Pick'em Mode
Week 18Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
102
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
75.0%
Percentage
10-6
Record
0
Pending
16
pts
LAC
DEN *
LAC -14.5
Lock
Correct
+16 pts
3 - 19
15
pts
ARI
LA *
ARI -14.5
Lock
Correct
+15 pts
20 - 37
14
pts
MIA
NE *
MIA -14.0
Lock
Correct
+14 pts
10 - 38
13
pts
NYJ
BUF *
NYJ -12.5
Strong favorite
Correct
+13 pts
8 - 35
12
pts
TEN
JAX *
TEN -12.5
Strong favorite
Correct
+12 pts
7 - 41
11
pts
GB
MIN *
GB -12.5
Strong favorite
Correct
+11 pts
3 - 16
10
pts
IND
HOU *
IND -9.5
Clear favorite
Correct
+10 pts
30 - 38
9
pts
CLE
CIN *
CLE -9.5
Clear favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
20 - 18
8
pts
BAL *
PIT
PIT -4.5
Moderate favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
24 - 26
7
pts
NO
ATL *
NO -4.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+7 pts
17 - 19
6
pts
KC *
LV
LV -3.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
12 - 14
5
pts
DET
CHI *
DET -3.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
19 - 16
4
pts
WAS
PHI *
WAS -3.0
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
24 - 17
3
pts
CAR
TB *
CAR -3.0
Slight favorite
Correct
+3 pts
14 - 16
2
pts
DAL *
NYG
NYG -3.0
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
17 - 34
1
pts
SEA *
SF
SF -2.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+1 pts
13 - 3
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.