Pick'em Mode

Week 15
Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
2026 Season
← Week 14 Week 15 Week 16 →
Full Predictions
16
pts
SF SF
@
LAC LAC *
2026-12-17 20:15 Model
SF -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
15
pts
SEA SEA
@
PHI PHI *
2026-12-19 17:00 Model
SEA -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
14
pts
CHI CHI
@
BUF BUF *
2026-12-19 20:20 Model
CHI -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
13
pts
CIN CIN
@
CAR CAR *
2026-12-20 13:00 Model
CIN -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
12
pts
MIA MIA
@
GB GB *
2026-12-20 13:00 Model
MIA -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
11
pts
JAX JAX
@
HOU HOU *
2026-12-20 13:00 Model
JAX -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
10
pts
CLE CLE
@
NYG NYG *
2026-12-20 13:00 Model
CLE -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
9
pts
BAL BAL
@
PIT PIT *
2026-12-20 13:00 Model
BAL -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
8
pts
NO NO
@
TB TB *
2026-12-20 13:00 Model
NO -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
7
pts
IND IND
@
TEN TEN *
2026-12-20 13:00 Model
IND -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
6
pts
ATL ATL
@
WAS WAS *
2026-12-20 13:00 Model
ATL -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
5
pts
NYJ NYJ
@
ARI ARI *
2026-12-20 16:05 Model
NYJ -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
4
pts
DAL DAL
@
LA LA *
2026-12-20 16:25 Model
DAL -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
3
pts
DEN DEN
@
LV LV *
2026-12-20 16:25 Model
DEN -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
2
pts
DET DET
@
MIN MIN *
2026-12-20 20:20 Model
DET -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
1
pts
NE NE
@
KC KC *
2026-12-21 20:15 Model
NE -0.0
Toss-up
Pending

How Pick'em Scoring Works

  1. Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
  2. Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick. 1 = least confident, 16 = most confident.
  3. Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
  4. Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
    • Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
    • Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
  5. Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.