Pick'em Mode
Week 15Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
16
pts
Arizona Cardinals *
Green Bay Packers
GRE -13.1
Strong favorite
Pending
15
pts
Miami Dolphins
New Orleans Saints *
MIA -12.8
Strong favorite
Pending
14
pts
Cincinnati Bengals *
Denver Broncos
DEN -12.2
Strong favorite
Pending
13
pts
Baltimore Ravens *
Atlanta Falcons
ATL -11.9
Strong favorite
Pending
12
pts
New York Giants
Chicago Bears *
NEW -12.1
Strong favorite
Pending
11
pts
Jacksonville Jaguars *
Kansas City Chiefs
KAN -11.2
Strong favorite
Pending
10
pts
Carolina Panthers
Dallas Cowboys *
CAR -11.5
Strong favorite
Pending
9
pts
Houston Texans *
New York Jets
NEW -9.4
Clear favorite
Pending
8
pts
Tennessee Titans *
Minnesota Vikings
MIN -8.8
Clear favorite
Pending
7
pts
Los Angeles Chargers
Indianapolis Colts *
LOS -9.1
Clear favorite
Pending
6
pts
San Francisco 49ers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers *
SAN -8.5
Clear favorite
Pending
5
pts
Los Angeles Rams
Seattle Seahawks *
LOS -6.2
Moderate favorite
Pending
4
pts
Buffalo Bills *
Las Vegas Raiders
LAS -3.8
Slight favorite
Pending
3
pts
Philadelphia Eagles
Pittsburgh Steelers *
PHI -4.0
Moderate favorite
Pending
2
pts
New England Patriots
Washington Commanders *
NEW -3.3
Slight favorite
Pending
1
pts
Cleveland Browns
Detroit Lions *
DET -1.8
Toss-up
Pending
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.