Research Library

Every findings document in the repo, rendered. Sourced directly from the markdown under backtests/ and docs/ — nothing to register, a new file shows up here automatically. Negative results are kept deliberately: most of what's here is a hypothesis that didn't survive.

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All areas backtests bet_timing cfb_eval clv_line_adjustment college_hockey_eval docs elway_review ev_clv_prereg_2026_09 ev_record_2026_08 fantasy_eval fantasy_model_audit hr_derby injury_impact kelly_sim kicker_dst leg_correlation middles ncaab_eval nfl_context_signals nfl_edges nfl_game_quality nfl_prop_usage nfl_war nhl_eval pickem pickem_tiebreak player_movement preseason_signal qb_handedness qb_weather split_miner stable_filter_audit stacking_eval strategies tennis_eval weather_ftn_value
elway_review · 1
What is worth borrowing from Silver's ELWAY post no edge 2026-09-08 · 5kb
2026-09-08. Assessment of the free portion of natesilver.net/p/2026-elway-nfl-ratings-projections-playoff-odds, pasted by the user (the page is paywalled and renders as a JS shell from this server).
backtests/elway_review/FINDINGS.md