Draft Board

Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 32 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.

Consensus board may be stale. Last updated 2026-08-07 00:00 (5 days ago), past the 48h expected refresh. Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
#PlayerPosTeam ECR Move Range Excess
1 Ja'Marr Chase WR CIN 1.8 -0.2 1–4 -7.4
2 Puka Nacua WR LAR 3.1 +0.1 1–7 -7.4
3 Bijan Robinson RB ATL 3.3 -0.4 1–7 -7.1
4 Jahmyr Gibbs RB DET 3.3 +0.7 1–7 -6.9
5 Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR SEA 4.5 -0.3 1–9 -7.4
6 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR DET 5.9 +0.2 4–9 -7.6
7 Christian McCaffrey RB SF 8.6 -0.0 2–31 -4.2
8 CeeDee Lamb WR DAL 8.8 -0.0 6–17 -7.3
9 Justin Jefferson WR MIN 9.2 -0.1 4–20 -6.9
10 Jonathan Taylor RB IND 11.8 -0.5 7–33 -4.6
11 Drake London WR ATL 12.9 -1.0 8–28 -5.2
12 A.J. Brown WR NE 15.2 +1.0 8–36 -4.0
13 Nico Collins WR HOU 16.6 -1.7 12–38 -5.2
14 Ashton Jeanty RB LV 16.8 -1.1 7–39 -3.6
15 Chase Brown RB CIN 18.6 +3.0 10–39 -4.0
16 James Cook III RB BUF 19.1 -1.1 7–34 -3.3
17 Trey McBride TE ARI 19.1 -0.7 15–32 -4.9
18 George Pickens WR DAL 19.1 -1.0 9–40 -4.7
19 Rashee Rice WR KC 20.1 +2.6 8–45 -1.9
20 Brock Bowers TE LV 20.4 +0.7 11–32 -6.9
21 De'Von Achane RB MIA 21.0 -2.2 10–33 -3.6
22 Chris Olave WR NO 21.7 -2.4 11–44 -3.0
23 DeVonta Smith WR PHI 24.4 +1.6 11–44 -3.2
24 Omarion Hampton RB LAC 24.7 +1.9 11–47 -2.7
25 Saquon Barkley RB PHI 25.2 +1.3 10–41 -3.1
26 Josh Allen QB BUF 25.9 -0.6 21–34 -8.3
27 Kenneth Walker III RB KC 29.6 +2.0 14–53 -2.2
28 Zay Flowers WR BAL 29.9 +3.8 12–49 -1.3
29 Garrett Wilson WR NYJ 30.7 -1.0 15–52 -3.3
30 Lamar Jackson QB BAL 32.3 +0.8 25–63 -1.8
31 Malik Nabers WR NYG 33.4 -1.2 11–64 +1.3
32 Tetairoa McMillan WR CAR 33.5 -3.7 15–51 -2.7
33 Tee Higgins WR CIN 35.3 -2.1 19–52 -3.7
34 Ladd McConkey WR LAC 35.9 +0.1 15–51 -3.4
35 Colston Loveland TE CHI 37.3 +0.2 22–85 +1.0
36 Jaylen Waddle WR DEN 37.4 +2.1 18–62 -3.2
37 Derrick Henry RB BAL 37.6 +2.0 10–50 -2.8
38 Emeka Egbuka WR TB 37.7 +4.3 14–60 -2.8
39 Drake Maye QB NE 38.3 -4.5 26–70 -0.1
40 Jeremiyah Love RB ARI 38.4 -3.9 26–65 -4.1
41 Breece Hall RB NYJ 40.1 +1.3 24–58 -6.4
42 Kyren Williams RB LAR 42.0 +0.9 23–54 -4.8
43 Terry McLaurin WR WAS 43.7 +0.1 28–62 -5.8
44 Josh Jacobs RB GB 43.9 +0.9 24–65 -4.1
45 Luther Burden III WR CHI 45.3 -0.6 29–69 -5.2
46 Javonte Williams RB DAL 45.7 +2.3 25–58 -5.8
47 Joe Burrow QB CIN 46.4 -4.0 27–98 +1.0
48 Davante Adams WR LAR 49.1 -0.4 34–81 -5.4
49 Travis Etienne Jr. RB NO 49.7 -2.9 24–75 -2.9
50 Jayden Daniels QB WAS 51.0 +4.8 30–92 +2.4
