Pick'em Mode
Week 14Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
72
Points Earned
105
Points Possible
68.6%
Percentage
10-4
Record
0
Pending
14
pts
LA *
ARI
ARI -9.5
Clear favorite
Correct
+14 pts
45 - 17
13
pts
DEN *
LV
LV -8.5
Clear favorite
Correct
+13 pts
24 - 17
12
pts
NO
TB *
NO -7.5
Clear favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
24 - 20
11
pts
SEA *
ATL
ATL -7.0
Clear favorite
Correct
+11 pts
37 - 9
10
pts
CHI
GB *
CHI -6.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+10 pts
21 - 28
9
pts
CIN
BUF *
CIN -6.0
Moderate favorite
Correct
+9 pts
34 - 39
8
pts
PIT
BAL *
PIT -5.5
Moderate favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
27 - 22
7
pts
HOU
KC *
HOU -4.5
Moderate favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
20 - 10
6
pts
TEN
CLE *
TEN -4.5
Moderate favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
31 - 29
5
pts
DAL
DET *
DAL -3.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+5 pts
30 - 44
4
pts
IND
JAX *
JAX -2.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+4 pts
19 - 36
3
pts
WAS
MIN *
MIN -1.5
Toss-up
Correct
+3 pts
0 - 31
2
pts
MIA *
NYJ
NYJ -2.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+2 pts
34 - 10
1
pts
PHI
LAC *
LAC -1.5
Toss-up
Correct
+1 pts
19 - 22
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-14 to each pick.
1= least confident,14= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.