Pick'em Mode
Week 14Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
80
Points Earned
91
Points Possible
87.9%
Percentage
10-3
Record
0
Pending
13
pts
CAR
PHI *
CAR -14.0
Lock
Correct
+13 pts
16 - 22
12
pts
LV
TB *
LV -7.0
Clear favorite
Correct
+12 pts
13 - 28
11
pts
NYJ
MIA *
NYJ -6.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+11 pts
26 - 32
10
pts
ATL
MIN *
ATL -6.0
Moderate favorite
Correct
+10 pts
21 - 42
9
pts
CLE
PIT *
CLE -6.0
Moderate favorite
Correct
+9 pts
14 - 27
8
pts
NO *
NYG
NYG -5.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+8 pts
14 - 11
7
pts
LAC
KC *
LAC -5.0
Moderate favorite
Correct
+7 pts
17 - 19
6
pts
CIN *
DAL
DAL -5.0
Moderate favorite
Correct
+6 pts
27 - 20
5
pts
BUF *
LA
LA -3.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
42 - 44
4
pts
SEA
ARI *
SEA -3.0
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
30 - 18
3
pts
GB
DET *
GB -3.0
Slight favorite
Correct
+3 pts
31 - 34
2
pts
JAX
TEN *
JAX -3.0
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
10 - 6
1
pts
CHI
SF *
CHI -3.0
Slight favorite
Correct
+1 pts
13 - 38
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-13 to each pick.
1= least confident,13= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.