51 Mike Evans WR SF 51.7 +1.2 28–91 -2.3
52 DJ Moore WR BUF 53.6 -0.3 19–100 +0.4
53 Cam Skattebo RB NYG 53.6 +2.7 36–78 -4.4
54 Tyler Warren TE IND 53.7 -0.6 22–73 -2.8
55 Jameson Williams WR DET 55.4 -2.9 42–91 -4.2
56 Christian Watson WR GB 57.6 -0.8 40–110 -1.5
57 Jalen Hurts QB PHI 58.4 +0.2 27–92 -1.7
58 Rome Odunze WR CHI 59.4 +0.4 42–96 -3.3
59 Bucky Irving RB TB 60.0 -1.6 35–80 -4.2
60 D'Andre Swift RB CHI 60.1 +2.1 46–77 -6.2
61 Quinshon Judkins RB CLE 60.8 +0.5 37–80 -4.9
62 David Montgomery RB HOU 62.5 +5.4 43–102 -3.6
63 TreVeyon Henderson RB NE 64.1 -2.5 39–99 -3.8
64 Carnell Tate WR TEN 66.8 -4.1 42–192 +8.8
65 Caleb Williams QB CHI 68.6 -0.4 29–101 -0.5
66 Justin Herbert QB LAC 69.6 +0.2 30–108 -0.1
67 Bhayshul Tuten RB JAC 69.9 +4.2 47–127 -0.5
68 Marvin Harrison Jr. WR ARI 70.2 -0.1 45–115 +0.2
69 Harold Fannin Jr. TE CLE 75.1 -0.4 54–112 -3.7
70 Jaylen Warren RB PIT 75.3 -2.5 59–99 -7.3
71 Tucker Kraft TE GB 75.6 -2.8 32–112 -2.2
72 Jadarian Price RB SEA 76.7 +1.0 50–117 -5.1
73 Trevor Lawrence QB JAC 77.3 +0.2 58–105 -2.6
74 Brian Thomas Jr. WR JAC 77.3 +5.7 49–116 -0.4
75 DK Metcalf WR PIT 78.0 -3.2 51–109 -2.3
76 Parker Washington WR JAC 78.3 +13.7 48–123 +3.2
77 Chris Godwin Jr. WR TB 79.7 +1.1 42–109 -2.1
78 Dak Prescott QB DAL 80.0 +2.7 57–108 -3.5
79 Kyle Pitts Sr. TE ATL 80.4 -0.1 63–106 -5.1
80 Rhamondre Stevenson RB NE 82.4 +0.7 65–118 -5.8
81 Michael Pittman Jr. WR PIT 82.5 +0.7 42–117 -1.1
82 Courtland Sutton WR DEN 82.7 -6.2 49–110 -0.4
83 Alec Pierce WR IND 82.7 -8.8 51–121 +1.4
84 Tony Pollard RB TEN 83.7 +0.9 65–117 -5.9
85 Sam LaPorta TE DET 84.6 +1.6 57–106 -4.3
86 Chuba Hubbard RB CAR 85.8 -3.1 64–130 -2.1
87 Wan'Dale Robinson WR TEN 87.3 +1.0 45–136 +0.3
88 Josh Downs WR IND 87.8 +10.9 51–128 +1.2
89 Rico Dowdle RB PIT 88.8 -2.8 66–127 -3.9
90 Jordyn Tyson WR NO 88.8 -3.3 51–241 +12.1
91 Michael Wilson WR ARI 89.2 -3.1 53–128 -1.4
92 Jaxson Dart QB NYG 93.2 -6.6 54–114 -2.7
93 RJ Harvey RB DEN 94.4 -7.6 61–145 +3.1
94 Brock Purdy QB SF 95.3 -1.5 63–119 -6.4
95 Travis Kelce TE KC 98.1 +1.1 66–138 -4.2
96 Jakobi Meyers WR JAC 99.5 -6.7 62–149 +1.3
97 Quentin Johnston WR LAC 100.2 +7.7 64–133 -1.8
98 Kenny Gainwell RB TB 100.3 -0.6 75–146 -1.2
99 Bo Nix QB DEN 101.3 +1.2 74–121 -8.0
100 J.K. Dobbins RB DEN 101.4 +4.4 72–143 -1.4
101 Patrick Mahomes II QB KC 101.9 -1.3 63–129 -7.4
102 Makai Lemon WR PHI 101.9 -7.6 64–232 +7.7
103 Matthew Stafford QB LAR 104.1 +1.3 63–134 -4.8
104 Kyle Monangai RB CHI 104.3 -4.6 78–135 -4.8
105 Rachaad White RB WAS 106.2 +6.4 72–141 -2.4
106 George Kittle TE SF 106.2 +5.5 73–155 +0.0
