Draft Board

Expert consensus (FantasyPros ECR) with stock movement and analyst disagreement. Built from 39 snapshots; movement compares the last 4.

Consensus board may be stale. Last updated 2026-09-25 00:00 (2 days ago), past the 48h expected refresh. Capture runs daily at 12:00 UTC.
#PlayerPosTeam ECR Move Range Excess
1 Jahmyr Gibbs RB DET 1.0 +1.5 1–1 —
2 Bijan Robinson RB ATL 3.0 +1.1 3–3 —
3 Ja'Marr Chase WR CIN 3.5 -1.9 2–7 -6.8
4 Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR SEA 5.0 -0.3 2–7 -6.9
5 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR DET 6.8 -1.4 6–8 -8.5
6 Jonathan Taylor RB IND 7.0 +4.9 4–14 -5.2
7 Kenneth Walker III RB KC 7.5 +18.6 5–14 -5.6
8 Christian McCaffrey RB SF 9.3 -0.1 4–18 -4.6
9 CeeDee Lamb WR DAL 9.7 -0.7 9–13 -7.8
10 James Cook III RB BUF 9.8 +6.1 4–15 -5.2
11 Puka Nacua WR LAR 10.2 -7.0 6–13 -6.4
12 Justin Jefferson WR MIN 12.0 -2.6 8–22 -4.6
13 Chris Olave WR NO 12.0 +6.0 8–16 -7.1
14 Chase Brown RB CIN 13.0 +4.9 10–18 -6.8
15 Ashton Jeanty RB LV 15.7 +10.7 10–19 -6.5
16 Derrick Henry RB BAL 18.8 +18.9 15–23 -7.5
17 Saquon Barkley RB PHI 19.8 +4.5 15–28 -5.3
18 George Pickens WR DAL 19.8 +0.6 16–26 -5.5
19 DeVonta Smith WR PHI 21.3 +2.7 16–29 -5.2
20 Zay Flowers WR BAL 21.8 +8.5 16–29 -5.2
21 Nico Collins WR HOU 22.0 -6.0 13–31 -3.6
22 Omarion Hampton RB LAC 22.8 +2.7 21–28 -7.5
23 De'Von Achane RB MIA 24.8 -3.8 11–39 +0.4
24 Josh Allen QB BUF 25.0 +0.8 25–25 —
25 Trey McBride TE ARI 26.3 -5.3 24–38 -5.0
26 Drake London WR ATL 26.7 -13.8 20–45 -0.8
27 Lamar Jackson QB BAL 27.5 +4.6 27–30 -9.1
28 Jaylen Waddle WR DEN 29.2 +5.6 12–35 -2.5
29 Javonte Williams RB DAL 29.7 +14.9 15–42 -0.6
30 Parker Washington WR JAC 29.7 +33.6 16–49 +3.4
31 Malik Nabers WR NYG 30.0 -5.5 26–34 -7.9
32 Garrett Wilson WR NYJ 33.2 -3.6 31–40 -7.5
33 D'Andre Swift RB CHI 33.8 +20.9 23–42 -2.9
34 Jalen Hurts QB PHI 34.3 +22.2 27–59 +0.5
35 Tee Higgins WR CIN 36.3 +0.6 33–40 -8.0
36 Brock Bowers TE LV 36.5 -17.5 24–43 -4.8
37 Christian Watson WR GB 36.8 +20.8 29–45 -5.0
38 Tetairoa McMillan WR CAR 38.2 -2.6 33–44 -6.6
39 Emeka Egbuka WR TB 39.8 +1.0 35–46 -6.0
40 Jeremiyah Love RB ARI 40.8 +0.6 21–47 -1.7
41 Breece Hall RB NYJ 41.3 -1.4 39–51 -6.6
42 Ladd McConkey WR LAC 43.2 -8.3 36–50 -6.2
43 Rashee Rice WR KC 43.7 -19.0 33–58 -2.3
44 DJ Moore WR BUF 45.0 +7.1 33–49 -5.6
45 Mike Evans WR SF 46.7 +9.5 36–58 -4.8
46 Kyren Williams RB LAR 46.7 -5.1 41–52 -7.2
47 Bucky Irving RB TB 48.0 +10.7 41–55 -6.2
48 Davante Adams WR LAR 49.5 +0.6 32–61 -0.4
49 Drake Maye QB NE 51.2 -13.5 30–79 +6.7 CONTENTIOUS
50 Trevor Lawrence QB JAC 51.5 +26.3 37–63 -0.9
51 David Montgomery RB HOU 53.7 +7.7 52–56 -9.9
52 A.J. Brown WR NE 54.0 -39.8 34–72 +0.7
53 Cam Skattebo RB NYG 55.0 +2.4 51–57 -9.8
54 Bhayshul Tuten RB JAC 55.5 +11.7 52–57 -10.0
55 Joe Burrow QB CIN 56.2 -10.4 37–74 -0.9
56 Luther Burden III WR CHI 56.7 -9.7 50–60 -7.1
