Pick'em Mode
Week 2Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
114
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
83.8%
Percentage
11-5
Record
0
Pending
16
pts
CLE
BAL *
CLE -12.5
Strong favorite
Correct
+16 pts
17 - 41
15
pts
CAR
ARI *
CAR -7.0
Clear favorite
Correct
+15 pts
22 - 27
14
pts
BUF *
NYJ
NYJ -6.0
Moderate favorite
Correct
+14 pts
30 - 10
13
pts
CHI
DET *
CHI -6.0
Moderate favorite
Correct
+13 pts
21 - 52
12
pts
LA *
TEN
TEN -5.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+12 pts
33 - 19
11
pts
NYG
DAL *
NYG -4.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+11 pts
37 - 40
10
pts
JAX
CIN *
JAX -3.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+10 pts
27 - 31
9
pts
SEA
PIT *
SEA -3.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
31 - 17
8
pts
WAS
GB *
WAS -3.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+8 pts
18 - 27
7
pts
ATL
MIN *
ATL -3.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
22 - 6
6
pts
LAC *
LV
LV -3.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+6 pts
20 - 9
5
pts
SF *
NO
NO -3.0
Slight favorite
Correct
+5 pts
26 - 21
4
pts
DEN
IND *
IND -2.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+4 pts
28 - 29
3
pts
TB
HOU *
TB -2.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
20 - 19
2
pts
NE
MIA *
NE -1.5
Toss-up
Wrong
+0 pts
33 - 27
1
pts
PHI
KC *
KC -1.5
Toss-up
Wrong
+0 pts
20 - 17
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.