Pick'em Mode
Week 18Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
0
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
0.0%
Percentage
0-0
Record
16
Pending
16
pts
Philadelphia Eagles
Miami Dolphins *
PHI -13.3
Strong favorite
Pending
15
pts
Cleveland Browns *
Denver Broncos
DEN -12.8
Strong favorite
Pending
14
pts
Los Angeles Rams *
San Francisco 49ers
SAN -12.7
Strong favorite
Pending
13
pts
New York Jets *
Seattle Seahawks
SEA -11.2
Strong favorite
Pending
12
pts
Detroit Lions
Cincinnati Bengals *
DET -11.4
Strong favorite
Pending
11
pts
Arizona Cardinals *
Carolina Panthers
CAR -11.0
Strong favorite
Pending
10
pts
Indianapolis Colts *
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
TAM -8.1
Clear favorite
Pending
9
pts
Las Vegas Raiders
Baltimore Ravens *
LAS -7.8
Clear favorite
Pending
8
pts
New England Patriots *
Houston Texans
HOU -6.9
Moderate favorite
Pending
7
pts
New York Giants *
Minnesota Vikings
MIN -6.1
Moderate favorite
Pending
6
pts
Chicago Bears
Pittsburgh Steelers *
CHI -5.3
Moderate favorite
Pending
5
pts
Green Bay Packers *
New Orleans Saints
NEW -3.9
Slight favorite
Pending
4
pts
Los Angeles Chargers
Jacksonville Jaguars *
LOS -3.4
Slight favorite
Pending
3
pts
Kansas City Chiefs
Dallas Cowboys *
DAL -1.8
Toss-up
Pending
2
pts
Washington Commanders *
Tennessee Titans
WAS -1.6
Toss-up
Pending
1
pts
Atlanta Falcons
Buffalo Bills *
BUF -0.9
Toss-up
Pending
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.