Pick'em Mode
Week 8Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
76
Points Earned
91
Points Possible
83.5%
Percentage
11-2
Record
0
Pending
13
pts
TEN
IND *
TEN -15.5
Lock
Correct
+13 pts
14 - 38
12
pts
WAS
KC *
WAS -10.5
Strong favorite
Correct
+12 pts
7 - 28
11
pts
BUF *
CAR
CAR -7.0
Clear favorite
Correct
+11 pts
40 - 9
10
pts
CLE
NE *
CLE -7.0
Clear favorite
Correct
+10 pts
13 - 32
9
pts
NYG
PHI *
NYG -7.0
Clear favorite
Correct
+9 pts
20 - 38
8
pts
MIA
ATL *
MIA -7.0
Clear favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
34 - 10
7
pts
NYJ
CIN *
NYJ -5.5
Moderate favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
39 - 38
6
pts
TB *
NO
NO -4.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+6 pts
23 - 3
5
pts
DAL
DEN *
DAL -3.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+5 pts
24 - 44
4
pts
MIN
LAC *
MIN -3.0
Slight favorite
Correct
+4 pts
10 - 37
3
pts
GB *
PIT
PIT -3.0
Slight favorite
Correct
+3 pts
35 - 25
2
pts
SF
HOU *
SF -2.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+2 pts
15 - 26
1
pts
CHI
BAL *
CHI -2.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+1 pts
16 - 30
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-13 to each pick.
1= least confident,13= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.