Pick'em Mode
Week 12Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
63
Points Earned
91
Points Possible
69.2%
Percentage
10-3
Record
0
Pending
13
pts
KC *
CAR
CAR -11.0
Strong favorite
Correct
+13 pts
30 - 27
12
pts
DAL
WAS *
DAL -10.5
Strong favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
34 - 26
11
pts
TEN
HOU *
TEN -8.0
Clear favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
32 - 27
10
pts
NE
MIA *
NE -7.5
Clear favorite
Correct
+10 pts
15 - 34
9
pts
DET *
IND
IND -7.0
Clear favorite
Correct
+9 pts
24 - 6
8
pts
TB *
NYG
NYG -6.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+8 pts
30 - 7
7
pts
SF
GB *
SF -6.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+7 pts
10 - 38
6
pts
DEN *
LV
LV -6.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+6 pts
29 - 19
5
pts
PIT *
CLE
CLE -3.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
19 - 24
4
pts
MIN *
CHI
CHI -3.0
Slight favorite
Correct
+4 pts
30 - 27
3
pts
PHI *
LA
LA -3.0
Slight favorite
Correct
+3 pts
37 - 20
2
pts
BAL *
LAC
LAC -3.0
Slight favorite
Correct
+2 pts
30 - 23
1
pts
ARI
SEA *
SEA -1.0
Toss-up
Correct
+1 pts
6 - 16
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-13 to each pick.
1= least confident,13= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.