Pick'em Mode
Week 10Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
16
pts
Philadelphia Eagles *
Jacksonville Jaguars
JAC -10.3
Strong favorite
Pending
15
pts
Atlanta Falcons *
Tennessee Titans
TEN -10.3
Strong favorite
Pending
14
pts
New York Jets
Dallas Cowboys *
NEW -9.9
Clear favorite
Pending
13
pts
Cleveland Browns
Las Vegas Raiders *
CLE -8.7
Clear favorite
Pending
12
pts
Detroit Lions *
Carolina Panthers
CAR -8.2
Clear favorite
Pending
11
pts
Indianapolis Colts *
Denver Broncos
DEN -7.5
Clear favorite
Pending
10
pts
Arizona Cardinals *
Baltimore Ravens
BAL -7.4
Clear favorite
Pending
9
pts
Seattle Seahawks *
New England Patriots
NEW -6.6
Moderate favorite
Pending
8
pts
Minnesota Vikings *
San Francisco 49ers
SAN -6.4
Moderate favorite
Pending
7
pts
Kansas City Chiefs *
Cincinnati Bengals
CIN -5.7
Moderate favorite
Pending
6
pts
Washington Commanders
Chicago Bears *
WAS -6.0
Moderate favorite
Pending
5
pts
Miami Dolphins *
Green Bay Packers
GRE -4.5
Moderate favorite
Pending
4
pts
New York Giants *
Los Angeles Rams
LOS -4.5
Moderate favorite
Pending
3
pts
New Orleans Saints
Los Angeles Chargers *
NEW -4.0
Moderate favorite
Pending
2
pts
Pittsburgh Steelers *
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
PIT -2.3
Toss-up
Pending
1
pts
Houston Texans *
Buffalo Bills
HOU -0.3
Toss-up
Pending
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.