Pick'em Mode
Week 6Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
89
Points Earned
120
Points Possible
74.2%
Percentage
10-5
Record
0
Pending
15
pts
CIN
GB *
CIN -14.0
Lock
Correct
+15 pts
18 - 27
14
pts
ARI
IND *
ARI -8.5
Clear favorite
Correct
+14 pts
27 - 31
13
pts
DEN *
NYJ
NYJ -7.5
Clear favorite
Correct
+13 pts
13 - 11
12
pts
PHI *
NYG
NYG -7.0
Clear favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
17 - 34
11
pts
LA *
BAL
BAL -7.0
Clear favorite
Correct
+11 pts
17 - 3
10
pts
CLE
PIT *
CLE -5.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+10 pts
9 - 23
9
pts
CHI
WAS *
CHI -5.5
Moderate favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
25 - 24
8
pts
SF
TB *
SF -3.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+8 pts
19 - 30
7
pts
LAC *
MIA
MIA -3.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+7 pts
29 - 27
6
pts
BUF *
ATL
ATL -3.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
14 - 24
5
pts
TEN
LV *
TEN -3.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+5 pts
10 - 20
4
pts
NE *
NO
NO -3.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+4 pts
25 - 19
3
pts
DAL *
CAR
CAR -3.0
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
27 - 30
2
pts
DET
KC *
DET -2.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+2 pts
17 - 30
1
pts
SEA
JAX *
JAX -1.5
Toss-up
Wrong
+0 pts
20 - 12
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-15 to each pick.
1= least confident,15= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.