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backtests · 3
College Eval Tracks 1+2 (NCAAB + CFB) — Synthesis, 2026-07-13
Verification method: independently re-opened the artifact files each build points to (walkforward_regen_results.json, replicate_spike_gate_result.json for CFB; production_clv_results.json for NCAAB) and diffed the build's prose numbers against the JSON on disk…
backtests/COLLEGE_EVAL_TRACKS_1_2_2026_07.md
Calibration Hygiene Campaign — Item 6 Synthesis
rejected
Date: 2026-07-12 | Scope: 5 tracks, adversarially checked | House framing: calibration is hygiene, not alpha — a change ships only if it clears a market-relative gate, never on ECE/log-loss improvement alone.
backtests/CALIBRATION_HYGIENE_2026_07.md
Upgrade Experiments 2026-07 — Item 5 Synthesis
Gate discipline reminder (house rule): walk-forward only, log-loss/MAE wins that worsen market-relative numbers don't ship, three clean FAILs would be a perfectly good outcome. All three experiments below cleared their pre-registered gates on the letter of the…
backtests/UPGRADE_EXPERIMENTS_2026_07.md