Pick'em Mode
Week 1Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
16
pts
ARI
LAC *
ARI -11.5
Strong favorite
Pending
15
pts
CLE
JAX *
CLE -7.5
Clear favorite
Pending
14
pts
NO
DET *
NO -7.0
Clear favorite
Pending
13
pts
WAS
PHI *
WAS -5.5
Moderate favorite
Pending
12
pts
TB
CIN *
TB -3.5
Slight favorite
Pending
11
pts
NE
SEA *
NE -3.5
Slight favorite
Pending
10
pts
BAL *
IND
IND -3.5
Slight favorite
Pending
9
pts
SF
LA *
SF -3.0
Slight favorite
Pending
8
pts
ATL
PIT *
ATL -3.0
Slight favorite
Pending
7
pts
MIA
LV *
MIA -3.0
Slight favorite
Pending
6
pts
NYJ
TEN *
NYJ -3.0
Slight favorite
Pending
5
pts
DEN
KC *
DEN -2.5
Slight favorite
Pending
4
pts
CHI
CAR *
CAR -2.5
Slight favorite
Pending
3
pts
BUF
HOU *
HOU -1.5
Toss-up
Pending
2
pts
GB
MIN *
MIN -1.5
Toss-up
Pending
1
pts
DAL
NYG *
NYG -1.5
Toss-up
Pending
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.