Week 12 Predictions
NFL 2025 Season
Understanding Our Metrics
Percentage of correct predictions. At standard -110 odds, you need 52.4% to break even. Professional sports bettors typically achieve 54-57% long-term.
Profit/loss as a percentage of total wagered. Example: +5% ROI means $5 profit per $100 wagered. Our ROI assumes flat $100 bets at -110 odds.
Model's calculated probability for the predicted outcome. Higher confidence = stronger conviction. Note: 70% confidence does NOT mean 70% guaranteed win rate.
Results from 20 games are far less reliable than 200 games. We show sample sizes so you can judge statistical significance. Small samples (under 50) should be viewed with caution.
Total: 42.6 vs 42 (0.6pt diff)
Total: 45.9 vs 33 (12.9pt diff)
Total: 45.7 vs 59 (13.3pt diff)
Total: 51.5 vs 46 (5.5pt diff)
Total: 48.4 vs 61 (12.6pt diff)
Total: 41.5 vs 29 (12.5pt diff)
Total: 49.6 vs 43 (6.6pt diff)
Total: 42.5 vs 54 (11.5pt diff)
Total: 49.1 vs 51 (1.9pt diff)
Total: 33.9 vs 34 (0.1pt diff)
Total: 49.7 vs 45 (4.7pt diff)
Total: 43.1 vs 34 (9.1pt diff)
Total: 49.6 vs 41 (8.6pt diff)
Total: 51.0 vs 29 (22.0pt diff)