Pick'em Mode
Week 11Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
83
Points Earned
105
Points Possible
79.0%
Percentage
10-4
Record
0
Pending
14
pts
JAX
DET *
JAX -14.0
Lock
Correct
+14 pts
6 - 52
13
pts
LV
MIA *
LV -8.0
Clear favorite
Correct
+13 pts
19 - 34
12
pts
HOU *
DAL
DAL -7.5
Clear favorite
Correct
+12 pts
34 - 10
11
pts
MIN *
TEN
TEN -6.0
Moderate favorite
Correct
+11 pts
23 - 13
10
pts
GB *
CHI
CHI -6.0
Moderate favorite
Correct
+10 pts
20 - 19
9
pts
SEA
SF *
SEA -6.0
Moderate favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
20 - 17
8
pts
WAS
PHI *
WAS -4.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+8 pts
18 - 26
7
pts
IND
NYJ *
IND -4.0
Moderate favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
28 - 27
6
pts
LA *
NE
NE -4.0
Moderate favorite
Correct
+6 pts
28 - 22
5
pts
BAL *
PIT
PIT -3.0
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
16 - 18
4
pts
KC
BUF *
KC -2.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+4 pts
21 - 30
3
pts
ATL
DEN *
ATL -2.0
Toss-up
Correct
+3 pts
6 - 38
2
pts
CLE
NO *
NO -1.0
Toss-up
Correct
+2 pts
14 - 35
1
pts
CIN *
LAC
CIN -1.0
Toss-up
Wrong
+0 pts
27 - 34
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-14 to each pick.
1= least confident,14= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.