Pick'em Mode

Week 17
Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
2026 Season
← Week 16 Week 17 Week 18 →
Full Predictions
16
pts
BAL BAL
@
CIN CIN *
2026-12-31 20:15 Model
BAL -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
15
pts
NO NO
@
ATL ATL *
2027-01-03 13:00 Model
NO -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
14
pts
SEA SEA
@
CAR CAR *
2027-01-03 13:00 Model
SEA -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
13
pts
IND IND
@
CLE CLE *
2027-01-03 13:00 Model
IND -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
12
pts
NYG NYG
@
DAL DAL *
2027-01-03 13:00 Model
NYG -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
11
pts
WAS WAS
@
JAX JAX *
2027-01-03 13:00 Model
WAS -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
10
pts
KC KC
@
LAC LAC *
2027-01-03 13:00 Model
KC -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
9
pts
BUF BUF
@
MIA MIA *
2027-01-03 13:00 Model
BUF -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
8
pts
DEN DEN
@
NE NE *
2027-01-03 13:00 Model
DEN -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
7
pts
MIN MIN
@
NYJ NYJ *
2027-01-03 13:00 Model
MIN -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
6
pts
LA LA
@
TB TB *
2027-01-03 13:00 Model
LA -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
5
pts
PIT PIT
@
TEN TEN *
2027-01-03 13:00 Model
PIT -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
4
pts
LV LV
@
ARI ARI *
2027-01-03 16:05 Model
LV -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
3
pts
DET DET
@
CHI CHI *
2027-01-03 16:25 Model
DET -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
2
pts
PHI PHI
@
SF SF *
2027-01-03 20:20 Model
PHI -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
1
pts
HOU HOU
@
GB GB *
2027-01-04 20:15 Model
HOU -0.0
Toss-up
Pending

How Pick'em Scoring Works

  1. Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
  2. Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick. 1 = least confident, 16 = most confident.
  3. Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
  4. Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
    • Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
    • Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
  5. Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.