Pick'em Mode

Week 11
Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
91
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
13
Pending
2026 Season
← Week 10 Week 11 Week 12 →
Full Predictions
13
pts
IND IND
@
HOU HOU *
2026-11-19 20:15 Model
IND -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
12
pts
MIA MIA
@
BUF BUF *
2026-11-22 13:00 Model
MIA -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
11
pts
BAL BAL
@
CAR CAR *
2026-11-22 13:00 Model
BAL -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
10
pts
NO NO
@
CHI CHI *
2026-11-22 13:00 Model
NO -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
9
pts
TEN TEN
@
DAL DAL *
2026-11-22 13:00 Model
TEN -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
8
pts
TB TB
@
DET DET *
2026-11-22 13:00 Model
TB -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
7
pts
ARI ARI
@
KC KC *
2026-11-22 13:00 Model
ARI -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
6
pts
JAX JAX
@
NYG NYG *
2026-11-22 13:00 Model
JAX -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
5
pts
NYJ NYJ
@
LAC LAC *
2026-11-22 16:05 Model
NYJ -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
4
pts
LV LV
@
DEN DEN *
2026-11-22 16:25 Model
LV -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
3
pts
PIT PIT
@
PHI PHI *
2026-11-22 16:25 Model
PIT -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
2
pts
MIN MIN
@
SF SF *
2026-11-22 20:20 Model
MIN -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
1
pts
CIN CIN
@
WAS WAS *
2026-11-23 20:15 Model
CIN -0.0
Toss-up
Pending

How Pick'em Scoring Works

  1. Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
  2. Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-13 to each pick. 1 = least confident, 13 = most confident.
  3. Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
  4. Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
    • Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
    • Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
  5. Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.