Pick'em Mode
Week 1Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
16
pts
Los Angeles Chargers *
Kansas City Chiefs
KAN -13.7
Strong favorite
Pending
15
pts
Minnesota Vikings
Detroit Lions *
MIN -11.9
Strong favorite
Pending
14
pts
Green Bay Packers *
Washington Commanders
WAS -11.1
Strong favorite
Pending
13
pts
Pittsburgh Steelers
San Francisco 49ers *
PIT -11.0
Strong favorite
Pending
12
pts
Carolina Panthers *
Tennessee Titans
TEN -10.0
Strong favorite
Pending
11
pts
Buffalo Bills
Los Angeles Rams *
BUF -9.9
Clear favorite
Pending
10
pts
Chicago Bears
Las Vegas Raiders *
CHI -9.4
Clear favorite
Pending
9
pts
New Orleans Saints
Cincinnati Bengals *
NEW -9.0
Clear favorite
Pending
8
pts
New York Jets *
Atlanta Falcons
ATL -8.5
Clear favorite
Pending
7
pts
Indianapolis Colts
New York Giants *
IND -6.9
Moderate favorite
Pending
6
pts
Seattle Seahawks *
New England Patriots
NEW -5.7
Moderate favorite
Pending
5
pts
Houston Texans *
Miami Dolphins
MIA -4.1
Moderate favorite
Pending
4
pts
Cleveland Browns
Philadelphia Eagles *
CLE -3.7
Slight favorite
Pending
3
pts
Denver Broncos
Tampa Bay Buccaneers *
DEN -3.1
Slight favorite
Pending
2
pts
Arizona Cardinals
Jacksonville Jaguars *
JAC -2.5
Slight favorite
Pending
1
pts
Baltimore Ravens *
Dallas Cowboys
BAL -1.9
Toss-up
Pending
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.