Pick'em Mode
Week 15Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
101
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
74.3%
Percentage
11-5
Record
0
Pending
16
pts
NYJ
JAX *
NYJ -13.5
Strong favorite
Correct
+16 pts
20 - 48
15
pts
IND
SEA *
IND -13.5
Strong favorite
Correct
+15 pts
16 - 18
14
pts
LV
PHI *
LV -12.5
Strong favorite
Correct
+14 pts
0 - 31
13
pts
TEN
SF *
TEN -12.5
Strong favorite
Correct
+13 pts
24 - 37
12
pts
ARI
HOU *
ARI -10.5
Strong favorite
Correct
+12 pts
20 - 40
11
pts
CLE
CHI *
CLE -7.5
Clear favorite
Correct
+11 pts
3 - 31
10
pts
ATL
TB *
ATL -6.0
Moderate favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
29 - 28
9
pts
MIN
DAL *
MIN -5.5
Moderate favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
34 - 26
8
pts
LAC
KC *
LAC -5.5
Moderate favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
16 - 13
7
pts
DET
LA *
DET -5.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+7 pts
34 - 41
6
pts
MIA
PIT *
MIA -3.0
Slight favorite
Correct
+6 pts
15 - 28
5
pts
WAS
NYG *
WAS -2.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
29 - 21
4
pts
BAL *
CIN
CIN -2.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+4 pts
24 - 0
3
pts
CAR *
NO
NO -2.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
17 - 20
2
pts
BUF *
NE
NE -2.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+2 pts
35 - 31
1
pts
GB
DEN *
DEN -1.5
Toss-up
Correct
+1 pts
26 - 34
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.