Pick'em Mode
Week 5Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
120
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
15
Pending
15
pts
LV
NE *
LV -8.5
Clear favorite
Pending
14
pts
CIN *
MIA
MIA -5.5
Moderate favorite
Pending
13
pts
TB
DAL *
TB -3.5
Slight favorite
Pending
12
pts
SF
SEA *
SF -3.5
Slight favorite
Pending
11
pts
HOU *
TEN
TEN -3.5
Slight favorite
Pending
10
pts
DEN
LAC *
DEN -2.5
Slight favorite
Pending
9
pts
PHI
JAX *
JAX -2.5
Slight favorite
Pending
8
pts
CLE
NYJ *
CLE -2.5
Slight favorite
Pending
7
pts
IND
PIT *
IND -2.5
Slight favorite
Pending
6
pts
NYG
WAS *
NYG -2.5
Slight favorite
Pending
5
pts
MIN
NO *
NO -1.5
Toss-up
Pending
4
pts
DET
ARI *
DET -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
3
pts
CHI
GB *
CHI -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
2
pts
BAL
ATL *
BAL -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
1
pts
BUF
LA *
BUF -0.0
Toss-up
Pending
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-15 to each pick.
1= least confident,15= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.