Pick'em Mode
Week 12Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
87
Points Earned
105
Points Possible
82.9%
Percentage
9-5
Record
0
Pending
14
pts
NYJ
BAL *
NYJ -14.0
Lock
Correct
+14 pts
10 - 23
13
pts
NYG
DET *
NYG -14.0
Lock
Correct
+13 pts
27 - 34
12
pts
SEA *
TEN
TEN -12.5
Strong favorite
Correct
+12 pts
30 - 24
11
pts
NE *
CIN
CIN -7.5
Clear favorite
Correct
+11 pts
26 - 20
10
pts
CAR
SF *
CAR -7.5
Clear favorite
Correct
+10 pts
9 - 20
9
pts
TB
LA *
TB -7.0
Clear favorite
Correct
+9 pts
7 - 34
8
pts
MIN
GB *
MIN -6.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+8 pts
6 - 23
7
pts
BUF *
HOU
HOU -5.5
Moderate favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
19 - 23
6
pts
IND
KC *
IND -3.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+6 pts
20 - 23
5
pts
CLE
LV *
CLE -3.0
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
24 - 10
4
pts
PIT
CHI *
PIT -3.0
Slight favorite
Correct
+4 pts
28 - 31
3
pts
PHI *
DAL
DAL -3.0
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
21 - 24
2
pts
JAX
ARI *
ARI -2.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
27 - 24
1
pts
ATL
NO *
ATL -1.5
Toss-up
Wrong
+0 pts
24 - 10
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-14 to each pick.
1= least confident,14= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.