Pick'em Mode
Week 2Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
16
pts
MIA
SF *
MIA -10.5
Strong favorite
Pending
15
pts
SEA *
ARI
ARI -10.0
Strong favorite
Pending
14
pts
NYG
LA *
NYG -9.5
Clear favorite
Pending
13
pts
LV
LAC *
LV -8.5
Clear favorite
Pending
12
pts
NO
BAL *
NO -7.5
Clear favorite
Pending
11
pts
GB *
NYJ
NYJ -6.5
Moderate favorite
Pending
10
pts
CLE
TB *
CLE -6.5
Moderate favorite
Pending
9
pts
IND
KC *
IND -5.5
Moderate favorite
Pending
8
pts
PIT
NE *
PIT -4.5
Moderate favorite
Pending
7
pts
WAS
DAL *
WAS -4.5
Moderate favorite
Pending
6
pts
PHI *
TEN
TEN -4.5
Moderate favorite
Pending
5
pts
MIN
CHI *
MIN -3.5
Slight favorite
Pending
4
pts
DET
BUF *
DET -3.0
Slight favorite
Pending
3
pts
JAX
DEN *
JAX -3.0
Slight favorite
Pending
2
pts
CIN
HOU *
CIN -2.5
Slight favorite
Pending
1
pts
CAR
ATL *
CAR -1.5
Toss-up
Pending
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.