Pick'em Mode

Week 22
Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
1
Points Earned
1
Points Possible
100.0%
Percentage
1-0
Record
0
Pending
2024 Season
← Week 21 Week 22 Week 1 →
Full Predictions
1
pts
KC KC
@
PHI PHI *
2025-02-09 18:30 Model
PHI -1.5
Toss-up
Correct
+1 pts
22 - 40

How Pick'em Scoring Works

  1. Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
  2. Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-1 to each pick. 1 = least confident, 1 = most confident.
  3. Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
  4. Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
    • Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
    • Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
  5. Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.