Pick'em Mode
Week 17Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
16
pts
Green Bay Packers
Cleveland Browns *
GRE -13.0
Strong favorite
Pending
15
pts
Tennessee Titans
Arizona Cardinals *
TEN -12.9
Strong favorite
Pending
14
pts
Seattle Seahawks *
Kansas City Chiefs
KAN -12.4
Strong favorite
Pending
13
pts
Tampa Bay Buccaneers *
Jacksonville Jaguars
JAC -10.9
Strong favorite
Pending
12
pts
Buffalo Bills *
Minnesota Vikings
MIN -10.0
Strong favorite
Pending
11
pts
Chicago Bears *
Carolina Panthers
CAR -9.0
Clear favorite
Pending
10
pts
Dallas Cowboys
New England Patriots *
DAL -8.1
Clear favorite
Pending
9
pts
Miami Dolphins *
Las Vegas Raiders
LAS -7.6
Clear favorite
Pending
8
pts
Denver Broncos
New Orleans Saints *
DEN -7.8
Clear favorite
Pending
7
pts
Pittsburgh Steelers *
Houston Texans
HOU -4.2
Moderate favorite
Pending
6
pts
Los Angeles Rams
New York Giants *
LOS -4.1
Moderate favorite
Pending
5
pts
Cincinnati Bengals
Indianapolis Colts *
CIN -3.2
Slight favorite
Pending
4
pts
San Francisco 49ers
Washington Commanders *
WAS -2.0
Toss-up
Pending
3
pts
Philadelphia Eagles
Detroit Lions *
DET -1.4
Toss-up
Pending
2
pts
Los Angeles Chargers
Atlanta Falcons *
ATL -0.9
Toss-up
Pending
1
pts
Baltimore Ravens *
New York Jets
BAL -0.6
Toss-up
Pending
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.