107 Jordan Addison WR MIN 106.3 +2.0 69–170 -2.2
108 Jared Goff QB DET 108.1 +0.3 63–125 -5.8
109 Jayden Reed WR GB 108.2 +3.6 81–142 -3.5
110 Blake Corum RB LAR 110.1 -0.8 84–143 -4.7
111 Jake Ferguson TE DAL 110.8 -4.3 73–157 -2.3
112 Aaron Jones Sr. RB MIN 111.1 -2.4 77–141 -2.5
113 Kyler Murray QB MIN 111.8 +0.9 74–139 -6.6
114 Dalton Kincaid TE BUF 114.7 -4.6 95–158 -1.8
115 Jonathon Brooks RB CAR 115.4 +21.2 67–347 +20.2 CONTENTIOUS
116 Baker Mayfield QB TB 118.2 +1.1 96–139 -9.4
117 Jordan Love QB GB 119.7 -1.6 98–145 -9.5
118 Jayden Higgins WR HOU 120.8 +0.1 90–163 -5.1
119 Tyler Shough QB NO 121.9 +1.8 101–169 -6.7
120 Khalil Shakir WR BUF 122.0 -3.9 88–163 -3.4
121 Dallas Goedert TE PHI 122.4 +0.1 95–196 +2.3
122 Isaiah Likely TE NYG 122.6 -6.5 87–254 +13.9
123 Xavier Worthy WR KC 123.3 +1.9 86–163 -5.2
124 Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB WAS 123.4 +2.5 91–148 -6.6
125 Jordan Mason RB MIN 124.9 +5.5 89–162 -5.0
126 Mark Andrews TE BAL 125.7 +9.6 95–203 +1.4
127 Jalen Coker WR CAR 128.0 +6.9 96–178 -4.1
128 Romeo Doubs WR NE 129.1 +0.7 91–174 -4.5
129 Malik Willis QB MIA 131.5 -1.6 92–236 +4.1
130 KC Concepcion WR CLE 133.0 -3.5 82–298 +15.4
131 Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB NYG 134.1 -3.9 109–162 -9.5
132 Matthew Golden WR GB 136.1 +5.4 90–197 -0.7
133 Woody Marks RB HOU 139.2 -2.1 99–182 -6.0
134 Tyler Allgeier RB ARI 140.5 +0.1 102–201 -5.0
135 C.J. Stroud QB HOU 142.3 -2.9 119–200 -5.4
136 Sam Darnold QB SEA 142.8 -2.2 125–242 -4.3
137 Tyjae Spears RB TEN 143.2 +0.9 110–210 -5.1
138 Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB JAC 143.7 +3.3 116–231 -2.6
139 Zach Charbonnet RB SEA 144.3 -4.6 86–238 +4.4
140 Stefon Diggs WR WAS 144.4 +18.3 76–302 +31.2
141 Alvin Kamara RB NO 145.7 +7.6 99–201 -3.8
142 Rashid Shaheed WR SEA 147.4 +6.8 117–178 -7.5
143 Dylan Sampson RB CLE 148.3 -0.4 127–222 -5.9
144 Juwan Johnson TE NO 148.3 -7.1 106–203 +1.4
145 Deebo Samuel Sr. WR SF 148.9 +34.6 71–239 +17.3
146 Isiah Pacheco RB DET 151.2 -1.9 118–219 -6.8
147 Chig Okonkwo TE WAS 151.7 +17.3 97–261 +9.2
148 Cam Ward QB TEN 154.1 -4.8 125–246 +2.1
149 Brenton Strange TE JAC 154.4 -0.9 106–236 +2.8
150 Jauan Jennings WR MIN 154.8 -1.8 91–276 +6.3
151 Keaton Mitchell RB LAC 155.8 +10.2 117–243 +2.9
152 Daniel Jones QB IND 156.3 +1.3 113–276 +6.1 CONTENTIOUS
153 Jerry Jeudy WR CLE 159.6 -3.6 126–247 +1.1
154 Denzel Boston WR CLE 159.9 -5.1 116–309 +11.0
155 Hunter Henry TE NE 163.9 -2.5 106–230 +2.5
156 Omar Cooper Jr. WR NYJ 164.4 -7.8 128–299 +9.8
157 Bryce Young QB CAR 165.6 -7.1 129–276 +1.2
