Pick'em Mode
Week 11Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
16
pts
Pittsburgh Steelers
New York Jets *
PIT -13.4
Strong favorite
Pending
15
pts
New York Giants *
Arizona Cardinals
ARI -12.2
Strong favorite
Pending
14
pts
Denver Broncos *
Houston Texans
HOU -10.5
Strong favorite
Pending
13
pts
Buffalo Bills
Los Angeles Rams *
BUF -10.1
Strong favorite
Pending
12
pts
Miami Dolphins *
New England Patriots
NEW -8.9
Clear favorite
Pending
11
pts
Washington Commanders
Minnesota Vikings *
WAS -9.3
Clear favorite
Pending
10
pts
Detroit Lions
Dallas Cowboys *
DET -8.4
Clear favorite
Pending
9
pts
Indianapolis Colts
Tampa Bay Buccaneers *
IND -8.0
Clear favorite
Pending
8
pts
Kansas City Chiefs *
New Orleans Saints
NEW -7.5
Clear favorite
Pending
7
pts
Chicago Bears *
Cleveland Browns
CLE -7.0
Clear favorite
Pending
6
pts
Carolina Panthers
Baltimore Ravens *
CAR -5.6
Moderate favorite
Pending
5
pts
Tennessee Titans *
Seattle Seahawks
SEA -3.9
Slight favorite
Pending
4
pts
Philadelphia Eagles
Atlanta Falcons *
PHI -4.1
Moderate favorite
Pending
3
pts
Jacksonville Jaguars
Los Angeles Chargers *
LOS -0.9
Toss-up
Pending
2
pts
San Francisco 49ers *
Las Vegas Raiders
SAN -0.3
Toss-up
Pending
1
pts
Cincinnati Bengals
Green Bay Packers *
GRE -0.2
Toss-up
Pending
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.