Pick'em Mode
Week 10Always-favourite (baseline)
Picks the market favourite in every game, confidence by spread; equal spreads break on the moneyline. Benchmark: always picking the Vegas favorite scores 72.4% of maximum confidence points (66.4% straight up) across 2018-2025.
0
Points Earned
105
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
14
Pending
| Pts | Matchup | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
 LA
@
 ARI
|
LA -10.5
Strong favorite
|
Pending
|
| 13 |
 BUF
@
 NYJ
|
BUF -7.0
Clear favorite
|
Pending
|
| 12 |
 SEA
@
 LV
|
SEA -7.0
Clear favorite
|
Pending
|
| 11 |
 MIA
@
 IND
|
IND -6.5
Moderate favorite
|
Pending
|
| 10 |
 MIN
@
 GB
|
GB -4.5
Moderate favorite
|
Pending
|
| 9 |
 KC
@
 ATL
|
KC -4.5
Moderate favorite
|
Pending
|
| 8 |
 HOU
@
 CLE
|
HOU -4.5
Moderate favorite
|
Pending
|
| 7 |
 PIT
@
 CIN
|
CIN -3.5
Slight favorite
|
Pending
|
| 6 |
 LAC
@
 BAL
|
BAL -3.5
Slight favorite
|
Pending
|
| 5 |
 JAX
@
 TEN
|
JAX -2.5
Slight favorite
|
Pending
|
| 4 |
 NE
@
 DET
|
DET -1.5
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 3 |
 WAS
@
 NYG
|
NYG -1.5
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 2 |
 CAR
@
 NO
|
NO -1.5
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
| 1 |
 SF
@
 DAL
|
DAL -1.5
Toss-up
|
Pending
|
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-14 to each pick.
1= least confident,14= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: pick the market favourite in every game and rank confidence by spread; equal spreads break on the moneyline (the favourite most likely to win ranks higher). These are the same picks as the Pick Sheet.
- Backtest: always picking the favourite scored 72.4% of maximum confidence points (66.4% straight up) across 2,119 games, 2018–2025. Nothing tested beat it.