Pick'em Mode
Week 1Always-favourite (baseline)
Picks the market favourite in every game, confidence by spread; equal spreads break on the moneyline. Benchmark: always picking the Vegas favorite scores 72.4% of maximum confidence points (66.4% straight up) across 2018-2025.
102
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
75.0%
Percentage
12-4
Record
0
Pending
| Pts | Matchup | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 |
 ARI
@
 LAC
|
LAC -9.5
Clear favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
26 - 14
|
| 15 |
 CLE
@
 JAX
|
JAX -8.5
Clear favorite
|
Correct
+15 pts
10 - 34
|
| 14 |
 NO
@
 DET
|
DET -7.0
Clear favorite
|
Correct
+14 pts
30 - 31
|
| 13 |
 ATL
@
 PIT
|
PIT -6.0
Moderate favorite
|
Correct
+13 pts
13 - 20
|
| 12 |
 WAS
@
 PHI
|
PHI -6.0
Moderate favorite
|
Correct
+12 pts
22 - 24
|
| 11 |
 SF
@
 LA
|
LA -3.5
Slight favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
27 - 7
|
| 10 |
 TB
@
 CIN
|
CIN -3.5
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+10 pts
27 - 33
|
| 9 |
 BAL
@
 IND
|
BAL -3.5
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+9 pts
41 - 23
|
| 8 |
 NE
@
 SEA
|
SEA -3.0
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+8 pts
10 - 13
|
| 7 |
 CHI
@
 CAR
|
CHI -3.0
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+7 pts
59 - 37
|
| 6 |
 MIA
@
 LV
|
LV -3.0
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+6 pts
13 - 27
|
| 5 |
 DAL
@
 NYG
|
DAL -3.0
Slight favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
20 - 28
|
| 4 |
 DEN
@
 KC
|
KC -2.5
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+4 pts
10 - 31
|
| 3 |
 BUF
@
 HOU
|
BUF -1.5
Toss-up
|
Correct
+3 pts
36 - 31
|
| 2 |
 NYJ
@
 TEN
|
TEN -1.5
Toss-up
|
Wrong
+0 pts
23 - 10
|
| 1 |
 GB
@
 MIN
|
MIN -1.5
Toss-up
|
Correct
+1 pts
22 - 39
|
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: pick the market favourite in every game and rank confidence by spread; equal spreads break on the moneyline (the favourite most likely to win ranks higher). These are the same picks as the Pick Sheet.
- Backtest: always picking the favourite scored 72.4% of maximum confidence points (66.4% straight up) across 2,119 games, 2018–2025. Nothing tested beat it.