Pick'em Mode
Week 10Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
80
Points Earned
105
Points Possible
76.2%
Percentage
11-3
Record
0
Pending
14
pts
LV
DEN *
LV -9.5
Clear favorite
Correct
+14 pts
7 - 10
13
pts
BUF *
MIA
MIA -8.5
Clear favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
13 - 30
12
pts
DET *
WAS
WAS -8.5
Clear favorite
Correct
+12 pts
44 - 22
11
pts
ARI
SEA *
ARI -7.0
Clear favorite
Correct
+11 pts
22 - 44
10
pts
ATL
IND *
ATL -6.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+10 pts
25 - 31
9
pts
LA *
SF
SF -5.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+9 pts
42 - 26
8
pts
NO
CAR *
NO -5.5
Moderate favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
17 - 7
7
pts
NYG
CHI *
NYG -4.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+7 pts
20 - 24
6
pts
BAL *
MIN
MIN -4.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+6 pts
27 - 19
5
pts
PIT
LAC *
PIT -3.0
Slight favorite
Correct
+5 pts
10 - 25
4
pts
NE
TB *
NE -2.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
28 - 23
3
pts
JAX
HOU *
HOU -1.5
Toss-up
Correct
+3 pts
29 - 36
2
pts
PHI *
GB
PHI -1.5
Toss-up
Correct
+2 pts
10 - 7
1
pts
CLE
NYJ *
NYJ -1.5
Toss-up
Correct
+1 pts
20 - 27
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-14 to each pick.
1= least confident,14= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.