Pick'em Mode
Week 5Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
16
pts
Kansas City Chiefs *
Detroit Lions
DET -12.9
Strong favorite
Pending
15
pts
Indianapolis Colts
Arizona Cardinals *
IND -13.1
Strong favorite
Pending
14
pts
New York Jets
Los Angeles Rams *
NEW -13.0
Strong favorite
Pending
13
pts
Green Bay Packers
Jacksonville Jaguars *
GRE -12.2
Strong favorite
Pending
12
pts
Las Vegas Raiders *
Pittsburgh Steelers
PIT -10.6
Strong favorite
Pending
11
pts
San Francisco 49ers *
New England Patriots
NEW -9.9
Clear favorite
Pending
10
pts
Chicago Bears *
Philadelphia Eagles
PHI -9.0
Clear favorite
Pending
9
pts
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Miami Dolphins *
TAM -8.0
Clear favorite
Pending
8
pts
Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens *
TEN -6.9
Moderate favorite
Pending
7
pts
New Orleans Saints
Washington Commanders *
NEW -6.2
Moderate favorite
Pending
6
pts
Buffalo Bills
Cincinnati Bengals *
BUF -5.8
Moderate favorite
Pending
5
pts
Atlanta Falcons *
Minnesota Vikings
MIN -4.5
Moderate favorite
Pending
4
pts
Denver Broncos *
Los Angeles Chargers
LOS -3.6
Slight favorite
Pending
3
pts
Cleveland Browns
Houston Texans *
HOU -1.0
Toss-up
Pending
2
pts
Carolina Panthers
Dallas Cowboys *
DAL -0.7
Toss-up
Pending
1
pts
Seattle Seahawks *
New York Giants
SEA -0.3
Toss-up
Pending
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.