Pick'em Mode

Week 13
Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
105
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
14
Pending
2026 Season
← Week 12 Week 13 Week 14 →
Full Predictions
14
pts
KC KC
@
LA LA *
2026-12-03 20:15 Model
KC -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
13
pts
DET DET
@
ATL ATL *
2026-12-06 13:00 Model
DET -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
12
pts
JAX JAX
@
CHI CHI *
2026-12-06 13:00 Model
JAX -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
11
pts
CIN CIN
@
CLE CLE *
2026-12-06 13:00 Model
CIN -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
10
pts
GB GB
@
NO NO *
2026-12-06 13:00 Model
GB -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
9
pts
SF SF
@
NYG NYG *
2026-12-06 13:00 Model
SF -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
8
pts
LAC LAC
@
TB TB *
2026-12-06 13:00 Model
LAC -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
7
pts
WAS WAS
@
TEN TEN *
2026-12-06 13:00 Model
WAS -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
6
pts
PHI PHI
@
ARI ARI *
2026-12-06 16:05 Model
PHI -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
5
pts
MIA MIA
@
DEN DEN *
2026-12-06 16:05 Model
MIA -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
4
pts
CAR CAR
@
MIN MIN *
2026-12-06 16:25 Model
CAR -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
3
pts
BUF BUF
@
NE NE *
2026-12-06 16:25 Model
BUF -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
2
pts
HOU HOU
@
PIT PIT *
2026-12-06 20:20 Model
HOU -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
1
pts
DAL DAL
@
SEA SEA *
2026-12-07 20:15 Model
DAL -0.0
Toss-up
Pending

How Pick'em Scoring Works

  1. Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
  2. Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-14 to each pick. 1 = least confident, 14 = most confident.
  3. Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
  4. Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
    • Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
    • Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
  5. Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.