Pick'em Mode
Week 16Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
16
pts
Tampa Bay Buccaneers *
Las Vegas Raiders
LAS -13.4
Strong favorite
Pending
15
pts
Kansas City Chiefs
Jacksonville Jaguars *
KAN -13.4
Strong favorite
Pending
14
pts
Minnesota Vikings
Los Angeles Rams *
MIN -12.6
Strong favorite
Pending
13
pts
Cleveland Browns
Denver Broncos *
CLE -12.3
Strong favorite
Pending
12
pts
Seattle Seahawks *
Indianapolis Colts
IND -10.9
Strong favorite
Pending
11
pts
Dallas Cowboys *
Cincinnati Bengals
CIN -10.8
Strong favorite
Pending
10
pts
Miami Dolphins
Detroit Lions *
MIA -9.9
Clear favorite
Pending
9
pts
Philadelphia Eagles
Baltimore Ravens *
PHI -9.5
Clear favorite
Pending
8
pts
San Francisco 49ers
Carolina Panthers *
SAN -9.0
Clear favorite
Pending
7
pts
Buffalo Bills *
Green Bay Packers
GRE -8.2
Clear favorite
Pending
6
pts
Pittsburgh Steelers
New Orleans Saints *
PIT -6.6
Moderate favorite
Pending
5
pts
Atlanta Falcons
Houston Texans *
ATL -5.6
Moderate favorite
Pending
4
pts
Chicago Bears
New England Patriots *
CHI -5.6
Moderate favorite
Pending
3
pts
Los Angeles Chargers
Tennessee Titans *
LOS -4.0
Moderate favorite
Pending
2
pts
Arizona Cardinals
New York Giants *
NEW -1.5
Toss-up
Pending
1
pts
Washington Commanders *
New York Jets
WAS -1.8
Toss-up
Pending
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.