | 22.0 | +0.194 | — | -0.01 |
| Trailing 1–8 | 8 | +0.721 | 62% | 14.8 | +0.179 | — | 0.07 |
| Tied | 2 | +0.761 | 50% | 17.0 | +0.213 | — | 0.02 |
| Leading 1–8 | 6 | +0.844 | 67% | 16.3 | +0.159 | — | -0.03 |
| Leading 9+ | 2 | +1.948 | 100% | 9.0 | +0.278 | — | -0.05 |
| Win probability Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Win prob under 20% | 2 | +0.693 | 50% | 15.5 | +0.185 | — | -0.05 |
| Win prob 20–80% | 17 | +0.870 | 65% | 16.8 | +0.191 | 9/130 | -0.02 |
| Win prob over 80% | 2 | +1.948 | 100% | 9.0 | +0.226 | — | 0.09 |
| Quarter Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Q1 | 3 | +1.084 | 67% | 21.3 | +0.150 | — | 0.04 |
| Q2 | 8 | +0.662 | 50% | 18.4 | +0.189 | — | -0.01 |
| Q3 | 4 | +0.943 | 75% | 8.0 | +0.189 | — | -0.01 |
| Q4 | 6 | +1.292 | 83% | 15.2 | +0.229 | — | -0.03 |
| OT | 0 | — | — | — | +0.439 | — | — |
| Two-minute Game state compare everyone → | |||||||
| Last 2 min of half | 7 | +0.833 | 57% | 17.3 | +0.133 | — | 0.10 |
| Rest of game | 14 | +1.018 | 71% | 15.2 | +0.206 | 4/155 | 0.10 |
| Down Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1st down | 10 | +0.797 | 60% | 16.7 | +0.229 | — | 0.00 |
| 2nd down | 5 | +1.111 | 80% | 21.4 | +0.185 | — | 0.02 |
| 3rd down | 6 | +1.091 | 67% | 10.0 | +0.138 | — | -0.02 |
| 4th down | 0 | — | — | — | +0.430 | — | — |
| 3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3rd & 1–3 | 1 | +1.542 | 100% | 18.0 | +0.162 | — | — |
| 3rd & 4–6 | 0 | — | — | — | +0.255 | — | -0.27 |
| 3rd & 7+ | 5 | +1.001 | 60% | 8.4 | +0.072 | — | 0.02 |
| Field position Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| Own 20 and in | 4 | +1.282 | 75% | 23.8 | +0.142 | — | -0.04 |
| Own 50–21 | 6 | +0.699 | 50% | 16.7 | +0.169 | — | 0.04 |
| Opp 21–49 | 8 | +0.523 | 62% | 13.0 | +0.226 | — | 0.06 |
| Red zone (opp 20 in) | 3 | +2.188 | 100% | 11.7 | +0.248 | — | 0.05 |
| Formation Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Shotgun | 18 | +0.935 | 67% | 15.0 | +0.177 | 9/156 | -0.02 |
| Under center | 3 | +1.084 | 67% | 21.3 | +0.264 | — | -0.02 |
| Tempo Style compare everyone → | |||||||
| Huddle | 19 | +0.892 | 63% | 15.2 | +0.196 | 9/171 | -0.00 |
| No huddle | 2 | +1.565 | 100% | 22.5 | +0.179 | — | -0.00 |
| Yards to go Situation compare everyone → | |||||||
| 1–3 to go | 4 | +1.820 | 100% | 29.0 | +0.228 | — | 0.05 |
| 4–6 to go | 0 | — | — | — | +0.269 | — | 0.02 |
| 7–10 to go | 16 | +0.795 | 56% | 12.8 | +0.204 | 9/113 | 0.03 |
| 11+ to go | 1 | +0.077 | 100% | 13.0 | +0.072 | — | -0.07 |
| Pass depth Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Behind the line | 2 | -0.587 | 0% | 1.0 | -0.214 | — | 0.15 |
| Short (0–9) | 10 | +0.341 | 50% | 8.8 | +0.173 | — | 0.09 |
| Intermediate (10–19) | 5 | +1.655 | 100% | 17.8 | +0.428 | — | 0.07 |
| Deep (20+) | 4 | +2.392 | 100% | 38.8 | +0.462 | — | 0.01 |
| Pass direction Passing compare everyone → | |||||||
| Left | 7 | +1.009 | 57% | 14.7 | +0.141 | — | 0.04 |
| Middle | 7 | +1.191 | 86% | 21.9 | +0.330 | — | -0.02 |
| Right | 7 | +0.668 | 57% | 11.1 | +0.173 | — | 0.03 |
| Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Play action | 6 | +0.920 | 67% | 19.0 | +0.279 | — | -0.03 |
| No play action | 11 | +0.474 | 55% | 10.3 | +0.186 | — | -0.03 |
| In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| In pocket | 15 | +0.541 | 60% | 14.5 | +0.207 | 27/146 | -0.05 |
| Out of pocket | 2 | +1.311 | 50% | 4.5 | +0.209 | — | -0.05 |
| Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Blitzed | 5 | +0.604 | 60% | 14.2 | +0.184 | — | 0.08 |
| No blitz | 12 | +0.643 | 58% | 13.0 | +0.217 | 18/124 | 0.08 |
| Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| 3 or fewer rushers | 1 | -0.094 | 0% | 0.0 | +0.274 | — | — |
| 4 rushers | 11 | +0.710 | 64% | 14.2 | +0.215 | — | 0.12 |
| 5 rushers | 5 | +0.604 | 60% | 14.2 | +0.203 | — | 0.15 |
| 6+ rushers | 0 | — | — | — | +0.136 | — | — |
| Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Light box (6 or fewer) | 12 | +0.621 | 58% | 11.6 | +0.182 | 15/112 | -0.04 |
| 7 in the box | 4 | +0.479 | 50% | 16.5 | +0.239 | — | -0.05 |
| Stacked box (8+) | 1 | +1.365 | 100% | 22.0 | +0.324 | — | — |
| Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Screen | 1 | -1.079 | 0% | 2.0 | -0.098 | — | 0.50 |
| Not a screen | 16 | +0.738 | 62% | 14.1 | +0.239 | 16/149 | 0.50 |
| Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| Motion | 11 | +0.844 | 64% | 14.9 | +0.240 | — | 0.10 |
| No motion | 6 | +0.241 | 50% | 10.5 | +0.166 | — | 0.10 |
| RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone → | |||||||
| RPO | 0 | — | — | — | -0.103 | — | — |
| Not an RPO | 17 | +0.631 | 59% | 13.4 | +0.214 | 24/163 | — |
By season
| Season | Team | Targets | EPA/play | Total EPA | Success | Yds/play | Catch rate | aDOT | YAC/catch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | HOU | 21 | +0.956 | +20.1 | 66.7% | 15.90 | 81.0% | 11.0 | 6.5 |
Definitions. QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). QB EPA doesn't charge the passer for a receiver's fumble after the catch. Rushing is designed runs only; receiving is EPA per target. EPA is about ±1.4 points a play, so a split of 50 plays carries roughly ±0.2 of luck.