Pick'em Mode

Week 16
Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
2026 Season
← Week 15 Week 16 Week 17 →
Full Predictions
16
pts
HOU HOU
@
PHI PHI *
2026-12-24 20:15 Model
HOU -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
15
pts
GB GB
@
CHI CHI *
2026-12-25 13:00 Model
GB -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
14
pts
BUF BUF
@
DEN DEN *
2026-12-25 16:30 Model
BUF -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
13
pts
LA LA
@
SEA SEA *
2026-12-25 20:15 Model
LA -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
12
pts
TB TB
@
ATL ATL *
2026-12-27 13:00 Model
TB -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
11
pts
CLE CLE
@
BAL BAL *
2026-12-27 13:00 Model
CLE -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
10
pts
CIN CIN
@
IND IND *
2026-12-27 13:00 Model
CIN -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
9
pts
LAC LAC
@
MIA MIA *
2026-12-27 13:00 Model
LAC -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
8
pts
WAS WAS
@
MIN MIN *
2026-12-27 13:00 Model
WAS -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
7
pts
ARI ARI
@
NO NO *
2026-12-27 13:00 Model
ARI -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
6
pts
NE NE
@
NYJ NYJ *
2026-12-27 13:00 Model
NE -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
5
pts
CAR CAR
@
PIT PIT *
2026-12-27 13:00 Model
CAR -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
4
pts
TEN TEN
@
LV LV *
2026-12-27 16:05 Model
TEN -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
3
pts
SF SF
@
KC KC *
2026-12-27 16:25 Model
SF -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
2
pts
JAX JAX
@
DAL DAL *
2026-12-27 20:20 Model
JAX -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
1
pts
NYG NYG
@
DET DET *
2026-12-28 20:15 Model
NYG -0.0
Toss-up
Pending

How Pick'em Scoring Works

  1. Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
  2. Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick. 1 = least confident, 16 = most confident.
  3. Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
  4. Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
    • Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
    • Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
  5. Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.