57 Terry McLaurin WR WAS 57.3 -10.2 50–67 -6.0
58 Jameson Williams WR DET 59.0 -4.3 48–65 -6.3
59 Jalen Coker WR CAR 62.7 +62.0 50–84 +0.1
60 Travis Etienne Jr. RB NO 64.0 -16.4 51–95 +3.0
61 Josh Downs WR IND 64.3 +22.9 48–83 +0.5
62 Brock Purdy QB SF 65.2 +31.3 37–79 +1.9
63 Rome Odunze WR CHI 66.2 -8.7 61–77 -7.2
64 Stefon Diggs WR WAS 66.7 +29.8 49–76 -3.3
65 Chris Godwin Jr. WR TB 67.3 +9.2 53–77 -4.6
66 DK Metcalf WR PIT 70.0 +8.9 64–82 -5.6
67 Dalton Kincaid TE BUF 70.2 +42.2 38–109 +17.0
68 TreVeyon Henderson RB NE 70.5 +0.5 57–95 +4.9
69 Colston Loveland TE CHI 71.2 -33.7 43–109 +10.7
70 Dak Prescott QB DAL 71.3 +6.9 54–92 -0.0
71 Tyler Warren TE IND 72.3 -19.2 43–86 +1.7
72 Carnell Tate WR TEN 74.0 -5.7 53–103 +3.6
73 Matthew Golden WR GB 74.5 +54.3 61–91 -0.7
74 Deebo Samuel Sr. WR SF 77.8 +60.7 68–87 -7.0
75 Courtland Sutton WR DEN 78.8 +4.5 67–102 -0.2
76 Patrick Mahomes II QB KC 79.0 +22.5 63–98 +0.2
77 Jadarian Price RB SEA 79.3 -6.1 62–96 -1.6
78 KC Concepcion Jr. WR CLE 80.7 — 71–97 -3.9
79 Rhamondre Stevenson RB NE 80.8 -3.6 62–96 +1.3
80 Quinshon Judkins RB CLE 81.5 -19.5 69–96 -2.2
81 Denzel Boston WR CLE 83.3 +67.3 65–116 +5.8
82 Caleb Williams QB CHI 84.2 -17.1 54–114 +9.0 CONTENTIOUS
83 Jaylen Warren RB PIT 84.7 -7.3 69–95 -5.4
84 Brian Thomas Jr. WR JAC 86.0 -6.0 72–112 -0.4
85 Wan'Dale Robinson WR TEN 86.7 -1.1 76–97 -6.1
86 Jared Goff QB DET 87.3 +19.1 70–98 -2.2
87 Quentin Johnston WR LAC 88.5 +7.2 75–112 -1.9
88 Romeo Doubs WR NE 89.3 +38.0 77–112 -0.2
89 Justin Herbert QB LAC 89.7 -18.0 70–104 +0.8
90 Michael Wilson WR ARI 89.8 -1.5 68–110 +1.5
91 Sam LaPorta TE DET 92.8 -7.0 86–107 -6.7
92 Jakobi Meyers WR JAC 93.7 +10.8 90–99 -9.9
93 Makai Lemon WR PHI 93.7 +16.0 71–117 +4.2
94 Tucker Kraft TE GB 96.8 -16.4 88–111 -5.9
95 Chuba Hubbard RB CAR 97.5 +1.4 62–149 +17.9 CONTENTIOUS
96 Jordan Addison WR MIN 99.5 +6.1 84–117 -4.3
97 Khalil Shakir WR BUF 101.5 +21.9 83–110 -5.2
98 Harold Fannin Jr. TE CLE 101.7 -28.2 86–135 +2.0
99 George Kittle TE SF 103.0 -4.1 73–111 -0.7
100 Travis Kelce TE KC 103.5 -5.0 86–118 -1.1
101 Marvin Harrison Jr. WR ARI 103.7 -35.1 68–169 +21.6
102 Jordan Love QB GB 104.5 +14.5 98–108 -11.0
103 Michael Pittman Jr. WR PIT 104.5 -24.1 71–140 +12.1
104 Adonai Mitchell WR NYJ 104.5 +62.3 81–132 +6.8
105 Tyler Shough QB NO 104.8 +19.5 98–113 -9.5
106 Matthew Stafford QB LAR 105.3 -1.0 98–114 -8.2
107 Xavier Worthy WR KC 106.3 +23.0 78–138 +6.5
108 Alec Pierce WR IND 108.8 -8.5 81–155 +13.8
109 Dontayvion Wicks WR PHI 109.2 +77.6 76–131 +7.0
110 Bo Nix QB DEN 110.7 -11.4 101–119 -7.7
111 Isaiah Likely TE NYG 112.5 +10.6 100–121 -7.4
112 Blake Corum RB LAR 112.8 -0.8 85–150 +4.6
113 Aaron Jones Sr. RB MIN 114.2 +1.6 85–165 +16.6 CONTENTIOUS
114 Bryce Young QB CAR 115.0 +57.1 105–139 -3.5
115 Malik Willis QB MIA 115.5 +14.5 105–129 -7.0
