Pick'em Mode
Week 6Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
101
Points Earned
105
Points Possible
96.2%
Percentage
12-2
Record
0
Pending
14
pts
CLE
PHI *
CLE -8.0
Clear favorite
Correct
+14 pts
16 - 20
13
pts
WAS
BAL *
WAS -6.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+13 pts
23 - 30
12
pts
HOU *
NE
NE -6.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+12 pts
41 - 21
11
pts
ATL *
CAR
CAR -6.0
Moderate favorite
Correct
+11 pts
38 - 20
10
pts
ARI
GB *
ARI -5.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+10 pts
13 - 34
9
pts
CIN *
NYG
NYG -4.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+9 pts
17 - 7
8
pts
SF *
SEA
SEA -3.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+8 pts
36 - 24
7
pts
PIT *
LV
LV -3.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+7 pts
32 - 13
6
pts
DET *
DAL
DAL -3.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+6 pts
47 - 9
5
pts
TB *
NO
NO -3.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+5 pts
51 - 27
4
pts
LAC *
DEN
DEN -3.0
Slight favorite
Correct
+4 pts
23 - 16
3
pts
IND
TEN *
IND -2.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
20 - 17
2
pts
JAX
CHI *
CHI -1.5
Toss-up
Correct
+2 pts
16 - 35
1
pts
BUF
NYJ *
NYJ -1.0
Toss-up
Wrong
+0 pts
23 - 20
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-14 to each pick.
1= least confident,14= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.