Pick'em Mode
Week 16Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
109
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
80.1%
Percentage
13-3
Record
0
Pending
16
pts
NE
BUF *
NE -14.0
Lock
Correct
+16 pts
21 - 24
15
pts
NO
GB *
NO -14.0
Lock
Correct
+15 pts
0 - 34
14
pts
CLE
CIN *
CLE -10.0
Strong favorite
Correct
+14 pts
6 - 24
13
pts
NYG
ATL *
NYG -9.5
Clear favorite
Correct
+13 pts
7 - 34
12
pts
PIT
BAL *
PIT -7.0
Clear favorite
Correct
+12 pts
17 - 34
11
pts
DET *
CHI
CHI -7.0
Clear favorite
Correct
+11 pts
34 - 17
10
pts
ARI *
CAR
CAR -5.5
Moderate favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
30 - 36
9
pts
TB *
DAL
DAL -4.5
Moderate favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
24 - 26
8
pts
PHI *
WAS
WAS -4.0
Moderate favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
33 - 36
7
pts
TEN
IND *
TEN -4.0
Moderate favorite
Correct
+7 pts
30 - 38
6
pts
HOU
KC *
HOU -3.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+6 pts
19 - 27
5
pts
DEN
LAC *
DEN -3.0
Slight favorite
Correct
+5 pts
27 - 34
4
pts
LA *
NYJ
NYJ -3.0
Slight favorite
Correct
+4 pts
19 - 9
3
pts
SF
MIA *
MIA -2.0
Toss-up
Correct
+3 pts
17 - 29
2
pts
JAX
LV *
JAX -2.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+2 pts
14 - 19
1
pts
MIN *
SEA
SEA -2.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+1 pts
27 - 24
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.