Pick'em Mode
Week 16Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
90
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
66.2%
Percentage
10-6
Record
0
Pending
16
pts
LV
HOU *
LV -14.5
Lock
Correct
+16 pts
21 - 23
15
pts
BUF *
CLE
CLE -10.5
Strong favorite
Correct
+15 pts
23 - 20
14
pts
PIT
DET *
PIT -7.5
Clear favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
29 - 24
13
pts
PHI *
WAS
WAS -7.0
Clear favorite
Correct
+13 pts
29 - 18
12
pts
NYJ
NO *
NYJ -6.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+12 pts
6 - 29
11
pts
SF *
IND
IND -4.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+11 pts
48 - 27
10
pts
CIN *
MIA
MIA -3.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+10 pts
45 - 21
9
pts
NE
BAL *
NE -3.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
28 - 24
8
pts
JAX
DEN *
JAX -3.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
34 - 20
7
pts
KC *
TEN
TEN -3.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
9 - 26
6
pts
TB *
CAR
CAR -3.0
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
20 - 23
5
pts
MIN *
NYG
NYG -2.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+5 pts
16 - 13
4
pts
ATL *
ARI
ARI -2.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+4 pts
26 - 19
3
pts
LA
SEA *
LA -1.5
Toss-up
Correct
+3 pts
37 - 38
2
pts
LAC
DAL *
LAC -1.5
Toss-up
Wrong
+0 pts
34 - 17
1
pts
GB
CHI *
GB -1.5
Toss-up
Correct
+1 pts
16 - 22
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.