Pick'em Mode
Week 9Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
60
Points Earned
105
Points Possible
57.1%
Percentage
8-6
Record
0
Pending
14
pts
NO
LA *
NO -14.0
Lock
Correct
+14 pts
10 - 34
13
pts
CAR
GB *
CAR -12.5
Strong favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
16 - 13
12
pts
LAC *
TEN
TEN -10.0
Strong favorite
Correct
+12 pts
27 - 20
11
pts
MIN
DET *
MIN -9.5
Clear favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
27 - 24
10
pts
BAL *
MIA
MIA -7.5
Clear favorite
Correct
+10 pts
28 - 6
9
pts
ATL
NE *
ATL -5.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+9 pts
23 - 24
8
pts
ARI
DAL *
ARI -3.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
27 - 17
7
pts
IND *
PIT
PIT -3.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
20 - 27
6
pts
CHI *
CIN
CIN -3.0
Slight favorite
Correct
+6 pts
47 - 42
5
pts
JAX
LV *
LV -2.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
30 - 29
4
pts
KC
BUF *
BUF -2.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+4 pts
21 - 28
3
pts
SF *
NYG
NYG -2.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+3 pts
34 - 24
2
pts
SEA *
WAS
WAS -2.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+2 pts
38 - 14
1
pts
DEN
HOU *
DEN -1.5
Toss-up
Wrong
+0 pts
18 - 15
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-14 to each pick.
1= least confident,14= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.