Pick'em Mode
Week 14Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
16
pts
New England Patriots
Washington Commanders *
NEW -13.9
Strong favorite
Pending
15
pts
Las Vegas Raiders *
Los Angeles Chargers
LOS -13.6
Strong favorite
Pending
14
pts
Los Angeles Rams
Cleveland Browns *
LOS -12.9
Strong favorite
Pending
13
pts
Carolina Panthers *
New York Jets
NEW -11.7
Strong favorite
Pending
12
pts
Green Bay Packers
Philadelphia Eagles *
GRE -10.9
Strong favorite
Pending
11
pts
Dallas Cowboys *
Atlanta Falcons
ATL -9.9
Clear favorite
Pending
10
pts
Indianapolis Colts
Jacksonville Jaguars *
IND -9.9
Clear favorite
Pending
9
pts
Chicago Bears
Cincinnati Bengals *
CHI -8.4
Clear favorite
Pending
8
pts
San Francisco 49ers *
Miami Dolphins
MIA -7.2
Clear favorite
Pending
7
pts
Detroit Lions *
Tennessee Titans
TEN -7.2
Clear favorite
Pending
6
pts
Arizona Cardinals *
Denver Broncos
DEN -5.8
Moderate favorite
Pending
5
pts
Kansas City Chiefs *
New York Giants
NEW -4.3
Moderate favorite
Pending
4
pts
Minnesota Vikings *
Houston Texans
MIN -2.6
Slight favorite
Pending
3
pts
New Orleans Saints *
Pittsburgh Steelers
NEW -2.5
Slight favorite
Pending
2
pts
Seattle Seahawks *
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
SEA -2.0
Toss-up
Pending
1
pts
Baltimore Ravens *
Buffalo Bills
BAL -0.4
Toss-up
Pending
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.