116 Kyle Pitts Sr. TE ATL 117.0 -38.1 100–128 -5.3
117 Jordyn Tyson WR NO 118.3 +16.8 93–142 +0.6
118 Rico Dowdle RB PIT 119.3 -30.5 89–173 +14.9 CONTENTIOUS
119 Juwan Johnson TE NO 119.8 +14.4 107–135 -5.6
120 Kyler Murray QB MIN 124.2 -11.4 114–139 -7.2
121 Baker Mayfield QB TB 126.3 -7.9 125–129 -13.6
122 Dallas Goedert TE PHI 128.7 -11.4 109–168 +4.3
123 Dalton Schultz TE HOU 128.7 +35.0 118–145 -4.6
124 Kayshon Boutte WR HOU 130.3 +49.1 116–138 -8.9
125 Mark Andrews TE BAL 131.0 +0.7 121–158 -2.5
126 Jake Ferguson TE DAL 131.2 -12.7 121–152 -5.4
127 Kyle Monangai RB CHI 133.0 -16.0 115–156 -0.8
128 Caleb Douglas WR MIA 133.2 +78.0 110–169 +3.2
129 C.J. Stroud QB HOU 134.5 +10.8 129–147 -9.9
130 Tre Tucker WR LV 135.3 +27.6 90–247 +37.1
131 Brenton Strange TE JAC 136.5 +22.5 128–145 -11.1
132 Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB WAS 136.7 -23.0 115–150 -2.6
133 Hunter Henry TE NE 138.7 +26.0 124–148 -8.2
134 Keenan Allen WR IND 140.2 +53.5 112–182 +9.5
135 J.K. Dobbins RB DEN 141.7 -41.2 106–174 +4.3
136 Jonathon Brooks RB CAR 142.2 -51.3 89–199 +23.9 CONTENTIOUS
137 Tony Pollard RB TEN 142.5 -57.5 120–165 -2.3
138 Daniel Jones QB IND 143.3 +4.7 134–159 -7.6
139 RJ Harvey RB DEN 143.3 -45.9 120–175 +2.0
140 Rashid Shaheed WR SEA 144.0 +4.8 122–210 +13.7
141 Josh Jacobs RB GB 145.0 -98.1 106–164 +5.0 CONTENTIOUS
142 Rachaad White RB WAS 145.8 -34.0 120–173 -1.1
143 Kenny Gainwell RB TB 146.0 -45.9 115–181 +8.8 CONTENTIOUS
144 Tre' Harris WR LAC 146.0 +35.2 131–195 +5.7
145 Devaughn Vele WR NO 147.5 +101.1 87–238 +43.2
146 Terrance Ferguson TE LAR 148.2 +64.5 128–160 -6.3
147 T.J. Hockenson TE MIN 148.7 +41.6 143–157 -11.5
148 Jayden Daniels QB WAS 149.8 -96.6 104–281 +44.1 CONTENTIOUS
149 Jayden Reed WR GB 151.8 -47.6 93–208 +31.2
150 Pat Bryant WR DEN 152.2 +38.5 99–221 +19.2
151 Rashod Bateman WR BAL 152.7 +73.4 110–208 +15.0
152 MarShawn Lloyd RB GB 154.2 +24.9 120–222 +17.1 CONTENTIOUS
153 Oronde Gadsden II TE LAC 154.7 +57.1 135–163 -7.4
154 Chig Okonkwo TE WAS 155.0 +5.4 145–168 -9.3
155 Kenyon Sadiq TE NYJ 156.3 +66.3 143–163 -10.5
156 Greg Dulcich TE MIA 157.3 +51.2 148–176 -7.3
157 Jonah Coleman RB DEN 157.7 -1.3 127–184 +1.8
158 AJ Barner TE SEA 160.3 +47.9 154–180 -7.9
159 Malachi Fields WR NYG 164.8 +71.2 138–210 +6.8
160 Jordan Mason RB MIN 167.8 -52.2 127–230 +14.2 CONTENTIOUS
161 De'Zhaun Stribling WR SF 169.0 -36.0 102–257 +34.5
162 Cade Otton TE TB 169.2 +70.8 158–189 -5.8
163 Tyler Allgeier RB ARI 170.8 -32.1 130–223 +9.9 CONTENTIOUS
164 Sam Darnold QB SEA 171.7 -31.7 139–285 +33.1 CONTENTIOUS
165 Geno Smith QB NYJ 173.2 +49.2 139–241 +21.8 CONTENTIOUS
166 Kaelon Black RB SF 173.3 +64.4 146–230 +9.0 CONTENTIOUS
167 Darren Waller TE CAR 173.5 +94.4 143–205 +6.8
168 Gunnar Helm TE TEN 174.8 +45.6 168–189 -10.2
169 Malik Washington WR MIA 178.0 +12.6 162–209 +0.1
170 Pat Freiermuth TE PIT 179.2 +59.3 128–277 +28.4
