Pick'em Mode
Week 12Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
16
pts
Los Angeles Rams *
Detroit Lions
DET -14.0
Lock
Pending
15
pts
Los Angeles Chargers *
Denver Broncos
DEN -13.4
Strong favorite
Pending
14
pts
Arizona Cardinals
Kansas City Chiefs *
ARI -12.5
Strong favorite
Pending
13
pts
Seattle Seahawks
Tennessee Titans *
SEA -11.7
Strong favorite
Pending
12
pts
Pittsburgh Steelers *
Washington Commanders
WAS -11.1
Strong favorite
Pending
11
pts
Buffalo Bills *
Minnesota Vikings
MIN -10.4
Strong favorite
Pending
10
pts
Cincinnati Bengals *
Houston Texans
HOU -9.3
Clear favorite
Pending
9
pts
New York Giants *
Philadelphia Eagles
PHI -7.4
Clear favorite
Pending
8
pts
Tampa Bay Buccaneers *
Baltimore Ravens
BAL -6.8
Moderate favorite
Pending
7
pts
Cleveland Browns
Miami Dolphins *
CLE -7.0
Clear favorite
Pending
6
pts
Chicago Bears *
San Francisco 49ers
SAN -6.4
Moderate favorite
Pending
5
pts
Green Bay Packers *
Atlanta Falcons
ATL -5.0
Moderate favorite
Pending
4
pts
Indianapolis Colts *
Jacksonville Jaguars
JAC -5.0
Moderate favorite
Pending
3
pts
New England Patriots *
Carolina Panthers
CAR -3.2
Slight favorite
Pending
2
pts
Dallas Cowboys *
New York Jets
DAL -2.5
Slight favorite
Pending
1
pts
New Orleans Saints *
Las Vegas Raiders
NEW -2.3
Toss-up
Pending
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.