158 Jonah Coleman RB DEN 165.6 -2.6 120–352 +15.9 CONTENTIOUS
159 Jalen McMillan WR TB 167.7 +3.5 126–291 +6.1
160 Adonai Mitchell WR NYJ 168.6 +5.6 126–284 +5.6
161 Brian Robinson Jr. RB ATL 169.3 +2.9 135–238 -4.2
162 Travis Hunter WR JAC 170.8 +2.0 96–289 +9.3
163 Tank Bigsby RB PHI 171.2 +8.2 133–238 +2.7
164 Tre Tucker WR LV 173.8 +3.6 119–287 +7.2
165 Oronde Gadsden II TE LAC 174.1 -15.7 97–254 +14.8
166 Dalton Schultz TE HOU 181.0 -5.6 131–236 -1.2
167 Braelon Allen RB NYJ 181.0 -6.9 132–278 +7.2 CONTENTIOUS
168 Tre' Harris WR LAC 182.2 +0.2 136–293 +5.1
169 Ryan Flournoy WR DAL 184.8 +5.9 149–319 +3.5
170 James Conner RB ARI 186.7 -1.7 99–318 +17.7 CONTENTIOUS
171 Jacoby Brissett QB ARI 189.3 +12.5 129–285 +13.5 CONTENTIOUS
172 T.J. Hockenson TE MIN 191.5 -5.5 124–246 -1.0
173 Kayshon Boutte WR NE 192.3 -5.0 133–270 +3.8
174 Jalen Nailor WR LV 195.2 +11.7 110–305 +17.1
175 Jaylin Noel WR HOU 195.3 +1.4 128–298 +8.9
176 De'Zhaun Stribling WR SF 195.5 +39.4 121–391 +30.4
177 Troy Franklin WR DEN 195.6 -8.7 126–319 +13.0
178 Kimani Vidal RB LAC 196.0 +3.2 148–284 +8.2 CONTENTIOUS
179 Emmett Johnson RB KC 197.0 -9.0 148–363 +16.1 CONTENTIOUS
180 Sean Tucker RB TB 198.9 +9.9 145–358 +12.2 CONTENTIOUS
181 Ray Davis RB BUF 199.4 +7.8 145–311 +9.2 CONTENTIOUS
182 Calvin Ridley WR TEN 200.7 +0.9 137–323 +9.0
183 Malik Washington WR MIA 201.0 +19.1 133–297 +13.6
184 Isaac TeSlaa WR DET 201.3 +3.0 161–293 +0.4
185 Dontayvion Wicks WR PHI 202.4 +15.3 140–268 +1.1
186 Antonio Williams WR WAS 203.8 -10.6 128–318 +19.9
187 AJ Barner TE SEA 207.2 +2.6 138–256 -1.7
188 Darnell Mooney WR NYG 207.3 +1.0 149–297 +0.2
189 Greg Dulcich TE MIA 207.3 +18.5 124–281 +15.4
190 Pat Bryant WR DEN 208.6 -0.9 165–291 +1.3
191 Mike Washington Jr. RB LV 209.4 -9.2 152–366 +13.1 CONTENTIOUS
192 Emanuel Wilson RB SEA 210.9 -17.3 141–298 +9.9 CONTENTIOUS
193 Kenyon Sadiq TE NYJ 211.1 -7.0 138–395 +15.4
194 Nicholas Singleton RB TEN 214.8 +4.0 143–348 +16.6 CONTENTIOUS
195 Gunnar Helm TE TEN 217.9 +4.5 157–334 +4.2
196 Tank Dell WR HOU 220.8 +11.2 165–312 +2.5
197 Kaytron Allen RB WAS 222.2 -3.5 155–322 +11.5 CONTENTIOUS
198 Cooper Kupp WR SEA 222.3 +7.4 140–298 +4.0
199 Rashod Bateman WR BAL 223.4 +15.7 165–295 +2.4
200 Aaron Rodgers QB PIT 224.1 +8.4 129–343 +18.0 CONTENTIOUS

Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.

Move — no predictive value
Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 8.38 + 0.0831 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution everyone roughly agrees on.

Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.