Pick'em Mode
Week 22Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
36
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
8
Pending
8
pts
Tennessee Titans *
Washington Commanders
WAS -8.8
Clear favorite
Pending
7
pts
Dallas Cowboys
Kansas City Chiefs *
DAL -8.2
Clear favorite
Pending
6
pts
Philadelphia Eagles *
New England Patriots
NEW -7.0
Clear favorite
Pending
5
pts
Seattle Seahawks *
Arizona Cardinals
ARI -5.3
Moderate favorite
Pending
4
pts
Cleveland Browns *
New Orleans Saints
NEW -4.3
Moderate favorite
Pending
3
pts
New York Jets
San Francisco 49ers *
NEW -3.6
Slight favorite
Pending
2
pts
Las Vegas Raiders *
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
LAS -1.5
Toss-up
Pending
1
pts
Buffalo Bills *
Chicago Bears
BUF -1.1
Toss-up
Pending
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-8 to each pick.
1= least confident,8= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.