171 Mike Washington Jr. RB LV 180.0 -14.6 165–224 +1.6
172 Cam Ward QB TEN 183.3 -26.8 147–242 +15.4 CONTENTIOUS
173 Evan Engram TE DEN 186.0 +68.0 176–205 -8.7
174 Jaylin Noel WR HOU 187.0 +13.4 166–202 -6.8
175 Chris Bell WR MIA 188.0 +56.0 132–234 +12.7
176 Antonio Williams WR WAS 188.8 +45.1 141–210 +6.9
177 Woody Marks RB HOU 189.2 -51.9 164–228 +2.1
178 Tyjae Spears RB TEN 190.0 -50.6 175–203 -7.6
179 Jerry Jeudy WR CLE 190.7 -22.7 142–234 +8.6
180 Jalen Nailor WR LV 190.7 -0.4 141–246 +14.2
181 Ted Hurst III WR TB 192.3 +50.6 138–226 +19.0
182 Keaton Mitchell RB LAC 194.7 -43.2 174–228 +3.1
183 Charlie Kolar TE LAC 195.3 +88.7 177–232 -0.5
184 Aaron Rodgers QB PIT 197.8 +18.9 159–242 +8.7 CONTENTIOUS
185 Emmett Johnson RB KC 199.5 -9.8 170–224 +4.5
186 Tank Bigsby RB PHI 200.0 -28.5 170–222 -4.1
187 David Njoku TE LAC 201.6 +48.7 177–244 +8.8
188 Omar Cooper Jr. WR NYJ 205.2 -24.3 162–243 +5.7
189 Jauan Jennings WR MIN 206.3 -39.8 182–241 +2.2
190 Mike Gesicki TE CIN 206.8 +66.3 168–232 +6.3
191 Alvin Kamara RB NO 208.2 -42.0 181–224 -4.0
192 Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB JAC 210.2 -70.1 184–238 +0.0
193 Cooper Kupp WR SEA 213.3 +9.6 178–226 -3.3
194 Jalen McMillan WR TB 213.3 -40.7 178–246 +4.0
195 Ryan Flournoy WR DAL 216.3 -31.5 142–322 +34.8
196 Ja'Kobi Lane WR BAL 216.8 +5.8 195–231 -8.1
197 Jacoby Brissett QB ARI 218.0 -23.6 179–242 +2.7
198 Zach Charbonnet RB SEA 220.0 -65.8 174–248 +1.9
199 Bryce Lance WR NO 220.2 +69.5 126–240 +21.7
200 Michael Mayer TE LV 224.5 +74.8 160–274 +20.3

Only one column here carries a tested signal. The rest is context. Everything below was measured over 296 position-weeks, 2021–2025.

Move — no predictive value
Change in consensus rank. Tested: correlation between movement and beating your own ranking is +0.02, surviving in one of five seasons and one of four positions. That is a null. The move is the consensus updating, so it is already priced. Shown because it is useful to know who is being talked about — not as a reason to draft anyone.
Excess — disagreement above normal for that slot
Analysts naturally disagree more about later picks (sd ≈ 8.8 + 0.0529 × ECR), so raw spread makes elite players look contentious when they are near-unanimous. This is the residual.
Contentious — the one tested edge, and it is small
Flagged only for QB and RB, where contentious players modestly beat their ranking (QB corr +0.088, t=3.08; RB +0.057, t=3.05). At WR and TE the same signal is exactly zero (+0.004 and +0.002), so they are never flagged — disagreement there is noise about a distribution everyone roughly agrees on.

Use it as a tiebreaker between players you already rate similarly, never as a reason to reach. The effect is worth a fraction of a round, per-season t-stats run 0.75–2.32, and the direction is consistent but the size is not well pinned down.