Pick'em Mode
Week 9Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
16
pts
Dallas Cowboys *
Green Bay Packers
GRE -13.9
Strong favorite
Pending
15
pts
New England Patriots
Indianapolis Colts *
NEW -13.4
Strong favorite
Pending
14
pts
Baltimore Ravens *
Chicago Bears
CHI -12.8
Strong favorite
Pending
13
pts
Los Angeles Chargers
Cincinnati Bengals *
LOS -12.8
Strong favorite
Pending
12
pts
Cleveland Browns
Minnesota Vikings *
CLE -12.7
Strong favorite
Pending
11
pts
Detroit Lions *
Pittsburgh Steelers
PIT -11.9
Strong favorite
Pending
10
pts
New Orleans Saints
Jacksonville Jaguars *
NEW -12.0
Strong favorite
Pending
9
pts
Buffalo Bills
New York Giants *
BUF -11.6
Strong favorite
Pending
8
pts
Los Angeles Rams
Tampa Bay Buccaneers *
LOS -9.1
Clear favorite
Pending
7
pts
Washington Commanders
New York Jets *
WAS -6.8
Moderate favorite
Pending
6
pts
Carolina Panthers
Las Vegas Raiders *
CAR -6.7
Moderate favorite
Pending
5
pts
Kansas City Chiefs
Houston Texans *
KAN -5.8
Moderate favorite
Pending
4
pts
Atlanta Falcons *
Seattle Seahawks
SEA -5.0
Moderate favorite
Pending
3
pts
Miami Dolphins
San Francisco 49ers *
MIA -3.3
Slight favorite
Pending
2
pts
Denver Broncos *
Philadelphia Eagles
DEN -2.4
Toss-up
Pending
1
pts
Tennessee Titans *
Arizona Cardinals
TEN -0.9
Toss-up
Pending
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.